{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1d74898d-c50a-4573-a769-2bf73aa7229e",
    "symbol": "AM17",
    "name": "AMUNDI MSCI CHINA UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "The SM framework classifies the established weekly price path as the Core Trend. Faster and slower Trend views and Sharemaestro context describe that state but do not alter its direction.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "latest_close": 18.76,
    "direction": "positive",
    "state": "Positive, near its boundary",
    "is_fresh": false,
    "is_near_boundary": true,
    "direction_boundary": 18.664,
    "boundary_margin": 0.005144,
    "trend_agreement": "Narrow",
    "persistence": "Early",
    "direction_turnover": "High",
    "annualized_volatility": 0.174871,
    "volatility_stability": 1.0555,
    "risk_context": 0.5719,
    "current_regime": {
      "move": 0.012303,
      "interruption": 0.0,
      "interruption_label": "Deepest pullback inside regime"
    },
    "research_priority": 24.152,
    "interpretation": {
      "label": "Positive, near its boundary",
      "headline": "Positive, near its boundary",
      "body": "Price is close enough to the Direction Boundary that a relatively small move could change the primary regime.",
      "age_context": "The current Core Trend remains in its early lifecycle.",
      "boundary_context": "The latest close is 0.5% above the decision boundary.",
      "stability_context": "Recent Core Trend turnover is high."
    },
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 17.232,
        "direction_boundary": 17.346001,
        "core_momentum": -0.006572,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.154884
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 17.9,
        "direction_boundary": 17.612,
        "core_momentum": 0.016352,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.164767
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 17.634001,
        "direction_boundary": 18.497999,
        "core_momentum": -0.046708,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.164737
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 18.01,
        "direction_boundary": 18.688,
        "core_momentum": -0.03628,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.168706
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 18.532,
        "direction_boundary": 18.238001,
        "core_momentum": 0.01612,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.174775
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 18.76,
        "direction_boundary": 18.664,
        "core_momentum": 0.005144,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.174871
      }
    ],
    "price_history": [
      {
        "date": "2025-07-04",
        "close": 17.346001,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-11",
        "close": 17.612,
        "volume": 345
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-18",
        "close": 18.497999,
        "volume": 1200
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-25",
        "close": 18.688,
        "volume": 350
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-01",
        "close": 18.238001,
        "volume": 4458
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-08",
        "close": 18.664,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-15",
        "close": 18.997999,
        "volume": 1486
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-22",
        "close": 19.582001,
        "volume": 5944
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-29",
        "close": 19.542,
        "volume": 10402
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-05",
        "close": 19.629999,
        "volume": 5944
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-12",
        "close": 20.365,
        "volume": 23776
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-19",
        "close": 20.625,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-26",
        "close": 20.59,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-03",
        "close": 21.285,
        "volume": 7277
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-10",
        "close": 20.940001,
        "volume": 2870
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-17",
        "close": 20.254999,
        "volume": 1435
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-24",
        "close": 20.875,
        "volume": 10045
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-31",
        "close": 20.705,
        "volume": 3981
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-07",
        "close": 20.459999,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-14",
        "close": 20.745001,
        "volume": 1435
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-21",
        "close": 19.756001,
        "volume": 2870
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-28",
        "close": 20.139999,
        "volume": 3409
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-05",
        "close": 20.174999,
        "volume": 4305
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-12",
        "close": 19.648001,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-19",
        "close": 19.746,
        "volume": 1435
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-26",
        "close": 19.532,
        "volume": 2870
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-02",
        "close": 20.09,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-09",
        "close": 20.334999,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-16",
        "close": 20.43,
        "volume": 4342
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-23",
        "close": 20.23,
        "volume": 13878
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-30",
        "close": 20.105,
        "volume": 3084
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-06",
        "close": 19.77,
        "volume": 3110
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-13",
        "close": 19.386,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-20",
        "close": 19.636,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-27",
        "close": 19.094,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "close": 18.674,
        "volume": 10416
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "close": 19.268,
        "volume": 960
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "close": 18.243999,
        "volume": 3084
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "close": 18.167999,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 18.364,
        "volume": 1640
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 18.620001,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 19.228001,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 18.792,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 18.68,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 18.931999,
        "volume": 2552
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 18.667999,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 18.214001,
        "volume": 4359
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 18.035999,
        "volume": 3280
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 18.042,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 18.062,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 17.656,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 16.812,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 17.232,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 17.9,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 17.634001,
        "volume": 2084
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 18.01,
        "volume": 5274
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 18.532,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 18.76,
        "volume": 0
      }
    ],
    "sharemaestro_context": {
      "trend": 18.6393,
      "fair_value": 19.176621,
      "market_activity": -49.128507,
      "market_dynamics": -0.246911,
      "relative_strength": -21.463795
    },
    "historical_outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.048045,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "conditional_difference": -0.013698,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Longer term",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "regime_history": [
      {
        "direction": "negative",
        "start": "2026-07-03",
        "end": "2026-07-03",
        "tenure": "Brief",
        "return": 0.0
      },
      {
        "direction": "positive",
        "start": "2026-07-10",
        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "Brief",
        "return": 0.0
      },
      {
        "direction": "negative",
        "start": "2026-07-17",
        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "Brief",
        "return": 0.021322
      },
      {
        "direction": "positive",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Brief",
        "return": 0.012303
      }
    ]
  }
}