{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7a2d785e-8741-47cf-9392-0470b508b085",
    "symbol": "RKLX",
    "name": "DEFIANCE DAILY TARGET 2X LONG RKLB ETF",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "The SM framework classifies the established weekly price path as the Core Trend. Faster and slower Trend views and Sharemaestro context describe that state but do not alter its direction.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "latest_close": 26.11,
    "direction": "positive",
    "state": "Fresh positive regime",
    "is_fresh": true,
    "is_near_boundary": true,
    "direction_boundary": 24.315779,
    "boundary_margin": 0.073788,
    "trend_agreement": "Divided",
    "persistence": "Fresh",
    "direction_turnover": "Moderate",
    "annualized_volatility": 2.016628,
    "volatility_stability": 1.2933,
    "risk_context": 0.0496,
    "current_regime": {
      "move": 0.0,
      "interruption": 0.0,
      "interruption_label": "Deepest pullback inside regime"
    },
    "research_priority": 36.482,
    "interpretation": {
      "label": "Fresh positive regime",
      "headline": "The Core Trend has just turned positive",
      "body": "This is a new regime change, not a forecast. The faster and slower Trend views show whether the move is becoming broadly established.",
      "age_context": "The current Core Trend is newly established.",
      "boundary_context": "The latest close is 7.4% above the decision boundary.",
      "stability_context": "Recent Core Trend turnover is moderate."
    },
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "close": 31.89,
        "direction_boundary": 5.988685,
        "core_momentum": 4.325042,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 1.567317
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "close": 29.71,
        "direction_boundary": 6.043478,
        "core_momentum": 3.916043,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 1.530354
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "close": 23.52,
        "direction_boundary": 5.758463,
        "core_momentum": 3.084423,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 1.561956
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 28.35,
        "direction_boundary": 4.353747,
        "core_momentum": 5.511632,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 1.49675
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 28.34,
        "direction_boundary": 6.014395,
        "core_momentum": 3.712028,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 1.449696
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 43.17,
        "direction_boundary": 5.976587,
        "core_momentum": 6.223186,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 1.569373
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 37.43,
        "direction_boundary": 7.55871,
        "core_momentum": 3.951903,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 1.579057
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 36.05,
        "direction_boundary": 7.884441,
        "core_momentum": 3.572296,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 1.577529
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 59.3,
        "direction_boundary": 6.15981,
        "core_momentum": 8.62692,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.598516
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 80.85,
        "direction_boundary": 9.42294,
        "core_momentum": 7.580125,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.582945
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 93.32,
        "direction_boundary": 9.260074,
        "core_momentum": 9.077673,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.518887
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 103.1,
        "direction_boundary": 10.024961,
        "core_momentum": 9.284329,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.519359
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 57.86,
        "direction_boundary": 11.562005,
        "core_momentum": 4.004322,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.733097
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 48.3,
        "direction_boundary": 8.809285,
        "core_momentum": 4.482851,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.66455
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 52.45,
        "direction_boundary": 12.142214,
        "core_momentum": 3.319641,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.639871
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 31.47,
        "direction_boundary": 16.478511,
        "core_momentum": 0.90976,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 1.791436
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 43.31,
        "direction_boundary": 16.562852,
        "core_momentum": 1.614888,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 1.838734
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 27.45,
        "direction_boundary": 19.613674,
        "core_momentum": 0.399534,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 1.9158
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 18.54,
        "direction_boundary": 33.274028,
        "core_momentum": -0.442809,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.939467
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 16.32,
        "direction_boundary": 27.903912,
        "core_momentum": -0.415136,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.93531
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 16.37,
        "direction_boundary": 24.604342,
        "core_momentum": -0.33467,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.918116
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 26.11,
        "direction_boundary": 24.315779,
        "core_momentum": 0.073788,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 2.016628
      }
    ],
    "price_history": [
      {
        "date": "2025-03-14",
        "close": 5.988685,
        "volume": 73415
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-21",
        "close": 6.043478,
        "volume": 97787
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-28",
        "close": 5.758463,
        "volume": 241654
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-04",
        "close": 4.353747,
        "volume": 455578
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-11",
        "close": 6.014395,
        "volume": 436519
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-18",
        "close": 5.976587,
        "volume": 242084
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-25",
        "close": 7.55871,
        "volume": 261216
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-02",
        "close": 7.884441,
        "volume": 369021
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-09",
        "close": 6.15981,
        "volume": 601866
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-16",
        "close": 9.42294,
        "volume": 1067683
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-23",
        "close": 9.260074,
        "volume": 889165
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-30",
        "close": 10.024961,
        "volume": 1309143
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-06",
        "close": 11.562005,
        "volume": 1281187
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-13",
        "close": 8.809285,
        "volume": 2216261
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-20",
        "close": 12.142214,
        "volume": 1441962
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-27",
        "close": 16.478511,
        "volume": 2534356
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-04",
        "close": 16.562852,
        "volume": 1408442
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-11",
        "close": 19.613674,
        "volume": 2071443
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-18",
        "close": 33.274028,
        "volume": 2209356
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-25",
        "close": 27.903912,
        "volume": 1406059
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-01",
        "close": 24.604342,
        "volume": 1371316
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-08",
        "close": 24.315779,
        "volume": 1619128
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-15",
        "close": 23.763839,
        "volume": 1697714
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-22",
        "close": 23.304325,
        "volume": 1970384
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-29",
        "close": 27.786038,
        "volume": 2141591
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-05",
        "close": 24.005229,
        "volume": 1765884
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-12",
        "close": 32.049628,
        "volume": 1780762
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-19",
        "close": 25.028956,
        "volume": 3380734
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-26",
        "close": 23.042577,
        "volume": 4487652
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-03",
        "close": 33.212953,
        "volume": 3804903
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-10",
        "close": 42.755134,
        "volume": 3244876
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-17",
        "close": 45.122502,
        "volume": 2375116
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-24",
        "close": 42.150204,
        "volume": 1721449
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-31",
        "close": 39.555988,
        "volume": 1201085
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-07",
        "close": 25.648427,
        "volume": 1602773
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-14",
        "close": 19.651482,
        "volume": 3154213
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-21",
        "close": 15.102878,
        "volume": 2427366
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-28",
        "close": 16.397078,
        "volume": 1057241
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-05",
        "close": 21.728019,
        "volume": 1735143
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-12",
        "close": 33.233312,
        "volume": 8729273
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-19",
        "close": 41.644158,
        "volume": 13505012
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-26",
        "close": 40.928712,
        "volume": 10512518
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-02",
        "close": 46.9,
        "volume": 9427594
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-09",
        "close": 57.62,
        "volume": 14608856
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-16",
        "close": 73.165,
        "volume": 11049806
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-23",
        "close": 61.77,
        "volume": 11330135
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-30",
        "close": 48.82,
        "volume": 9526202
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-06",
        "close": 37.85,
        "volume": 10893486
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-13",
        "close": 32.46,
        "volume": 8346554
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-20",
        "close": 35.25,
        "volume": 7039986
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-27",
        "close": 33.1,
        "volume": 9126993
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "close": 33.92,
        "volume": 9129941
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "close": 31.89,
        "volume": 9674791
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "close": 29.71,
        "volume": 13547262
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "close": 23.52,
        "volume": 16465382
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 28.35,
        "volume": 15301372
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 28.34,
        "volume": 14235314
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 43.17,
        "volume": 18209802
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 37.43,
        "volume": 13993232
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 36.05,
        "volume": 9923248
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 59.3,
        "volume": 20268700
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 80.85,
        "volume": 19322671
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 93.32,
        "volume": 20135203
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 103.1,
        "volume": 12711797
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 57.86,
        "volume": 17640359
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 48.3,
        "volume": 18479302
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 52.45,
        "volume": 11838772
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 31.47,
        "volume": 14485619
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 43.31,
        "volume": 15922923
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 27.45,
        "volume": 13742687
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 18.54,
        "volume": 16050788
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 16.32,
        "volume": 15658938
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 16.37,
        "volume": 14478991
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 26.11,
        "volume": 12494330
      }
    ],
    "sharemaestro_context": {
      "trend": 42.984833,
      "fair_value": 30.67418,
      "market_activity": -12.278039,
      "market_dynamics": -0.793536,
      "relative_strength": -39.447115
    },
    "historical_outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.490564,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "conditional_difference": 0.570632,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.514581,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "conditional_difference": 0.545986,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Longer term",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "regime_history": [
      {
        "direction": "positive",
        "start": "2026-03-13",
        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.139229
      },
      {
        "direction": "negative",
        "start": "2026-07-17",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Brief",
        "return": -0.117044
      },
      {
        "direction": "positive",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Brief",
        "return": 0.0
      }
    ]
  }
}