{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "42648fc5-52fb-4952-b895-8558a66d3683",
    "symbol": "QQQA",
    "name": "UBS Nasdaq-100 UCITS ETF USD acc",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "The SM framework classifies the established weekly price path as the Core Trend. Faster and slower Trend views and Sharemaestro context describe that state but do not alter its direction.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "latest_close": 2563.25,
    "direction": "positive",
    "state": "Positive across all Trend views",
    "is_fresh": false,
    "is_near_boundary": false,
    "direction_boundary": 2031.25,
    "boundary_margin": 0.261908,
    "trend_agreement": "Fully aligned",
    "persistence": "Established",
    "direction_turnover": "Moderate",
    "annualized_volatility": 0.189691,
    "volatility_stability": 0.4417,
    "risk_context": 0.5272,
    "current_regime": {
      "move": 0.257265,
      "interruption": -0.093069,
      "interruption_label": "Deepest pullback inside regime"
    },
    "research_priority": 95.192,
    "interpretation": {
      "label": "Positive across all Trend views",
      "headline": "All measured Trend views are positive",
      "body": "The faster, intermediate, established and Core Trend views point in the same direction, giving the current regime broad agreement.",
      "age_context": "The current Core Trend is established.",
      "boundary_context": "The latest close is 26.2% above the decision boundary.",
      "stability_context": "Recent Core Trend turnover is moderate."
    },
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "close": 2146.25,
        "direction_boundary": 2281.169922,
        "core_momentum": -0.059145,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.594577
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "close": 2103.0,
        "direction_boundary": 2287.070068,
        "core_momentum": -0.080483,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.594508
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "close": 2038.75,
        "direction_boundary": 1727.800049,
        "core_momentum": 0.179969,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.596042
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 2109.0,
        "direction_boundary": 1594.300049,
        "core_momentum": 0.322838,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.597564
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 2174.5,
        "direction_boundary": 1622.5,
        "core_momentum": 0.340216,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.599122
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 2290.5,
        "direction_boundary": 1591.900024,
        "core_momentum": 0.438847,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.603236
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 2342.0,
        "direction_boundary": 1674.099976,
        "core_momentum": 0.398961,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.389672
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 2368.0,
        "direction_boundary": 1746.099976,
        "core_momentum": 0.356165,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.175021
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 2481.0,
        "direction_boundary": 1747.099976,
        "core_momentum": 0.420068,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.168159
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 2552.5,
        "direction_boundary": 1862.599976,
        "core_momentum": 0.370396,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.170398
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 2565.0,
        "direction_boundary": 1794.400024,
        "core_momentum": 0.429447,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.159523
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 2619.0,
        "direction_boundary": 1833.800049,
        "core_momentum": 0.428182,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.154224
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 2580.5,
        "direction_boundary": 1864.599976,
        "core_momentum": 0.383943,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.156999
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 2572.5,
        "direction_boundary": 1856.599976,
        "core_momentum": 0.385597,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.153968
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 2672.75,
        "direction_boundary": 1862.400024,
        "core_momentum": 0.435111,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.159973
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 2580.25,
        "direction_boundary": 1908.300049,
        "core_momentum": 0.35212,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.17059
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 2584.0,
        "direction_boundary": 1931.5,
        "core_momentum": 0.33782,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.168255
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 2581.5,
        "direction_boundary": 1955.400024,
        "core_momentum": 0.32019,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.166154
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 2472.5,
        "direction_boundary": 1987.400024,
        "core_momentum": 0.244088,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.179092
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 2473.0,
        "direction_boundary": 2008.25,
        "core_momentum": 0.23142,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.17804
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2424.0,
        "direction_boundary": 1994.800049,
        "core_momentum": 0.215159,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.18014
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2563.25,
        "direction_boundary": 2031.25,
        "core_momentum": 0.261908,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.189691
      }
    ],
    "price_history": [
      {
        "date": "2025-03-14",
        "close": 2281.169922,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-21",
        "close": 2287.070068,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-28",
        "close": 1727.800049,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-04",
        "close": 1594.300049,
        "volume": 1556
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-11",
        "close": 1622.5,
        "volume": 35387
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-18",
        "close": 1591.900024,
        "volume": 12609
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-25",
        "close": 1674.099976,
        "volume": 1061
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-02",
        "close": 1746.099976,
        "volume": 2858
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-09",
        "close": 1747.099976,
        "volume": 1683
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-16",
        "close": 1862.599976,
        "volume": 1647
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-23",
        "close": 1794.400024,
        "volume": 1253
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-30",
        "close": 1833.800049,
        "volume": 9146
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-06",
        "close": 1864.599976,
        "volume": 19232
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-13",
        "close": 1856.599976,
        "volume": 5221
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-20",
        "close": 1862.400024,
        "volume": 14770
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-27",
        "close": 1908.300049,
        "volume": 7287
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-04",
        "close": 1931.5,
        "volume": 19809
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-11",
        "close": 1955.400024,
        "volume": 11718
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-18",
        "close": 1987.400024,
        "volume": 44042
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-25",
        "close": 2008.25,
        "volume": 21400
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-01",
        "close": 1994.800049,
        "volume": 82249
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-08",
        "close": 2031.25,
        "volume": 9279
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-15",
        "close": 2027.25,
        "volume": 22227
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-22",
        "close": 2017.25,
        "volume": 8565
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-29",
        "close": 2012.25,
        "volume": 6376
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-05",
        "close": 2023.25,
        "volume": 10651
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-12",
        "close": 2060.5,
        "volume": 24785
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-19",
        "close": 2108.0,
        "volume": 71230
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-26",
        "close": 2111.5,
        "volume": 71564
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-03",
        "close": 2146.75,
        "volume": 38014
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-10",
        "close": 2141.25,
        "volume": 52809
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-17",
        "close": 2129.25,
        "volume": 42246
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-24",
        "close": 2942.830078,
        "volume": 28216
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-31",
        "close": 2291.0,
        "volume": 101192
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-07",
        "close": 2174.5,
        "volume": 54035
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-14",
        "close": 2213.5,
        "volume": 50459
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-21",
        "close": 2135.0,
        "volume": 140116
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-28",
        "close": 2219.5,
        "volume": 40846
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-05",
        "close": 2232.0,
        "volume": 37355
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-12",
        "close": 2193.0,
        "volume": 26855
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-19",
        "close": 2194.0,
        "volume": 1437296
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-26",
        "close": 2200.25,
        "volume": 104234
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-02",
        "close": 2169.5,
        "volume": 136169
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-09",
        "close": 2227.25,
        "volume": 57117
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-16",
        "close": 2218.75,
        "volume": 103212
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-23",
        "close": 2196.75,
        "volume": 238095
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-30",
        "close": 2174.0,
        "volume": 125828
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-06",
        "close": 2127.25,
        "volume": 95263
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-13",
        "close": 2112.25,
        "volume": 143307
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-20",
        "close": 2151.5,
        "volume": 150290
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-27",
        "close": 2152.25,
        "volume": 202964
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "close": 2180.0,
        "volume": 89832
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "close": 2146.25,
        "volume": 104317
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "close": 2103.0,
        "volume": 87784
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "close": 2038.75,
        "volume": 66264
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 2109.0,
        "volume": 136526
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 2174.5,
        "volume": 264200
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 2290.5,
        "volume": 224119
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 2342.0,
        "volume": 216344
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 2368.0,
        "volume": 102616
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 2481.0,
        "volume": 196606
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 2552.5,
        "volume": 248609
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 2565.0,
        "volume": 228542
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 2619.0,
        "volume": 235041
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 2580.5,
        "volume": 52205
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 2572.5,
        "volume": 89058
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 2672.75,
        "volume": 76196
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 2580.25,
        "volume": 60155
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 2584.0,
        "volume": 37237
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 2581.5,
        "volume": 168911
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 2472.5,
        "volume": 270177
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 2473.0,
        "volume": 179971
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2424.0,
        "volume": 263334
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2563.25,
        "volume": 269187
      }
    ],
    "sharemaestro_context": {
      "trend": 2353.55,
      "fair_value": 2158.640815,
      "market_activity": 17.025299,
      "market_dynamics": -0.081373,
      "relative_strength": 3.748297
    },
    "historical_outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.005667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "conditional_difference": -0.020967,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.079459,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "conditional_difference": -0.107711,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Longer term",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "regime_history": [
      {
        "direction": "negative",
        "start": "2026-03-13",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Brief",
        "return": -0.020151
      },
      {
        "direction": "positive",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.257265
      }
    ]
  }
}