{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "149ab599-a497-4c63-97c2-b31ab0da947c",
    "symbol": "EX59",
    "name": "ISHARES GOVGER 10Y+ UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "The SM framework classifies the established weekly price path as the Core Trend. Faster and slower Trend views and Sharemaestro context describe that state but do not alter its direction.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "latest_close": 112.599998,
    "direction": "negative",
    "state": "Negative across all Trend views",
    "is_fresh": false,
    "is_near_boundary": false,
    "direction_boundary": 119.82,
    "boundary_margin": -0.060257,
    "trend_agreement": "Fully aligned",
    "persistence": "Early",
    "direction_turnover": "Low",
    "annualized_volatility": 0.089782,
    "volatility_stability": 1.2016,
    "risk_context": 1.1138,
    "current_regime": {
      "move": -0.016594,
      "interruption": 0.010228,
      "interruption_label": "Largest rebound inside regime"
    },
    "research_priority": 82.442,
    "interpretation": {
      "label": "Negative across all Trend views",
      "headline": "All measured Trend views are negative",
      "body": "The faster, intermediate, established and Core Trend views point in the same direction, giving the current regime broad agreement.",
      "age_context": "The current Core Trend remains in its early lifecycle.",
      "boundary_context": "The latest close is 6.0% below the decision boundary.",
      "stability_context": "Recent Core Trend turnover is low."
    },
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 114.5,
        "direction_boundary": 121.32,
        "core_momentum": -0.056215,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.088942
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 112.860001,
        "direction_boundary": 118.779999,
        "core_momentum": -0.04984,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.090111
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 112.459999,
        "direction_boundary": 119.0,
        "core_momentum": -0.054958,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.089444
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 112.099998,
        "direction_boundary": 119.059998,
        "core_momentum": -0.058458,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.088496
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 111.459999,
        "direction_boundary": 119.559998,
        "core_momentum": -0.067748,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.088419
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 112.599998,
        "direction_boundary": 119.82,
        "core_momentum": -0.060257,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.089782
      }
    ],
    "price_history": [
      {
        "date": "2025-07-04",
        "close": 121.32,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-11",
        "close": 118.779999,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-18",
        "close": 119.0,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-25",
        "close": 119.059998,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-01",
        "close": 119.559998,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-08",
        "close": 119.82,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-15",
        "close": 117.18,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-22",
        "close": 117.5,
        "volume": 8
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-29",
        "close": 117.019997,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-05",
        "close": 117.959999,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-12",
        "close": 117.620003,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-19",
        "close": 117.019997,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-26",
        "close": 117.18,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-03",
        "close": 118.120003,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-10",
        "close": 118.739998,
        "volume": 256
      },
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        "date": "2025-10-17",
        "close": 120.18,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-24",
        "close": 119.519997,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-31",
        "close": 119.400002,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-07",
        "close": 118.68,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-14",
        "close": 118.0,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-21",
        "close": 117.120003,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-28",
        "close": 117.220001,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-05",
        "close": 115.360001,
        "volume": 0
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      {
        "date": "2025-12-12",
        "close": 114.459999,
        "volume": 0
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      {
        "date": "2025-12-19",
        "close": 113.699997,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-26",
        "close": 114.300003,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-02",
        "close": 113.800003,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-09",
        "close": 114.900002,
        "volume": 0
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        "date": "2026-01-16",
        "close": 115.739998,
        "volume": 0
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      {
        "date": "2026-01-23",
        "close": 114.540001,
        "volume": 0
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        "date": "2026-01-30",
        "close": 115.040001,
        "volume": 0
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      {
        "date": "2026-02-06",
        "close": 115.160004,
        "volume": 0
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      {
        "date": "2026-02-13",
        "close": 116.279999,
        "volume": 0
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      {
        "date": "2026-02-20",
        "close": 116.540001,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-27",
        "close": 117.720001,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "close": 115.440002,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "close": 114.040001,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "close": 113.82,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "close": 112.919998,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 113.879997,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 113.0,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 113.879997,
        "volume": 0
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 113.980003,
        "volume": 0
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 111.440002,
        "volume": 0
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 113.940002,
        "volume": 0
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 111.160004,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 113.0,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 114.5,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 113.080002,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 113.5,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 113.800003,
        "volume": 0
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 115.860001,
        "volume": 0
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 114.5,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 112.860001,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 112.459999,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 112.099998,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 111.459999,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 112.599998,
        "volume": 0
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    ],
    "sharemaestro_context": {
      "trend": 113.941334,
      "fair_value": 115.702759,
      "market_activity": -53.86095,
      "market_dynamics": 0.049451,
      "relative_strength": -20.845389
    },
    "historical_outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.002304,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "conditional_difference": 0.012123,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Longer term",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "regime_history": [
      {
        "direction": "negative",
        "start": "2026-07-03",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.016594
      }
    ]
  }
}