{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "71151b1c-948d-4eba-9c75-959536634a8d",
    "symbol": "FERGR",
    "name": "FERRARI GROUP",
    "exchange": "AMS",
    "country": "NL",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "The SM framework classifies the established weekly price path as the Core Trend. Faster and slower Trend views and Sharemaestro context describe that state but do not alter its direction.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "latest_close": 8.03,
    "direction": "negative",
    "state": "Negative, shorter trend recovering",
    "is_fresh": false,
    "is_near_boundary": false,
    "direction_boundary": 9.43,
    "boundary_margin": -0.148462,
    "trend_agreement": "Broadly aligned",
    "persistence": "Early",
    "direction_turnover": "High",
    "annualized_volatility": 0.377446,
    "volatility_stability": 0.9634,
    "risk_context": 0.2649,
    "current_regime": {
      "move": 0.01078,
      "interruption": 0.119444,
      "interruption_label": "Largest rebound inside regime"
    },
    "research_priority": 58.531,
    "interpretation": {
      "label": "Negative, shorter trend recovering",
      "headline": "Negative, shorter trend recovering",
      "body": "The Core Trend remains in force, but the Fast Trend now points the other way. That is an early loss of persistence, not yet a regime change.",
      "age_context": "The current Core Trend remains in its early lifecycle.",
      "boundary_context": "The latest close is 14.8% below the decision boundary.",
      "stability_context": "Recent Core Trend turnover is high."
    },
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2026-02-13",
        "close": 10.5,
        "direction_boundary": 8.583017,
        "core_momentum": 0.223346,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.270712
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-20",
        "close": 10.54,
        "direction_boundary": 8.534526,
        "core_momentum": 0.234984,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.266348
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-27",
        "close": 10.28,
        "direction_boundary": 7.758659,
        "core_momentum": 0.324971,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.263019
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "close": 9.42,
        "direction_boundary": 7.758659,
        "core_momentum": 0.214127,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.287255
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "close": 8.58,
        "direction_boundary": 7.913832,
        "core_momentum": 0.084178,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.317592
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "close": 8.2,
        "direction_boundary": 7.865341,
        "core_momentum": 0.042549,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.323932
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "close": 7.93,
        "direction_boundary": 7.768358,
        "core_momentum": 0.020808,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.326488
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 8.25,
        "direction_boundary": 6.65305,
        "core_momentum": 0.240033,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.330905
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 7.23,
        "direction_boundary": 6.47848,
        "core_momentum": 0.116003,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.374224
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 7.88,
        "direction_boundary": 6.488179,
        "core_momentum": 0.214516,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.388477
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 7.619319,
        "direction_boundary": 6.88581,
        "core_momentum": 0.106525,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.390538
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 7.78184,
        "direction_boundary": 7.108871,
        "core_momentum": 0.094666,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.391724
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 7.7436,
        "direction_boundary": 7.487106,
        "core_momentum": 0.034258,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.390388
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 7.33252,
        "direction_boundary": 7.81685,
        "core_momentum": -0.06196,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.396754
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 7.829639,
        "direction_boundary": 7.758659,
        "core_momentum": 0.009148,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.40733
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 7.94436,
        "direction_boundary": 8.311463,
        "core_momentum": -0.044168,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.360322
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 7.53328,
        "direction_boundary": 8.418146,
        "core_momentum": -0.105114,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.365595
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 7.51416,
        "direction_boundary": 8.689698,
        "core_momentum": -0.135279,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.365398
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 7.49504,
        "direction_boundary": 8.515128,
        "core_momentum": -0.119797,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.364078
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 7.2,
        "direction_boundary": 8.93,
        "core_momentum": -0.193729,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.365584
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 7.89,
        "direction_boundary": 9.2,
        "core_momentum": -0.142391,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.391189
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 7.76,
        "direction_boundary": 9.44,
        "core_momentum": -0.177966,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.380612
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 8.0,
        "direction_boundary": 9.39,
        "core_momentum": -0.14803,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.382905
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 7.67,
        "direction_boundary": 9.28,
        "core_momentum": -0.173491,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.38253
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 8.06,
        "direction_boundary": 9.39,
        "core_momentum": -0.14164,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.390592
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 8.03,
        "direction_boundary": 9.43,
        "core_momentum": -0.148462,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.377446
      }
    ],
    "price_history": [
      {
        "date": "2025-02-14",
        "close": 8.583017,
        "volume": 4316988
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-02-21",
        "close": 8.534526,
        "volume": 714172
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-02-28",
        "close": 7.758659,
        "volume": 636824
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-07",
        "close": 7.758659,
        "volume": 531690
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-14",
        "close": 7.913832,
        "volume": 494385
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-21",
        "close": 7.865341,
        "volume": 197695
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-28",
        "close": 7.768358,
        "volume": 291200
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-04",
        "close": 6.65305,
        "volume": 597808
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-11",
        "close": 6.47848,
        "volume": 305527
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-18",
        "close": 6.488179,
        "volume": 239694
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-25",
        "close": 6.88581,
        "volume": 196793
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-02",
        "close": 7.108871,
        "volume": 391431
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-09",
        "close": 7.487106,
        "volume": 525726
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-16",
        "close": 7.81685,
        "volume": 310802
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-23",
        "close": 7.758659,
        "volume": 366375
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-30",
        "close": 8.311463,
        "volume": 314177
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-06",
        "close": 8.418146,
        "volume": 597052
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-13",
        "close": 8.689698,
        "volume": 335572
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-20",
        "close": 8.515128,
        "volume": 250680
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-27",
        "close": 8.93,
        "volume": 203625
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-04",
        "close": 9.2,
        "volume": 256696
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-11",
        "close": 9.44,
        "volume": 163200
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-18",
        "close": 9.39,
        "volume": 99492
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-25",
        "close": 9.28,
        "volume": 111142
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-01",
        "close": 9.39,
        "volume": 194547
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-08",
        "close": 9.43,
        "volume": 145692
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-15",
        "close": 9.37,
        "volume": 240870
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-22",
        "close": 9.1,
        "volume": 328778
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-29",
        "close": 8.77,
        "volume": 1130724
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-05",
        "close": 8.44,
        "volume": 106065
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-12",
        "close": 8.43,
        "volume": 396975
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-19",
        "close": 8.41,
        "volume": 120289
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-26",
        "close": 8.28,
        "volume": 265499
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-03",
        "close": 8.39,
        "volume": 206829
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-10",
        "close": 8.05,
        "volume": 149614
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-17",
        "close": 8.44,
        "volume": 177555
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-24",
        "close": 8.5,
        "volume": 238532
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-31",
        "close": 8.37,
        "volume": 136035
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-07",
        "close": 8.16,
        "volume": 135311
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-14",
        "close": 8.03,
        "volume": 104346
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-21",
        "close": 8.17,
        "volume": 190647
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-28",
        "close": 9.32,
        "volume": 260984
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-05",
        "close": 9.38,
        "volume": 170383
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-12",
        "close": 9.21,
        "volume": 72456
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-19",
        "close": 8.94,
        "volume": 209406
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-26",
        "close": 9.07,
        "volume": 112561
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-02",
        "close": 9.06,
        "volume": 46485
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-09",
        "close": 9.6,
        "volume": 50492
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-16",
        "close": 9.76,
        "volume": 361066
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-23",
        "close": 10.02,
        "volume": 126255
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-30",
        "close": 10.12,
        "volume": 81991
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-06",
        "close": 10.76,
        "volume": 150358
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-13",
        "close": 10.5,
        "volume": 149687
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-20",
        "close": 10.54,
        "volume": 67238
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-27",
        "close": 10.28,
        "volume": 81099
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "close": 9.42,
        "volume": 130558
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "close": 8.58,
        "volume": 199946
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "close": 8.2,
        "volume": 145040
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "close": 7.93,
        "volume": 135016
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 8.25,
        "volume": 150605
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 7.23,
        "volume": 340089
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 7.88,
        "volume": 650889
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 7.619319,
        "volume": 217698
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 7.78184,
        "volume": 179965
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 7.7436,
        "volume": 256894
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 7.33252,
        "volume": 215677
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 7.829639,
        "volume": 388675
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 7.94436,
        "volume": 270262
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 7.53328,
        "volume": 21830
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 7.51416,
        "volume": 27713
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 7.49504,
        "volume": 13919
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 7.2,
        "volume": 100837
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 7.89,
        "volume": 74142
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 7.76,
        "volume": 165626
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 8.0,
        "volume": 177865
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 7.67,
        "volume": 153199
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 8.06,
        "volume": 203847
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 8.03,
        "volume": 234062
      }
    ],
    "sharemaestro_context": {
      "trend": 8.429125,
      "fair_value": 8.413046,
      "market_activity": -35.764332,
      "market_dynamics": 0.529233,
      "relative_strength": -16.516248
    },
    "historical_outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.034794,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "conditional_difference": 0.067886,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Longer term",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "regime_history": [
      {
        "direction": "positive",
        "start": "2026-02-13",
        "end": "2026-05-08",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.262514
      },
      {
        "direction": "negative",
        "start": "2026-05-15",
        "end": "2026-05-15",
        "tenure": "Brief",
        "return": 0.0
      },
      {
        "direction": "positive",
        "start": "2026-05-22",
        "end": "2026-05-22",
        "tenure": "Brief",
        "return": 0.0
      },
      {
        "direction": "negative",
        "start": "2026-05-29",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.01078
      }
    ]
  }
}