{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3c65f525-9c9e-4648-bae0-ba9ce4c954e3",
    "symbol": "IBID",
    "name": "ISHARES TRUST IBONDS OCT 2027 TERM TIPS ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "The SM framework classifies the established weekly price path as the Core Trend. Faster and slower Trend views and Sharemaestro context describe that state but do not alter its direction.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "latest_close": 25.72,
    "direction": "positive",
    "state": "Positive, Trend views divided",
    "is_fresh": false,
    "is_near_boundary": false,
    "direction_boundary": 25.449648,
    "boundary_margin": 0.010623,
    "trend_agreement": "Broadly aligned",
    "persistence": "Extended",
    "direction_turnover": "Low",
    "annualized_volatility": 0.03368,
    "volatility_stability": 0.5138,
    "risk_context": 1.5,
    "current_regime": {
      "move": 0.058189,
      "interruption": -0.022283,
      "interruption_label": "Deepest pullback inside regime"
    },
    "research_priority": 69.462,
    "interpretation": {
      "label": "Positive, Trend views divided",
      "headline": "Positive, Trend views divided",
      "body": "The Core Trend remains intact, but faster and slower Trend views disagree. The regime is less settled than a fully aligned trend.",
      "age_context": "The current Core Trend has an extended history.",
      "boundary_context": "The latest close is 1.1% above the decision boundary.",
      "stability_context": "Recent Core Trend turnover is low."
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    "historical_outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.001589,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6667,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "conditional_difference": -0.001132,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.026326,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "conditional_difference": 0.016544,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Longer term",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.038313,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "conditional_difference": 0.018249,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.058364,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "conditional_difference": 0.012031,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "regime_history": [
      {
        "direction": "positive",
        "start": "2024-09-13",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.058189
      }
    ]
  }
}