{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "04a926fe-b741-49b7-b92e-13ecfe21884d",
    "symbol": "RW",
    "name": "RAINWATER EQUITY ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "The SM framework classifies the established weekly price path as the Core Trend. Faster and slower Trend views and Sharemaestro context describe that state but do not alter its direction.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "latest_close": 26.0228,
    "direction": "positive",
    "state": "Fresh positive regime",
    "is_fresh": true,
    "is_near_boundary": false,
    "direction_boundary": 25.596627,
    "boundary_margin": 0.01665,
    "trend_agreement": "Fully aligned",
    "persistence": "Fresh",
    "direction_turnover": "Moderate",
    "annualized_volatility": 0.176255,
    "volatility_stability": 0.8638,
    "risk_context": 0.5674,
    "current_regime": {
      "move": 0.0,
      "interruption": 0.0,
      "interruption_label": "Deepest pullback inside regime"
    },
    "research_priority": 58.219,
    "interpretation": {
      "label": "Fresh positive regime",
      "headline": "The Core Trend has just turned positive",
      "body": "This is a new regime change, not a forecast. The faster and slower Trend views show whether the move is becoming broadly established.",
      "age_context": "The current Core Trend is newly established.",
      "boundary_context": "The latest close is 1.7% above the decision boundary.",
      "stability_context": "Recent Core Trend turnover is moderate."
    },
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 25.2012,
        "direction_boundary": 24.86477,
        "core_momentum": 0.01353,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.190069
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 25.0708,
        "direction_boundary": 25.66266,
        "core_momentum": -0.023063,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.189735
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 25.6399,
        "direction_boundary": 25.812608,
        "core_momentum": -0.006691,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.191539
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 25.248,
        "direction_boundary": 25.836284,
        "core_momentum": -0.02277,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.178499
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 24.9918,
        "direction_boundary": 26.343169,
        "core_momentum": -0.051299,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.178338
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 25.0185,
        "direction_boundary": 26.413198,
        "core_momentum": -0.052803,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.176286
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 25.2663,
        "direction_boundary": 25.883736,
        "core_momentum": -0.023854,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.173223
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 26.0228,
        "direction_boundary": 25.596627,
        "core_momentum": 0.01665,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.176255
      }
    ],
    "price_history": [
      {
        "date": "2025-06-20",
        "close": 24.86477,
        "volume": 297631
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-27",
        "close": 25.66266,
        "volume": 189902
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-04",
        "close": 25.812608,
        "volume": 97597
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-11",
        "close": 25.836284,
        "volume": 89797
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-18",
        "close": 26.343169,
        "volume": 112710
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-25",
        "close": 26.413198,
        "volume": 84608
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-01",
        "close": 25.883736,
        "volume": 60334
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-08",
        "close": 25.596627,
        "volume": 32297
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-15",
        "close": 25.164465,
        "volume": 22399
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-22",
        "close": 25.394232,
        "volume": 42751
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-29",
        "close": 25.285343,
        "volume": 10247
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-05",
        "close": 25.365262,
        "volume": 18294
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-12",
        "close": 25.462263,
        "volume": 208929
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-19",
        "close": 25.638385,
        "volume": 15072
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-26",
        "close": 25.164465,
        "volume": 76624
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-03",
        "close": 25.4,
        "volume": 20922
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-10",
        "close": 24.8385,
        "volume": 13802
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-17",
        "close": 25.0085,
        "volume": 37761
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-24",
        "close": 25.5702,
        "volume": 23920
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-31",
        "close": 25.4842,
        "volume": 18659
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-07",
        "close": 25.1894,
        "volume": 18419
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-14",
        "close": 25.0479,
        "volume": 17210
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-21",
        "close": 24.5565,
        "volume": 16538
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-28",
        "close": 25.4021,
        "volume": 7319
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-05",
        "close": 25.0344,
        "volume": 44407
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-12",
        "close": 24.9029,
        "volume": 18366
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-19",
        "close": 24.8928,
        "volume": 18577
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-26",
        "close": 25.1377,
        "volume": 24082
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-02",
        "close": 24.86,
        "volume": 8142
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-09",
        "close": 26.17,
        "volume": 62521
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-16",
        "close": 26.3876,
        "volume": 27624
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-23",
        "close": 25.8408,
        "volume": 16189
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-30",
        "close": 25.1795,
        "volume": 37689
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-06",
        "close": 24.7848,
        "volume": 18685
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-13",
        "close": 24.7824,
        "volume": 35181
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-20",
        "close": 25.2732,
        "volume": 5027
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-27",
        "close": 24.8556,
        "volume": 58177
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "close": 24.2351,
        "volume": 17112
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "close": 22.9695,
        "volume": 25360
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "close": 22.7556,
        "volume": 12124
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "close": 22.1497,
        "volume": 7765
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 22.8529,
        "volume": 12508
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 23.9121,
        "volume": 6468
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 24.8363,
        "volume": 7036
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 24.0377,
        "volume": 9762
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 24.1977,
        "volume": 11757
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 24.6848,
        "volume": 8097
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 24.2083,
        "volume": 7257
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 24.6701,
        "volume": 15069
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 25.33,
        "volume": 8647
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 24.5342,
        "volume": 13482
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 24.8748,
        "volume": 6747
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 25.2012,
        "volume": 9220
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 25.0708,
        "volume": 4973
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 25.6399,
        "volume": 5045
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 25.248,
        "volume": 7575
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 24.9918,
        "volume": 7870
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 25.0185,
        "volume": 2951
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 25.2663,
        "volume": 14751
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 26.0228,
        "volume": 13396
      }
    ],
    "sharemaestro_context": {
      "trend": 24.6604,
      "fair_value": 25.019909,
      "market_activity": 59.759829,
      "market_dynamics": 0.625277,
      "relative_strength": -6.9621
    },
    "historical_outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Longer term",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "regime_history": [
      {
        "direction": "positive",
        "start": "2026-06-19",
        "end": "2026-06-19",
        "tenure": "Brief",
        "return": 0.0
      },
      {
        "direction": "negative",
        "start": "2026-06-26",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.007798
      },
      {
        "direction": "positive",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Brief",
        "return": 0.0
      }
    ]
  }
}