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cautious","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":2,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":2,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":0,"expectedPercent":0.0,"averageReturn":10.1,"medianReturn":10.1,"confidenceLow":0.0,"confidenceHigh":79.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-8.8,"sample":2},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-19.9,"sample":2},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-10.5,"sample":2},{"week":4,"averageReturn":10.1,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-6.7,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-4.7,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":1.3,"sample":1},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"dynamicsAhead":{"label":"Price cautious, Market Dynamics 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evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":1.2,"sample":2},{"week":2,"averageReturn":3.4,"sample":2},{"week":3,"averageReturn":0.6,"sample":2},{"week":4,"averageReturn":0.3,"sample":2},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-5.9,"sample":2},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-8.5,"sample":2},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-7.6,"sample":2},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-11.0,"sample":2},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-11.7,"sample":2},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-10.7,"sample":2},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-13.4,"sample":2},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-24.9,"sample":2},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-19.4,"sample":2},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-9.2,"sample":2},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-11.9,"sample":2},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-12.1,"sample":2},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-20.4,"sample":2},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-20.4,"sample":1},{"week":19,"averageReturn":0.9,"sample":1},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-14.4,"sample":1},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-12.6,"sample":1},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-7.1,"sample":1},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Positive support; price rotational","tone":"caution","headline":"Market Dynamics is positive while price remains rotational","use":"Treat the improvement as context until price establishes a clear response.","confirm":"The underlying condition is constructive, but a positive price response is still required.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics remains positive and has strengthened across the recent completed path. A slight weekly pause does not yet change the broader constructive reading.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":0.0,"averageReturn":-24.9,"sample":2},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price has no clear direction","detail":"Price remains rotational while the Market Dynamics condition develops."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Early repair watch","title":"Prepare the case before price confirms the recovery","tone":"recovery","approach":"Use the improvement to move the ticker onto a watchlist or define an entry trigger. Commitment should rise only after price responds; fading Market Dynamics cancels the early case.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 0.0% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of -24.9% across 2 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use distribution to protect capital before considering the short case","tone":"negative","finding":"After distribution, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were lower across 2 cases. Distinct visits lasted 2.5 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Review long exposure and define the evidence that would confirm a rollover. Short exposure should begin only after price weakens and the loss limit is known.","watch":"A sustained repair in price and Market Dynamics invalidates the downside setup."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 3.6% across 2 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 3.0 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[],"reversal_dangers":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[56.25,57.15,49.0,51.95,53.85,53.1,50.0,49.16,48.58,47.62,46.78,46.94,45.8,49.04,49.28,42.16,46.5,45.72,42.34,44.56,43.7,44.64,43.36,43.2,47.44,42.58,41.94,43.38,43.54,42.9,42.42,41.84,41.44,43.3,43.86,43.98,44.02,41.98,41.12,42.36,39.92,39.66,36.5,35.14,34.64,34.26,34.0,38.0,37.08,28.0,33.0,41.82,35.46,36.22,38.5],"consensus":[-45.7831,53.7314,-87.3767,51.9076,0.0,-16.121,-30.7791,-28.9076,-29.2994,-37.6948,-25.0675,-18.7447,-34.5957,20.7103,0.0,-63.0488,21.0279,-16.8661,-48.6389,10.5683,-20.3989,0.0,-17.9572,-16.995,45.7296,-46.9782,-17.1327,0.0,-10.2544,0.0,0.0,-11.2002,-25.2433,22.4047,10.6576,11.9781,0.0,-28.226,-30.4867,0.0,-45.8109,-17.3022,-65.5865,-44.6159,-32.0283,-37.1588,-29.1445,17.7456,0.0,-58.9423,14.9439,60.4351,-42.8059,10.0221,35.2726],"supportDates":["2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[null,null,-13.6983,-45.2883,-31.1319,-26.9075,-39.5488,-20.1803,-15.3005,-36.7578,22.8052,0.0,-57.9573,24.7911,-13.9745,-50.4631,10.36,-20.77,0.0,-25.2462,-19.311,38.8681,-45.1637,-15.8532,0.0,-4.5247,0.0,0.0,-7.874,-27.8771,27.1331,6.8028,8.7814,0.0,-31.0901,-32.2089,0.0,-47.9249,-11.5799,-65.8855,-45.5053,-25.4699,-32.337,-24.5928,15.8258,0.0,-44.4829,16.0827,57.1748,-41.9307,0.3374,35.4855],"force":[51.9076,0.0,-13.0981,-24.7832,-18.7543,-15.5537,-24.0388,-11.5149,-3.2128,-23.9869,44.7721,0.0,-80.1719,56.1062,-11.3504,-53.7891,33.7126,-10.7998,0.0,-15.5016,-8.5174,83.3501,-82.3731,-9.9167,0.0,-6.1314,0.0,0.0,-3.6821,-22.9385,41.5338,13.178,9.0322,0.0,-39.6669,-31.0028,0.0,-55.0579,-6.4599,-86.4462,-27.0739,-8.9519,-18.183,-6.2699,30.9484,0.0,-84.3467,71.0441,93.7209,-86.1209,16.2274,42.4925],"direction":[null,0.0,-21.0488,-18.4799,-33.6179,-41.8515,-45.3301,-40.3333,-33.775,-39.7024,1.1292,0.0,-56.637,8.3288,-24.1104,-42.8753,5.7252,-26.8313,0.0,-11.3809,-20.4035,26.6995,-23.7697,-23.7494,0.0,-19.7478,0.0,0.0,-20.3716,-23.8794,3.337,13.2628,17.7356,0.0,-16.7807,-28.1498,0.0,-36.7898,-31.5863,-50.345,-56.1294,-56.0068,-56.2235,-50.6855,10.509,0.0,-57.3213,26.429,40.3855,-12.8667,17.4292,29.8723],"intensity":[null,25.0,20.0,50.0,14.2857,37.5,11.1111,70.0,18.1818,25.0,69.2308,64.2857,93.3333,81.25,47.0588,66.6667,31.5789,35.0,23.8095,18.1818,4.3478,83.3333,88.0,88.4615,37.037,28.5714,44.8276,26.6667,6.4516,28.125,33.3333,50.0,22.8571,5.5556,56.7568,21.0526,64.1026,82.5,58.5366,69.0476,81.3953,9.0909,6.6667,8.6957,89.3617,18.75,100.0,98.0,96.0784,90.3846,75.0,44.2308],"confirmation":[39.2771,5.3806,73.1035,77.4455,76.9071,76.9934,79.6179,75.683,50.9108,78.7144,52.662,24.5251,88.7751,32.1841,73.2731,83.6936,50.6451,74.2295,3.6154,73.5604,73.1447,83.8846,84.1394,73.2821,26.9035,25.9097,24.7004,24.1573,26.0723,75.9675,53.0138,48.8793,71.7919,25.2405,77.3373,77.7452,2.6788,82.9091,50.6268,89.6188,81.7289,77.6457,79.386,54.0318,74.1102,24.3028,87.8561,34.7793,88.4033,83.0313,48.9594,79.504],"persistence":[0.0,0.0,16.6667,28.5714,37.5,37.5,62.5,62.5,87.5,100.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,50.0,50.0,50.0,37.5,37.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,0.0,12.5,0.0,12.5,0.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,75.0,62.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5],"assessmentRisk":[null,22.6401,30.526,28.5024,18.9999,31.6686,28.4936,27.7551,23.8525,21.7328,13.1986,35.9168,16.1957,2.1148,34.1664,25.0662,29.803,28.2073,18.9379,26.505,14.1622,19.3088,4.2481,12.6353,0.6087,40.5045,10.558,12.2431,26.4745,27.32,1.2624,25.814,34.0714,39.5668,19.8965,34.4108,44.612,27.0268,39.8015,17.0985,27.6894,33.9402,31.3822,33.9487,37.7042,45.3132,19.3397,22.3192,6.1857,3.9568,42.614,24.473],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":35.3,"control":35.5,"force":42.5,"direction":29.9,"confirmation":79.5,"persistence":37.5,"assessmentRisk":24.5,"intensity":44.2,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the upward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the upward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+35.3","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+35.5","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+42.5","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+29.9","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"80/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"49.8","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"12.6%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"28.9","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"74%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price is rotating through its trend references.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[56.25,57.15,49.0,51.95,53.85,53.1,50.0,49.16,48.58,47.62,46.78,46.94,45.8,49.04,49.28,42.16,46.5,45.72,42.34,44.56,43.7,44.64,43.36,43.2,47.44,42.58,41.94,43.38,43.54,42.9,42.42,41.84,41.44,43.3,43.86,43.98,44.02,41.98,41.12,42.36,39.92,39.66,36.5,35.14,34.64,34.26,34.0,38.0,37.08,28.0,33.0,41.82,35.46,36.22,38.5],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast trend","values":[null,null,null,null,54.3812,54.1482,53.394,52.6242,51.8889,51.1127,50.325,49.7095,48.9987,49.0062,49.056,47.8022,47.5654,47.2299,46.3408,46.017,45.5957,45.422,45.0471,44.7112,45.2074,44.7297,44.2225,44.0693,43.9731,43.778,43.5311,43.2236,42.8993,42.9722,43.1336,43.2875,43.4207,43.1587,42.788,42.7102,42.2029,41.7406,40.7877,39.7609,38.8298,37.9989,37.2719,37.4042,37.3453,35.6461,35.165,36.375,36.2087,36.2107,36.627],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.7},{"label":"Slow trend","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,52.05,51.8271,51.6384,50.9363,50.6077,50.2456,49.66,49.2822,48.8687,48.5555,48.1707,47.8025,47.7756,47.3907,46.987,46.7198,46.4843,46.2188,45.9374,45.6339,45.3232,45.1733,45.0761,44.9949,44.9227,44.7047,44.4391,44.2851,43.9618,43.6431,43.114,42.5234,41.9394,41.3706,40.8246,40.6154,40.3535,39.4384,38.9615,39.1732,38.8982,38.6998,38.685],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.8},{"label":"Upper envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,57.9922,57.8757,57.6611,57.5408,57.2213,56.9386,57.3309,57.0744,56.8623,56.9424,56.7588,55.6441,53.9193,53.8485,53.2661,52.097,50.9307,50.4618,49.9684,49.517,49.2064,49.0043,48.7619,48.6578,47.774,46.611,46.6401,46.2232,45.9134,45.9954,45.844,45.9844,45.9537,46.5728,47.1944,46.8431,47.1883,47.4502,47.1327,46.7669,47.6195,47.4188,47.4163,47.1317,46.5254,45.8341],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]},{"label":"Lower 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Market Dynamics construction and private inputs are not disclosed. Historical research is not a forecast or instruction to trade."}