{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4e57172e-0332-43d5-8619-692276f83acf",
    "symbol": "PYPG",
    "name": "LEVERAGE SHARES 2X LONG PYPL DAILY ETF",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "The SM framework classifies the established weekly price path as the Core Trend. Faster and slower Trend views and Sharemaestro context describe that state but do not alter its direction.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "latest_close": 9.1773,
    "direction": "negative",
    "state": "Negative, shorter trend recovering",
    "is_fresh": false,
    "is_near_boundary": false,
    "direction_boundary": 16.3591,
    "boundary_margin": -0.439009,
    "trend_agreement": "Divided",
    "persistence": "Established",
    "direction_turnover": "Low",
    "annualized_volatility": 0.81148,
    "volatility_stability": 0.9191,
    "risk_context": 0.1232,
    "current_regime": {
      "move": 0.542948,
      "interruption": 0.924245,
      "interruption_label": "Largest rebound inside regime"
    },
    "research_priority": 63.538,
    "interpretation": {
      "label": "Negative, shorter trend recovering",
      "headline": "Negative, shorter trend recovering",
      "body": "The Core Trend remains in force, but the Fast Trend now points the other way. That is an early loss of persistence, not yet a regime change.",
      "age_context": "The current Core Trend is established.",
      "boundary_context": "The latest close is 43.9% below the decision boundary.",
      "stability_context": "Recent Core Trend turnover is low."
    },
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 5.9479,
        "direction_boundary": 13.3478,
        "core_momentum": -0.554391,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.960321
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 5.9076,
        "direction_boundary": 15.0596,
        "core_momentum": -0.607719,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.959386
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 7.3903,
        "direction_boundary": 14.25,
        "core_momentum": -0.481382,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.024945
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 7.2781,
        "direction_boundary": 16.3353,
        "core_momentum": -0.554456,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.016651
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 7.2427,
        "direction_boundary": 17.2502,
        "core_momentum": -0.580138,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.017199
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 5.81,
        "direction_boundary": 18.7164,
        "core_momentum": -0.689577,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 1.046989
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 5.54,
        "direction_boundary": 19.6796,
        "core_momentum": -0.71849,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 1.041843
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 5.485,
        "direction_boundary": 18.46,
        "core_momentum": -0.702871,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 1.040586
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 5.5853,
        "direction_boundary": 18.62,
        "core_momentum": -0.700038,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.03366
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 4.7693,
        "direction_boundary": 20.33,
        "core_momentum": -0.765406,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.047856
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 4.8003,
        "direction_boundary": 18.72,
        "core_momentum": -0.743574,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.049501
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 4.9954,
        "direction_boundary": 18.26,
        "core_momentum": -0.726429,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.053988
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 5.41,
        "direction_boundary": 20.0,
        "core_momentum": -0.7295,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.06444
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 5.67,
        "direction_boundary": 21.64,
        "core_momentum": -0.737985,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.068423
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 5.855,
        "direction_boundary": 18.72,
        "core_momentum": -0.687233,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.071416
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 8.5,
        "direction_boundary": 20.0032,
        "core_momentum": -0.575068,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 1.20401
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 8.36,
        "direction_boundary": 22.1717,
        "core_momentum": -0.622943,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 1.204046
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 8.6549,
        "direction_boundary": 16.2,
        "core_momentum": -0.465747,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 1.188603
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 9.1773,
        "direction_boundary": 16.3591,
        "core_momentum": -0.439009,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.81148
      }
    ],
    "price_history": [
      {
        "date": "2025-04-04",
        "close": 13.3478,
        "volume": 304
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-11",
        "close": 15.0596,
        "volume": 36035
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-18",
        "close": 14.25,
        "volume": 4079
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-25",
        "close": 16.3353,
        "volume": 9465
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-02",
        "close": 17.2502,
        "volume": 37723
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-09",
        "close": 18.7164,
        "volume": 17389
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-16",
        "close": 19.6796,
        "volume": 18944
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-23",
        "close": 18.46,
        "volume": 28433
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-30",
        "close": 18.62,
        "volume": 17976
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-06",
        "close": 20.33,
        "volume": 24546
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-13",
        "close": 18.72,
        "volume": 29061
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-20",
        "close": 18.26,
        "volume": 27428
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-27",
        "close": 20.0,
        "volume": 83365
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-04",
        "close": 21.64,
        "volume": 98736
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-11",
        "close": 18.72,
        "volume": 72857
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-18",
        "close": 20.0032,
        "volume": 74279
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-25",
        "close": 22.1717,
        "volume": 115076
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-01",
        "close": 16.2,
        "volume": 1112654
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-08",
        "close": 16.3591,
        "volume": 246276
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-15",
        "close": 17.12,
        "volume": 279283
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-22",
        "close": 17.2907,
        "volume": 279893
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-29",
        "close": 17.3575,
        "volume": 148369
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-05",
        "close": 16.371,
        "volume": 134782
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-12",
        "close": 15.71,
        "volume": 218857
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-19",
        "close": 16.2718,
        "volume": 791084
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-26",
        "close": 15.73,
        "volume": 2637768
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-03",
        "close": 16.57,
        "volume": 2088859
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-10",
        "close": 16.65,
        "volume": 4572879
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-17",
        "close": 15.47,
        "volume": 2271638
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-24",
        "close": 16.48,
        "volume": 1211014
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-31",
        "close": 16.16,
        "volume": 7607237
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-07",
        "close": 14.64,
        "volume": 1736308
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-14",
        "close": 13.13,
        "volume": 1347954
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-21",
        "close": 12.19,
        "volume": 1725287
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-28",
        "close": 13.03,
        "volume": 633993
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-05",
        "close": 12.7891,
        "volume": 1405887
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-12",
        "close": 12.4942,
        "volume": 752649
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-19",
        "close": 11.72,
        "volume": 897499
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-26",
        "close": 11.77,
        "volume": 517304
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-02",
        "close": 11.0375,
        "volume": 850831
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-09",
        "close": 10.81,
        "volume": 1098543
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-16",
        "close": 10.5,
        "volume": 1477671
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-23",
        "close": 10.36,
        "volume": 1127801
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-30",
        "close": 8.95,
        "volume": 1695905
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-06",
        "close": 4.89,
        "volume": 10697112
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-13",
        "close": 4.84,
        "volume": 10101763
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-20",
        "close": 5.14,
        "volume": 3837240
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-27",
        "close": 6.28,
        "volume": 13935671
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "close": 6.5088,
        "volume": 4482739
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "close": 5.92,
        "volume": 7508618
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "close": 5.6557,
        "volume": 4113643
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "close": 5.51,
        "volume": 5784519
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 5.9479,
        "volume": 2492451
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 5.9076,
        "volume": 2248477
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 7.3903,
        "volume": 2828107
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 7.2781,
        "volume": 2213136
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 7.2427,
        "volume": 1803066
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 5.81,
        "volume": 4423657
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 5.54,
        "volume": 2728183
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 5.485,
        "volume": 3004933
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 5.5853,
        "volume": 2506718
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 4.7693,
        "volume": 4145984
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 4.8003,
        "volume": 3686011
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 4.9954,
        "volume": 3195008
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 5.41,
        "volume": 3227484
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 5.67,
        "volume": 2477297
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 5.855,
        "volume": 1923241
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 8.5,
        "volume": 8804202
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 8.36,
        "volume": 1740084
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 8.6549,
        "volume": 2625180
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 9.1773,
        "volume": 1179207
      }
    ],
    "sharemaestro_context": {
      "trend": 6.564453,
      "fair_value": 12.138708,
      "market_activity": 8.736518,
      "market_dynamics": 0.560574,
      "relative_strength": -21.09424
    },
    "historical_outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Longer term",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "regime_history": [
      {
        "direction": "negative",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.542948
      }
    ]
  }
}