{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3672ebe3-e5ea-460c-9eb5-3edab190e8d0",
    "symbol": "AM16",
    "name": "AMUNDI MSCI CHINA UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "The SM framework classifies the established weekly price path as the Core Trend. Faster and slower Trend views and Sharemaestro context describe that state but do not alter its direction.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-07-31",
    "latest_close": 167.440002,
    "direction": "positive",
    "state": "Positive, shorter trend weakening",
    "is_fresh": false,
    "is_near_boundary": false,
    "direction_boundary": 132.940002,
    "boundary_margin": 0.259516,
    "trend_agreement": "Broadly aligned",
    "persistence": "Early",
    "direction_turnover": "Low",
    "annualized_volatility": 0.15991,
    "volatility_stability": 1.1997,
    "risk_context": 0.6254,
    "current_regime": {
      "move": -0.055719,
      "interruption": -0.066659,
      "interruption_label": "Deepest pullback inside regime"
    },
    "research_priority": 81.923,
    "interpretation": {
      "label": "Positive, shorter trend weakening",
      "headline": "Positive, shorter trend weakening",
      "body": "The Core Trend remains in force, but the Fast Trend now points the other way. That is an early loss of persistence, not yet a regime change.",
      "age_context": "The current Core Trend remains in its early lifecycle.",
      "boundary_context": "The latest close is 26.0% above the decision boundary.",
      "stability_context": "Recent Core Trend turnover is low."
    },
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 177.320007,
        "direction_boundary": 127.660004,
        "core_momentum": 0.389002,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.129809
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 176.380005,
        "direction_boundary": 129.380005,
        "core_momentum": 0.363271,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.122989
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 165.5,
        "direction_boundary": 132.160004,
        "core_momentum": 0.25227,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.153873
      },
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        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 170.619995,
        "direction_boundary": 133.899994,
        "core_momentum": 0.274235,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.158869
      },
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        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 167.440002,
        "direction_boundary": 132.940002,
        "core_momentum": 0.259516,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.15991
      }
    ],
    "price_history": [
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        "date": "2025-07-04",
        "close": 127.660004,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-11",
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        "volume": 0
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        "date": "2025-07-18",
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        "volume": 238
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        "date": "2025-07-25",
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        "date": "2025-08-01",
        "close": 132.940002,
        "volume": 476
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      {
        "date": "2025-08-08",
        "close": 134.820007,
        "volume": 238
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        "date": "2025-08-15",
        "close": 137.419998,
        "volume": 476
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-22",
        "close": 145.139999,
        "volume": 714
      },
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        "date": "2025-08-29",
        "close": 149.279999,
        "volume": 0
      },
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        "date": "2025-09-05",
        "close": 147.660004,
        "volume": 0
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        "date": "2025-09-12",
        "close": 150.339996,
        "volume": 0
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        "volume": 0
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        "date": "2025-09-26",
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        "date": "2025-10-03",
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        "close": 156.979996,
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        "date": "2025-11-14",
        "close": 156.0,
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        "close": 151.119995,
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        "date": "2025-12-26",
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        "date": "2026-01-02",
        "close": 157.119995,
        "volume": 0
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        "date": "2026-01-09",
        "close": 162.660004,
        "volume": 0
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        "date": "2026-01-16",
        "close": 162.059998,
        "volume": 195
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        "date": "2026-01-23",
        "close": 161.080002,
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        "date": "2026-02-13",
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        "date": "2026-02-27",
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        "date": "2026-03-06",
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        "date": "2026-03-13",
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        "date": "2026-03-20",
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        "date": "2026-03-27",
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        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 158.399994,
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        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 162.520004,
        "volume": 0
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 166.339996,
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "volume": 0
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 172.860001,
        "volume": 0
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 174.880005,
        "volume": 0
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 171.539993,
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 172.800003,
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 180.639999,
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        "close": 179.020004,
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 165.5,
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        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 167.440002,
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    ],
    "sharemaestro_context": {
      "trend": 167.088,
      "fair_value": 157.69228,
      "market_activity": 23.84965,
      "market_dynamics": -0.156829,
      "relative_strength": -12.64264
    },
    "historical_outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
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        "sufficient": false
      },
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        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "regime_history": [
      {
        "direction": "positive",
        "start": "2026-07-03",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.055719
      }
    ]
  }
}