{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "0ac6a74d-b5ca-4e61-93ba-d39e35b4d3bb",
    "symbol": "IBGB",
    "name": "ISHARES IBONDS DEC 2045 TERM TREASURY ETF",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "The SM framework classifies the established weekly price path as the Core Trend. Faster and slower Trend views and Sharemaestro context describe that state but do not alter its direction.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "latest_close": 23.525,
    "direction": "negative",
    "state": "Negative across all Trend views",
    "is_fresh": false,
    "is_near_boundary": false,
    "direction_boundary": 23.651598,
    "boundary_margin": -0.005353,
    "trend_agreement": "Fully aligned",
    "persistence": "Early",
    "direction_turnover": "High",
    "annualized_volatility": 0.089765,
    "volatility_stability": 1.1417,
    "risk_context": 1.114,
    "current_regime": {
      "move": 0.010405,
      "interruption": 0.010405,
      "interruption_label": "Largest rebound inside regime"
    },
    "research_priority": 55.058,
    "interpretation": {
      "label": "Negative across all Trend views",
      "headline": "All measured Trend views are negative",
      "body": "The faster, intermediate, established and Core Trend views point in the same direction, giving the current regime broad agreement.",
      "age_context": "The current Core Trend remains in its early lifecycle.",
      "boundary_context": "The latest close is 0.5% below the decision boundary.",
      "stability_context": "Recent Core Trend turnover is high."
    },
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "close": 23.877239,
        "direction_boundary": 23.826613,
        "core_momentum": 0.002125,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.071327
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 24.27757,
        "direction_boundary": 24.508749,
        "core_momentum": -0.009433,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.074172
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 24.238265,
        "direction_boundary": 23.036806,
        "core_momentum": 0.052154,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.072308
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 24.426851,
        "direction_boundary": 23.267407,
        "core_momentum": 0.049831,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.07284
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 24.31767,
        "direction_boundary": 23.597907,
        "core_momentum": 0.030501,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.072814
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 24.015289,
        "direction_boundary": 23.422629,
        "core_momentum": 0.025303,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.073425
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 24.143925,
        "direction_boundary": 23.263571,
        "core_momentum": 0.037843,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.073837
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 23.524962,
        "direction_boundary": 23.08595,
        "core_momentum": 0.019016,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.0816
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 23.755733,
        "direction_boundary": 22.69749,
        "core_momentum": 0.046624,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.082294
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 24.019358,
        "direction_boundary": 23.076146,
        "core_momentum": 0.040874,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.08338
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 23.908403,
        "direction_boundary": 22.933502,
        "core_momentum": 0.04251,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.080799
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 24.105429,
        "direction_boundary": 23.182,
        "core_momentum": 0.039834,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.081056
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 24.332238,
        "direction_boundary": 23.238199,
        "core_momentum": 0.047079,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.081772
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 24.498784,
        "direction_boundary": 23.46567,
        "core_momentum": 0.044027,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.082173
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 24.079307,
        "direction_boundary": 23.459666,
        "core_momentum": 0.026413,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.08548
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 23.795493,
        "direction_boundary": 23.189301,
        "core_momentum": 0.026141,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.086101
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 23.84658,
        "direction_boundary": 23.075993,
        "core_momentum": 0.033393,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.086198
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 23.519149,
        "direction_boundary": 23.344823,
        "core_momentum": 0.007467,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.088054
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 23.282738,
        "direction_boundary": 23.778068,
        "core_momentum": -0.020831,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.088813
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 23.525,
        "direction_boundary": 23.651598,
        "core_momentum": -0.005353,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.089765
      }
    ],
    "price_history": [
      {
        "date": "2025-03-28",
        "close": 23.826613,
        "volume": 1632
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-04",
        "close": 24.508749,
        "volume": 9614
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-11",
        "close": 23.036806,
        "volume": 4803
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-18",
        "close": 23.267407,
        "volume": 359
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-25",
        "close": 23.597907,
        "volume": 3496
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-02",
        "close": 23.422629,
        "volume": 9790
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-09",
        "close": 23.263571,
        "volume": 998
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-16",
        "close": 23.08595,
        "volume": 7704
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-23",
        "close": 22.69749,
        "volume": 6165
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-30",
        "close": 23.076146,
        "volume": 6640
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-06",
        "close": 22.933502,
        "volume": 9135
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-13",
        "close": 23.182,
        "volume": 13992
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-20",
        "close": 23.238199,
        "volume": 4884
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-27",
        "close": 23.46567,
        "volume": 735
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-04",
        "close": 23.459666,
        "volume": 6098
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-11",
        "close": 23.189301,
        "volume": 28465
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-18",
        "close": 23.075993,
        "volume": 11975
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-25",
        "close": 23.344823,
        "volume": 8374
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-01",
        "close": 23.778068,
        "volume": 12971
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-08",
        "close": 23.651598,
        "volume": 6022
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-15",
        "close": 23.454141,
        "volume": 7530
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-22",
        "close": 23.626651,
        "volume": 14487
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-29",
        "close": 23.580417,
        "volume": 16836
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-05",
        "close": 24.100343,
        "volume": 71436
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-12",
        "close": 24.372734,
        "volume": 17753
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-19",
        "close": 24.175669,
        "volume": 8253
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-26",
        "close": 24.118425,
        "volume": 3518
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-03",
        "close": 24.325675,
        "volume": 20303
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-10",
        "close": 24.605262,
        "volume": 12591
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-17",
        "close": 24.727192,
        "volume": 12641
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-24",
        "close": 24.81301,
        "volume": 6842
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-31",
        "close": 24.555849,
        "volume": 11107
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-07",
        "close": 24.478511,
        "volume": 13573
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-14",
        "close": 24.335587,
        "volume": 9159
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-21",
        "close": 24.500919,
        "volume": 9205
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-28",
        "close": 24.660015,
        "volume": 3662
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-05",
        "close": 24.272257,
        "volume": 10104
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-12",
        "close": 24.092417,
        "volume": 5837
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-19",
        "close": 24.221742,
        "volume": 27042
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-26",
        "close": 24.305784,
        "volume": 9231
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-02",
        "close": 24.190324,
        "volume": 4202
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-09",
        "close": 24.386096,
        "volume": 6444
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-16",
        "close": 24.343191,
        "volume": 4762
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-23",
        "close": 24.344565,
        "volume": 8466
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-30",
        "close": 24.241083,
        "volume": 50818
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-06",
        "close": 24.385108,
        "volume": 16714
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-13",
        "close": 24.89323,
        "volume": 10645
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-20",
        "close": 24.834714,
        "volume": 5440
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-27",
        "close": 25.166894,
        "volume": 2052
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "close": 24.63091,
        "volume": 19488
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "close": 24.165105,
        "volume": 7884
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "close": 23.880502,
        "volume": 2832
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "close": 23.877239,
        "volume": 5220
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 24.27757,
        "volume": 5649
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 24.238265,
        "volume": 1300
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 24.426851,
        "volume": 3159
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 24.31767,
        "volume": 612
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 24.015289,
        "volume": 7358
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 24.143925,
        "volume": 58595
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 23.524962,
        "volume": 22140
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 23.755733,
        "volume": 28545
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 24.019358,
        "volume": 36076
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 23.908403,
        "volume": 17596
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 24.105429,
        "volume": 4185
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 24.332238,
        "volume": 4086
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 24.498784,
        "volume": 10475
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 24.079307,
        "volume": 3879
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 23.795493,
        "volume": 12072
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 23.84658,
        "volume": 4791
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 23.519149,
        "volume": 3386
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 23.282738,
        "volume": 7670
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 23.525,
        "volume": 7192
      }
    ],
    "sharemaestro_context": {
      "trend": 24.145843,
      "fair_value": 23.963561,
      "market_activity": -22.660684,
      "market_dynamics": -0.80124,
      "relative_strength": -15.212003
    },
    "historical_outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Longer term",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "regime_history": [
      {
        "direction": "positive",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "Brief",
        "return": 0.0
      },
      {
        "direction": "negative",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-04-03",
        "tenure": "Brief",
        "return": 0.0
      },
      {
        "direction": "positive",
        "start": "2026-04-10",
        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.029669
      },
      {
        "direction": "negative",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Brief",
        "return": 0.010405
      }
    ]
  }
}