{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "50ad181a-3645-486e-9be1-196d5f746fba",
    "symbol": "HFGM",
    "name": "UNLIMITED HFGM GLOBAL MACRO ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "The SM framework classifies the established weekly price path as the Core Trend. Faster and slower Trend views and Sharemaestro context describe that state but do not alter its direction.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "latest_close": 31.0,
    "direction": "positive",
    "state": "Positive, shorter trend weakening",
    "is_fresh": false,
    "is_near_boundary": false,
    "direction_boundary": 25.757061,
    "boundary_margin": 0.203553,
    "trend_agreement": "Divided",
    "persistence": "Established",
    "direction_turnover": "Low",
    "annualized_volatility": 0.155185,
    "volatility_stability": 0.7813,
    "risk_context": 0.6444,
    "current_regime": {
      "move": -0.067949,
      "interruption": -0.109741,
      "interruption_label": "Deepest pullback inside regime"
    },
    "research_priority": 76.538,
    "interpretation": {
      "label": "Positive, shorter trend weakening",
      "headline": "Positive, shorter trend weakening",
      "body": "The Core Trend remains in force, but the Fast Trend now points the other way. That is an early loss of persistence, not yet a regime change.",
      "age_context": "The current Core Trend is established.",
      "boundary_context": "The latest close is 20.4% above the decision boundary.",
      "stability_context": "Recent Core Trend turnover is low."
    },
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 33.26,
        "direction_boundary": 22.934202,
        "core_momentum": 0.450236,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.199035
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 33.719,
        "direction_boundary": 23.209106,
        "core_momentum": 0.452835,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.199024
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 33.3836,
        "direction_boundary": 23.213613,
        "core_momentum": 0.438104,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.199156
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 33.65,
        "direction_boundary": 23.587663,
        "core_momentum": 0.426593,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.191168
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 33.745,
        "direction_boundary": 23.601273,
        "core_momentum": 0.429796,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.191056
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 33.7194,
        "direction_boundary": 23.523128,
        "core_momentum": 0.433457,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.183534
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 33.2092,
        "direction_boundary": 23.486895,
        "core_momentum": 0.413946,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.173781
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 31.87,
        "direction_boundary": 23.957206,
        "core_momentum": 0.330289,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.18466
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 31.995,
        "direction_boundary": 24.069871,
        "core_momentum": 0.329255,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.18466
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 31.63,
        "direction_boundary": 23.634171,
        "core_momentum": 0.338316,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.185579
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 30.1956,
        "direction_boundary": 24.615173,
        "core_momentum": 0.226707,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.189373
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 30.0418,
        "direction_boundary": 24.202096,
        "core_momentum": 0.241289,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.185218
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 30.8836,
        "direction_boundary": 24.822477,
        "core_momentum": 0.244179,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.168896
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 30.5984,
        "direction_boundary": 24.547573,
        "core_momentum": 0.246494,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.169335
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 31.045,
        "direction_boundary": 25.020769,
        "core_momentum": 0.240769,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.155209
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 30.4483,
        "direction_boundary": 24.570106,
        "core_momentum": 0.239242,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.157032
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 31.0,
        "direction_boundary": 25.757061,
        "core_momentum": 0.203553,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.155185
      }
    ],
    "price_history": [
      {
        "date": "2025-04-18",
        "close": 22.934202,
        "volume": 112487
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-25",
        "close": 23.209106,
        "volume": 102771
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-02",
        "close": 23.213613,
        "volume": 52800
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-09",
        "close": 23.587663,
        "volume": 36488
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-16",
        "close": 23.601273,
        "volume": 54312
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-23",
        "close": 23.523128,
        "volume": 95334
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-30",
        "close": 23.486895,
        "volume": 178385
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-06",
        "close": 23.957206,
        "volume": 64024
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-13",
        "close": 24.069871,
        "volume": 68658
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-20",
        "close": 23.634171,
        "volume": 62142
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-27",
        "close": 24.615173,
        "volume": 85900
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-04",
        "close": 24.202096,
        "volume": 38980
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-11",
        "close": 24.822477,
        "volume": 93535
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-18",
        "close": 24.547573,
        "volume": 117580
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-25",
        "close": 25.020769,
        "volume": 83542
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-01",
        "close": 24.570106,
        "volume": 38784
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-08",
        "close": 25.757061,
        "volume": 36822
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-15",
        "close": 26.20601,
        "volume": 110651
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-22",
        "close": 26.787365,
        "volume": 139054
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-29",
        "close": 26.854423,
        "volume": 128979
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-05",
        "close": 27.012696,
        "volume": 191115
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-12",
        "close": 27.97522,
        "volume": 146952
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-19",
        "close": 28.319616,
        "volume": 464542
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-26",
        "close": 28.446253,
        "volume": 159015
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-03",
        "close": 28.873931,
        "volume": 219683
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-10",
        "close": 27.283093,
        "volume": 155121
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-17",
        "close": 29.112782,
        "volume": 161627
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-24",
        "close": 29.518378,
        "volume": 97187
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-31",
        "close": 29.251045,
        "volume": 85948
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-07",
        "close": 28.283023,
        "volume": 147734
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-14",
        "close": 28.30159,
        "volume": 151581
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-21",
        "close": 27.436318,
        "volume": 109488
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-28",
        "close": 28.950544,
        "volume": 43970
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-05",
        "close": 28.734226,
        "volume": 63462
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-12",
        "close": 28.842385,
        "volume": 40118
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-19",
        "close": 28.721607,
        "volume": 68788
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-26",
        "close": 29.9657,
        "volume": 189770
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-02",
        "close": 29.145,
        "volume": 99051
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-09",
        "close": 30.97,
        "volume": 259476
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-16",
        "close": 31.0345,
        "volume": 115248
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-23",
        "close": 32.5988,
        "volume": 199967
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-30",
        "close": 32.41,
        "volume": 298375
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-06",
        "close": 33.2,
        "volume": 369377
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-13",
        "close": 33.34,
        "volume": 209869
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-20",
        "close": 33.77,
        "volume": 141566
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-27",
        "close": 33.76,
        "volume": 186911
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "close": 34.5,
        "volume": 289232
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "close": 33.27,
        "volume": 395584
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "close": 31.5,
        "volume": 310304
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "close": 31.61,
        "volume": 187907
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 32.25,
        "volume": 147179
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 32.72,
        "volume": 384802
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 33.26,
        "volume": 205888
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 33.719,
        "volume": 157299
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 33.3836,
        "volume": 172530
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 33.65,
        "volume": 557309
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 33.745,
        "volume": 215308
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 33.7194,
        "volume": 173135
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 33.2092,
        "volume": 159222
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 31.87,
        "volume": 305141
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 31.995,
        "volume": 687246
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 31.63,
        "volume": 162582
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 30.1956,
        "volume": 201657
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 30.0418,
        "volume": 167630
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 30.8836,
        "volume": 119832
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 30.5984,
        "volume": 140434
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 31.045,
        "volume": 201125
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 30.4483,
        "volume": 249733
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 31.0,
        "volume": 152980
      }
    ],
    "sharemaestro_context": {
      "trend": 32.34524,
      "fair_value": 29.044939,
      "market_activity": -9.677715,
      "market_dynamics": -1.604361,
      "relative_strength": -9.898658
    },
    "historical_outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.003769,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "conditional_difference": 0.036384,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Longer term",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "regime_history": [
      {
        "direction": "positive",
        "start": "2026-04-17",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.067949
      }
    ]
  }
}