{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6239f35a-33ea-491e-bef4-73d33ad618d5",
    "symbol": "T10D",
    "name": "UBS Core BBG US Treasury 10+ UC",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "The SM framework classifies the established weekly price path as the Core Trend. Faster and slower Trend views and Sharemaestro context describe that state but do not alter its direction.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "latest_close": 8.255,
    "direction": "negative",
    "state": "Negative across all Trend views",
    "is_fresh": false,
    "is_near_boundary": false,
    "direction_boundary": 8.299187,
    "boundary_margin": -0.005324,
    "trend_agreement": "Fully aligned",
    "persistence": "Early",
    "direction_turnover": "Low",
    "annualized_volatility": 0.077349,
    "volatility_stability": 0.3542,
    "risk_context": 1.2928,
    "current_regime": {
      "move": 0.005359,
      "interruption": 0.005359,
      "interruption_label": "Largest rebound inside regime"
    },
    "research_priority": 62.834,
    "interpretation": {
      "label": "Negative across all Trend views",
      "headline": "All measured Trend views are negative",
      "body": "The faster, intermediate, established and Core Trend views point in the same direction, giving the current regime broad agreement.",
      "age_context": "The current Core Trend remains in its early lifecycle.",
      "boundary_context": "The latest close is 0.5% below the decision boundary.",
      "stability_context": "Recent Core Trend turnover is low."
    },
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 8.211,
        "direction_boundary": 9.622737,
        "core_momentum": -0.146708,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.077063
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 8.255,
        "direction_boundary": 8.299187,
        "core_momentum": -0.005324,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.077349
      }
    ],
    "price_history": [
      {
        "date": "2025-08-01",
        "close": 9.622737,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-08",
        "close": 8.299187,
        "volume": 1093
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-15",
        "close": 8.212208,
        "volume": 10930
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-22",
        "close": 8.170184,
        "volume": 7651
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-29",
        "close": 8.131092,
        "volume": 18581
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-05",
        "close": 8.296255,
        "volume": 19674
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-12",
        "close": 8.379326,
        "volume": 1076
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-19",
        "close": 8.32362,
        "volume": 2152
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-26",
        "close": 8.364666,
        "volume": 2152
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-03",
        "close": 8.405712,
        "volume": 3229
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-10",
        "close": 8.566965,
        "volume": 4304
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      {
        "date": "2025-10-17",
        "close": 8.605081,
        "volume": 46588
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      {
        "date": "2025-10-24",
        "close": 10.058122,
        "volume": 2152
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-31",
        "close": 8.624626,
        "volume": 9808
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-07",
        "close": 8.618763,
        "volume": 5380
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-14",
        "close": 8.502464,
        "volume": 11836
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-21",
        "close": 8.622671,
        "volume": 18292
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-28",
        "close": 8.662741,
        "volume": 5504
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-05",
        "close": 8.433076,
        "volume": 2152
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-12",
        "close": 8.383234,
        "volume": 1076
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-19",
        "close": 8.375416,
        "volume": 2152
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-26",
        "close": 8.314824,
        "volume": 1076
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      {
        "date": "2026-01-02",
        "close": 8.312869,
        "volume": 3228
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      {
        "date": "2026-01-09",
        "close": 8.458486,
        "volume": 5380
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        "date": "2026-01-16",
        "close": 8.416463,
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        "date": "2026-01-23",
        "close": 8.361733,
        "volume": 320900
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        "date": "2026-01-30",
        "close": 8.234685,
        "volume": 2152
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        "date": "2026-02-06",
        "close": 8.256186,
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        "date": "2026-02-13",
        "close": 8.41,
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        "date": "2026-02-20",
        "close": 8.515,
        "volume": 13988
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        "date": "2026-02-27",
        "close": 8.515,
        "volume": 0
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        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "close": 8.646,
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        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "close": 8.536,
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        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "close": 8.536,
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        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "close": 8.412,
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        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 8.441,
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        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 8.416,
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 8.359,
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 8.383,
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 8.295,
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 8.311,
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 8.322,
        "volume": 1076
      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 8.274,
        "volume": 5380
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 8.377,
        "volume": 42832
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 8.417,
        "volume": 1076
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 8.447,
        "volume": 2152
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 8.576,
        "volume": 7532
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 8.649,
        "volume": 0
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 8.555,
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        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 8.489,
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        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 8.51,
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        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 8.465,
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        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 8.211,
        "volume": 1076
      },
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        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 8.255,
        "volume": 1076
      }
    ],
    "sharemaestro_context": {
      "trend": 8.419702,
      "fair_value": 8.469174,
      "market_activity": -5.710532,
      "market_dynamics": 0.317459,
      "relative_strength": -16.483701
    },
    "historical_outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "horizon": "Longer term",
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        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "regime_history": [
      {
        "direction": "negative",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Brief",
        "return": 0.005359
      }
    ]
  }
}