{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "21f8b12f-aa0b-414c-bdc1-ca44074d3755",
    "symbol": "CARL",
    "name": "Carlsmed, Inc. Common Stock",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "The SM framework classifies the established weekly price path as the Core Trend. Faster and slower Trend views and Sharemaestro context describe that state but do not alter its direction.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "latest_close": 13.82,
    "direction": "positive",
    "state": "Fresh positive regime",
    "is_fresh": true,
    "is_near_boundary": false,
    "direction_boundary": 12.72,
    "boundary_margin": 0.086478,
    "trend_agreement": "Fully aligned",
    "persistence": "Fresh",
    "direction_turnover": "Moderate",
    "annualized_volatility": 0.740585,
    "volatility_stability": 0.9129,
    "risk_context": 0.135,
    "current_regime": {
      "move": 0.0,
      "interruption": 0.0,
      "interruption_label": "Deepest pullback inside regime"
    },
    "research_priority": 61.388,
    "interpretation": {
      "label": "Fresh positive regime",
      "headline": "The Core Trend has just turned positive",
      "body": "This is a new regime change, not a forecast. The faster and slower Trend views show whether the move is becoming broadly established.",
      "age_context": "The current Core Trend is newly established.",
      "boundary_context": "The latest close is 8.6% above the decision boundary.",
      "stability_context": "Recent Core Trend turnover is moderate."
    },
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 10.8,
        "direction_boundary": 14.5,
        "core_momentum": -0.255172,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.706276
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 12.59,
        "direction_boundary": 13.6,
        "core_momentum": -0.074265,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.73555
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 13.82,
        "direction_boundary": 12.72,
        "core_momentum": 0.086478,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.740585
      }
    ],
    "price_history": [
      {
        "date": "2025-07-25",
        "close": 14.5,
        "volume": 4076465
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-01",
        "close": 13.6,
        "volume": 1356971
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-08",
        "close": 12.72,
        "volume": 1357909
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-15",
        "close": 13.58,
        "volume": 452983
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-22",
        "close": 13.04,
        "volume": 582530
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-29",
        "close": 13.3,
        "volume": 609147
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-05",
        "close": 12.74,
        "volume": 195171
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-12",
        "close": 14.79,
        "volume": 393862
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-19",
        "close": 14.15,
        "volume": 1622685
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-26",
        "close": 13.67,
        "volume": 455944
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-03",
        "close": 12.97,
        "volume": 524907
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-10",
        "close": 13.12,
        "volume": 380194
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-17",
        "close": 13.55,
        "volume": 366885
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-24",
        "close": 13.48,
        "volume": 204343
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-31",
        "close": 12.89,
        "volume": 249139
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-07",
        "close": 13.66,
        "volume": 312944
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-14",
        "close": 13.11,
        "volume": 357519
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-21",
        "close": 12.49,
        "volume": 182765
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-28",
        "close": 16.28,
        "volume": 347157
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-05",
        "close": 13.26,
        "volume": 722491
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-12",
        "close": 12.95,
        "volume": 334001
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-19",
        "close": 12.85,
        "volume": 275629
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-26",
        "close": 13.71,
        "volume": 276652
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-02",
        "close": 11.63,
        "volume": 354555
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-09",
        "close": 12.69,
        "volume": 247542
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-16",
        "close": 12.57,
        "volume": 649019
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-23",
        "close": 13.23,
        "volume": 532313
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-30",
        "close": 12.42,
        "volume": 426695
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-06",
        "close": 11.67,
        "volume": 324838
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-13",
        "close": 10.95,
        "volume": 443454
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        "date": "2026-02-20",
        "close": 12.77,
        "volume": 313494
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      {
        "date": "2026-02-27",
        "close": 14.57,
        "volume": 1571506
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "close": 12.0,
        "volume": 1003350
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      {
        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "close": 11.4,
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        "date": "2026-03-20",
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        "date": "2026-03-27",
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        "date": "2026-04-03",
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        "date": "2026-04-10",
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 9.8,
        "volume": 771112
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 11.01,
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 12.11,
        "volume": 2253223
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 11.42,
        "volume": 621839
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 11.07,
        "volume": 653314
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 11.42,
        "volume": 304273
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 10.07,
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 11.9,
        "volume": 981746
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        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 11.66,
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 10.8,
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        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 12.59,
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      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 13.82,
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    ],
    "sharemaestro_context": {
      "trend": 11.378,
      "fair_value": 12.292182,
      "market_activity": 44.831333,
      "market_dynamics": 0.741336,
      "relative_strength": -1.601475
    },
    "historical_outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Longer term",
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        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
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        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "regime_history": [
      {
        "direction": "negative",
        "start": "2026-07-24",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Brief",
        "return": 0.165741
      },
      {
        "direction": "positive",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
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        "return": 0.0
      }
    ]
  }
}