{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "2e8640df-badf-4d6b-8c83-b0d488be1b49",
    "symbol": "NUGT",
    "name": "Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bull 2X Shares",
    "exchange": "MEX",
    "country": "MX",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "The SM framework classifies the established weekly price path as the Core Trend. Faster and slower Trend views and Sharemaestro context describe that state but do not alter its direction.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "latest_close": 2745.0,
    "direction": "positive",
    "state": "Positive, shorter trend weakening",
    "is_fresh": false,
    "is_near_boundary": false,
    "direction_boundary": 1696.651001,
    "boundary_margin": 0.617893,
    "trend_agreement": "Divided",
    "persistence": "Established",
    "direction_turnover": "Low",
    "annualized_volatility": 1.104248,
    "volatility_stability": 1.0887,
    "risk_context": 0.0906,
    "current_regime": {
      "move": -0.171223,
      "interruption": -0.444466,
      "interruption_label": "Deepest pullback inside regime"
    },
    "research_priority": 62.171,
    "interpretation": {
      "label": "Positive, shorter trend weakening",
      "headline": "Positive, shorter trend weakening",
      "body": "The Core Trend remains in force, but the Fast Trend now points the other way. That is an early loss of persistence, not yet a regime change.",
      "age_context": "The current Core Trend is established.",
      "boundary_context": "The latest close is 61.8% above the decision boundary.",
      "stability_context": "Recent Core Trend turnover is low."
    },
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 3312.108154,
        "direction_boundary": 71.641731,
        "core_momentum": 45.231548,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 1.061099
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 2855.781982,
        "direction_boundary": 1167.664795,
        "core_momentum": 1.445721,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 1.053882
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 2730.966309,
        "direction_boundary": 1382.23584,
        "core_momentum": 0.97576,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 1.041105
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 2945.649414,
        "direction_boundary": 1355.289551,
        "core_momentum": 1.173447,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 1.006544
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 2296.60791,
        "direction_boundary": 1432.135986,
        "core_momentum": 0.603624,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 1.062225
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 2296.60791,
        "direction_boundary": 1546.906372,
        "core_momentum": 0.484646,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 1.048803
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 2446.386719,
        "direction_boundary": 1463.074097,
        "core_momentum": 0.672087,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 1.051541
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 2169.0,
        "direction_boundary": 1317.399658,
        "core_momentum": 0.646425,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 1.058183
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 2200.0,
        "direction_boundary": 1387.261719,
        "core_momentum": 0.585858,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 1.055412
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 2044.349976,
        "direction_boundary": 1396.244019,
        "core_momentum": 0.464178,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 1.038752
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 1839.98999,
        "direction_boundary": 1342.699585,
        "core_momentum": 0.370366,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 1.033812
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1983.5,
        "direction_boundary": 1456.125732,
        "core_momentum": 0.362176,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 1.00457
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1900.0,
        "direction_boundary": 1392.251831,
        "core_momentum": 0.364696,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.959908
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2745.0,
        "direction_boundary": 1696.651001,
        "core_momentum": 0.617893,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 1.104248
      }
    ],
    "price_history": [
      {
        "date": "2025-05-09",
        "close": 71.641731,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-16",
        "close": 1167.664795,
        "volume": 4188
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-23",
        "close": 1382.23584,
        "volume": 6736
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-30",
        "close": 1355.289551,
        "volume": 1374
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-06",
        "close": 1432.135986,
        "volume": 925
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-13",
        "close": 1546.906372,
        "volume": 1397
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-20",
        "close": 1463.074097,
        "volume": 1788
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-27",
        "close": 1317.399658,
        "volume": 3071
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-04",
        "close": 1387.261719,
        "volume": 425
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-11",
        "close": 1396.244019,
        "volume": 1399
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-18",
        "close": 1342.699585,
        "volume": 1800
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-25",
        "close": 1456.125732,
        "volume": 9592
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-01",
        "close": 1392.251831,
        "volume": 5220
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-08",
        "close": 1696.651001,
        "volume": 3750
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-15",
        "close": 1666.710083,
        "volume": 222
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-22",
        "close": 1808.929443,
        "volume": 3301
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-29",
        "close": 1966.119019,
        "volume": 9871
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-05",
        "close": 2177.701416,
        "volume": 1523
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-12",
        "close": 2385.291748,
        "volume": 683
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-19",
        "close": 2561.942871,
        "volume": 4693
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-26",
        "close": 2694.680908,
        "volume": 4732
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-03",
        "close": 2867.340332,
        "volume": 1692
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-10",
        "close": 2774.523438,
        "volume": 5442
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-17",
        "close": 2933.220215,
        "volume": 11213
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-24",
        "close": 2602.712646,
        "volume": 31865
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-31",
        "close": 2405.671387,
        "volume": 4966
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-07",
        "close": 2419.224609,
        "volume": 867
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-14",
        "close": 2904.267334,
        "volume": 4880
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-21",
        "close": 2566.933105,
        "volume": 1224
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-28",
        "close": 3143.794434,
        "volume": 2770
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-05",
        "close": 3019.040527,
        "volume": 931
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-12",
        "close": 3360.366943,
        "volume": 5955
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-19",
        "close": 3503.085205,
        "volume": 2710
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-26",
        "close": 3659.601318,
        "volume": 10615
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-02",
        "close": 3373.539063,
        "volume": 2855
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-09",
        "close": 3811.939453,
        "volume": 3067
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-16",
        "close": 4122.105469,
        "volume": 10384
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-23",
        "close": 4889.635254,
        "volume": 16655
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-30",
        "close": 3843.638672,
        "volume": 4995
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-06",
        "close": 3932.468506,
        "volume": 3434
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-13",
        "close": 4330.216797,
        "volume": 1706
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-20",
        "close": 4516.350586,
        "volume": 1337
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-27",
        "close": 5359.735352,
        "volume": 2907
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "close": 4147.057617,
        "volume": 2461
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "close": 3615.475586,
        "volume": 4222
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "close": 2606.009033,
        "volume": 6552
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "close": 2977.0,
        "volume": 2567
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 3667.72998,
        "volume": 10487
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 3786.0,
        "volume": 3341
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 3899.0,
        "volume": 1351
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 3385.000488,
        "volume": 5383
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 2965.619873,
        "volume": 5507
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 3312.108154,
        "volume": 5332
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 2855.781982,
        "volume": 2974
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 2730.966309,
        "volume": 3374
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 2945.649414,
        "volume": 4885
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 2296.60791,
        "volume": 7588
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 2296.60791,
        "volume": 2547
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 2446.386719,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 2169.0,
        "volume": 37
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 2200.0,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 2044.349976,
        "volume": 5675
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 1839.98999,
        "volume": 1365
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1983.5,
        "volume": 3315
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1900.0,
        "volume": 763
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2745.0,
        "volume": 8897
      }
    ],
    "sharemaestro_context": {
      "trend": 3193.633053,
      "fair_value": 2648.8365,
      "market_activity": -28.689942,
      "market_dynamics": -1.900715,
      "relative_strength": -10.024508
    },
    "historical_outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.195804,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "conditional_difference": -0.072703,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Longer term",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "regime_history": [
      {
        "direction": "positive",
        "start": "2026-05-08",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.171223
      }
    ]
  }
}