{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7ba988c6-9398-44e5-a588-fcb5e8726a1f", "symbol": "AMAD", "name": "Amadeus IT Group, S.A.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "The SM framework classifies the established weekly price path as the Core Trend. Faster and slower Trend views and Sharemaestro context describe that state but do not alter its direction.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "latest_close": 57.139999, "direction": "negative", "state": "Negative, shorter trend recovering", "is_fresh": false, "is_near_boundary": false, "direction_boundary": 70.351799, "boundary_margin": -0.187796, "trend_agreement": "Divided", "persistence": "Established", "direction_turnover": "Moderate", "annualized_volatility": 0.334948, "volatility_stability": 0.9524, "risk_context": 0.2986, "current_regime": { "move": -0.064951, "interruption": 0.189822, "interruption_label": "Largest rebound inside regime" }, "research_priority": 64.32, "interpretation": { "label": "Negative, shorter trend recovering", "headline": "Negative, shorter trend recovering", "body": "The Core Trend remains in force, but the Fast Trend now points the other way. That is an early loss of persistence, not yet a regime change.", "age_context": "The current Core Trend is established.", "boundary_context": "The latest close is 18.8% below the decision boundary.", "stability_context": "Recent Core Trend turnover is moderate." }, "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 58.680614, "direction_boundary": 52.710182, "core_momentum": 0.113269, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.253874 }, { "date": "2023-08-25", "close": 59.919811, "direction_boundary": 51.729881, "core_momentum": 0.158321, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.233728 }, { "date": "2023-09-01", "close": 60.568001, "direction_boundary": 48.657001, "core_momentum": 0.244795, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.203924 }, { "date": "2023-09-08", "close": 59.557579, "direction_boundary": 49.260265, "core_momentum": 0.209039, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.205564 }, { "date": "2023-09-15", "close": 59.157227, "direction_boundary": 47.620144, "core_momentum": 0.242273, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.202414 }, { "date": "2023-09-22", "close": 59.519455, "direction_boundary": 43.642376, "core_momentum": 0.3638, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.201459 }, { "date": "2023-09-29", "close": 55.363388, "direction_boundary": 45.122257, "core_momentum": 0.226964, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.5, "volatility": 0.222782 }, { "date": "2023-10-06", "close": 54.391094, "direction_boundary": 47.205402, "core_momentum": 0.152222, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.5, "volatility": 0.223034 }, { "date": "2023-10-13", "close": 54.238583, "direction_boundary": 46.064857, "core_momentum": 0.17744, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.5, "volatility": 0.222938 }, { "date": "2023-10-20", "close": 51.683933, "direction_boundary": 47.016884, "core_momentum": 0.099263, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.25, "volatility": 0.230131 }, { "date": "2023-10-27", "close": 51.93177, "direction_boundary": 48.826672, "core_momentum": 0.063594, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.25, "volatility": 0.227572 }, { "date": "2023-11-03", "close": 53.037514, "direction_boundary": 48.69471, "core_momentum": 0.089184, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.25, "volatility": 0.2299 }, { "date": "2023-11-10", "close": 57.307968, "direction_boundary": 50.297127, "core_momentum": 0.139388, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.5, "volatility": 0.244818 }, { "date": "2023-11-17", "close": 59.100033, "direction_boundary": 46.988605, "core_momentum": 0.257752, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.244977 }, { "date": "2023-11-24", "close": 59.957939, "direction_boundary": 48.920937, "core_momentum": 0.225609, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.24552 }, { "date": "2023-12-01", "close": 60.396423, "direction_boundary": 48.920937, "core_momentum": 0.234572, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.5, "volatility": 0.24143 }, { "date": "2023-12-08", "close": 61.464039, "direction_boundary": 48.204556, "core_momentum": 0.275067, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.240065 }, { "date": "2023-12-15", "close": 62.093166, "direction_boundary": 47.525887, "core_momentum": 0.306513, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.232672 }, { "date": "2023-12-22", "close": 61.654686, "direction_boundary": 46.922626, "core_momentum": 0.313965, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.231963 }, { "date": "2023-12-29", "close": 62.169422, "direction_boundary": 46.130836, "core_momentum": 0.347676, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.231294 }, { "date": "2024-01-05", "close": 60.663322, "direction_boundary": 46.894344, "core_momentum": 0.293617, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.220501 }, { "date": "2024-01-12", "close": 61.159004, "direction_boundary": 46.894344, "core_momentum": 0.304187, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.218681 }, { "date": "2024-01-19", "close": 61.965237, "direction_boundary": 53.068375, "core_momentum": 0.167649, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.219365 }, { "date": "2024-01-26", "close": 62.675503, "direction_boundary": 54.859318, "core_momentum": 0.142477, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.218007 }, { "date": "2024-02-02", "close": 61.907654, "direction_boundary": 56.518288, "core_momentum": 0.095356, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.218506 }, { "date": "2024-02-09", "close": 61.715698, "direction_boundary": 56.574844, "core_momentum": 0.090868, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.1986 }, { "date": "2024-02-16", "close": 60.602314, "direction_boundary": 56.141251, "core_momentum": 0.079461, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.192001 }, { "date": "2024-02-23", "close": 59.988037, "direction_boundary": 52.40855, "core_momentum": 0.144623, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.190469 }, { "date": "2024-03-01", "close": 54.785873, "direction_boundary": 57.046143, "core_momentum": -0.039622, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.227443 }, { "date": "2024-03-08", "close": 55.400154, "direction_boundary": 57.366623, "core_momentum": -0.034279, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.227562 }, { "date": "2024-03-15", "close": 55.515327, "direction_boundary": 55.952728, "core_momentum": -0.007817, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.227583 }, { "date": "2024-03-22", "close": 56.091209, "direction_boundary": 55.292912, "core_momentum": 0.014438, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.25, "volatility": 0.227975 }, { "date": "2024-03-29", "close": 57.204594, "direction_boundary": 56.970734, "core_momentum": 0.004105, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.5, "volatility": 0.206045 }, { "date": "2024-04-05", "close": 54.171593, "direction_boundary": 57.687111, "core_momentum": -0.060941, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.218731 }, { "date": "2024-04-12", "close": 55.764877, "direction_boundary": 57.819077, "core_momentum": -0.035528, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.222374 }, { "date": "2024-04-19", "close": 54.305973, "direction_boundary": 58.705116, "core_momentum": -0.074936, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.214642 }, { "date": "2024-04-26", "close": 57.242985, "direction_boundary": 59.949345, "core_momentum": -0.045144, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.225905 }, { "date": "2024-05-03", "close": 58.183598, "direction_boundary": 58.969048, "core_momentum": -0.01332, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.225269 }, { "date": "2024-05-10", "close": 57.415749, "direction_boundary": 62.079628, "core_momentum": -0.075127, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.19941 }, { "date": "2024-05-17", "close": 62.963444, "direction_boundary": 63.983665, "core_momentum": -0.015945, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 0.25, "volatility": 0.233613 }, { "date": "2024-05-24", "close": 61.869263, "direction_boundary": 63.04108, "core_momentum": -0.018588, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 0.25, "volatility": 0.234535 }, { "date": "2024-05-31", "close": 62.982643, "direction_boundary": 65.001686, "core_momentum": -0.031061, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 0.25, "volatility": 0.235536 }, { "date": "2024-06-07", "close": 65.094223, "direction_boundary": 63.173038, "core_momentum": 0.030411, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.238579 }, { "date": "2024-06-14", "close": 62.848278, "direction_boundary": 65.868874, "core_momentum": -0.045858, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 0.25, "volatility": 0.243763 }, { "date": "2024-06-21", "close": 61.504536, "direction_boundary": 64.832016, "core_momentum": -0.051325, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 0.5, "volatility": 0.24549 }, { "date": "2024-06-28", "close": 60.199196, "direction_boundary": 65.755768, "core_momentum": -0.084503, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 0.5, "volatility": 0.246917 }, { "date": "2024-07-05", "close": 61.598164, "direction_boundary": 62.173885, "core_momentum": -0.00926, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 0.25, "volatility": 0.246744 }, { "date": "2024-07-12", "close": 60.898182, "direction_boundary": 63.484875, "core_momentum": -0.040745, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 0.5, "volatility": 0.247038 }, { "date": "2024-07-19", "close": 59.362118, "direction_boundary": 63.885223, "core_momentum": -0.0708, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 0.5, "volatility": 0.248696 }, { "date": "2024-07-26", "close": 58.506584, "direction_boundary": 65.181618, "core_momentum": -0.102407, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 0.5, "volatility": 0.248573 }, { "date": "2024-08-02", "close": 55.687225, "direction_boundary": 65.181618, "core_momentum": -0.145661, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.256642 }, { "date": "2024-08-09", "close": 55.298351, "direction_boundary": 61.063683, "core_momentum": -0.094415, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.25667 }, { "date": "2024-08-16", "close": 56.231655, "direction_boundary": 58.680614, "core_momentum": -0.041734, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.257435 }, { "date": "2024-08-23", "close": 57.88438, "direction_boundary": 59.919811, "core_momentum": -0.033969, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.260915 }, { "date": "2024-08-30", "close": 59.401001, "direction_boundary": 60.568001, "core_momentum": -0.019268, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.229242 }, { "date": "2024-09-06", "close": 60.081539, "direction_boundary": 59.557579, "core_momentum": 0.008798, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.5, "volatility": 0.229259 }, { "date": "2024-09-13", "close": 61.403721, "direction_boundary": 59.157227, "core_momentum": 0.037975, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.5, "volatility": 0.230701 }, { "date": "2024-09-20", "close": 63.717541, "direction_boundary": 59.519455, "core_momentum": 0.070533, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.235113 }, { "date": "2024-09-27", "close": 65.000839, "direction_boundary": 55.363388, "core_momentum": 0.174076, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.235149 }, { "date": "2024-10-04", "close": 62.881458, "direction_boundary": 54.391094, "core_momentum": 0.156098, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.22606 }, { "date": "2024-10-11", "close": 64.048088, "direction_boundary": 54.238583, "core_momentum": 0.180858, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.22435 }, { "date": "2024-10-18", "close": 64.90361, "direction_boundary": 51.683933, "core_momentum": 0.255779, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.219796 }, { "date": "2024-10-25", "close": 65.389717, "direction_boundary": 51.93177, "core_momentum": 0.259147, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.209656 }, { "date": "2024-11-01", "close": 64.825836, "direction_boundary": 53.037514, "core_momentum": 0.222264, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.209851 }, { "date": "2024-11-08", "close": 66.186913, "direction_boundary": 57.307968, "core_momentum": 0.154934, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.209505 }, { "date": "2024-11-15", "close": 65.448044, "direction_boundary": 59.100033, "core_momentum": 0.107411, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.169023 }, { "date": "2024-11-22", "close": 65.1175, "direction_boundary": 59.957939, "core_momentum": 0.086053, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.167091 }, { "date": "2024-11-29", "close": 64.164749, "direction_boundary": 60.396423, "core_momentum": 0.062393, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.16701 }, { "date": "2024-12-06", "close": 68.07296, "direction_boundary": 61.464039, "core_momentum": 0.107525, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.180505 }, { "date": "2024-12-13", "close": 65.700813, "direction_boundary": 62.093166, "core_momentum": 0.058101, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.180651 }, { "date": "2024-12-20", "close": 65.409157, "direction_boundary": 61.654686, "core_momentum": 0.060895, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.177764 }, { "date": "2024-12-27", "close": 66.361908, "direction_boundary": 62.169422, "core_momentum": 0.067436, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.175096 }, { "date": "2025-01-03", "close": 65.836922, "direction_boundary": 60.663322, "core_momentum": 0.085284, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.17355 }, { "date": "2025-01-10", "close": 67.197998, "direction_boundary": 61.159004, "core_momentum": 0.098743, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.174043 }, { "date": "2025-01-17", "close": 66.325333, "direction_boundary": 61.965237, "core_momentum": 0.070364, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.170665 }, { "date": "2025-01-24", "close": 66.403687, "direction_boundary": 62.675503, "core_momentum": 0.059484, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.168585 }, { "date": "2025-01-31", "close": 69.322311, "direction_boundary": 61.907654, "core_momentum": 0.11977, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.157436 }, { "date": "2025-02-07", "close": 69.616127, "direction_boundary": 61.715698, "core_momentum": 0.128013, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.155998 }, { "date": "2025-02-14", "close": 70.869766, "direction_boundary": 60.602314, "core_momentum": 0.169423, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.156118 }, { "date": "2025-02-21", "close": 68.166611, "direction_boundary": 59.988037, "core_momentum": 0.136337, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.166675 }, { "date": "2025-02-28", "close": 70.94812, "direction_boundary": 54.785873, "core_momentum": 0.295008, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.171087 }, { "date": "2025-03-07", "close": 72.495575, "direction_boundary": 55.400154, "core_momentum": 0.308581, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.172209 }, { "date": "2025-03-14", "close": 67.735672, "direction_boundary": 55.515327, "core_momentum": 0.220126, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.199763 }, { "date": "2025-03-21", "close": 72.16259, "direction_boundary": 56.091209, "core_momentum": 0.286522, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.211505 }, { "date": "2025-03-28", "close": 70.61512, "direction_boundary": 57.204594, "core_momentum": 0.234431, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.213407 }, { "date": "2025-04-04", "close": 66.403687, "direction_boundary": 54.171593, "core_momentum": 0.225803, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.226289 }, { "date": "2025-04-11", "close": 64.151054, "direction_boundary": 55.764877, "core_momentum": 0.150385, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.230524 }, { "date": "2025-04-18", "close": 66.893387, "direction_boundary": 54.305973, "core_momentum": 0.231787, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.237115 }, { "date": "2025-04-25", "close": 68.813026, "direction_boundary": 57.242985, "core_momentum": 0.202122, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.239965 }, { "date": "2025-05-02", "close": 68.891373, "direction_boundary": 58.183598, "core_momentum": 0.184034, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.239482 }, { "date": "2025-05-09", "close": 66.717094, "direction_boundary": 57.415749, "core_momentum": 0.162, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.242538 }, { "date": "2025-05-16", "close": 70.713058, "direction_boundary": 62.963444, "core_momentum": 0.123081, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.254724 }, { "date": "2025-05-23", "close": 69.75325, "direction_boundary": 61.869263, "core_momentum": 0.12743, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.255545 }, { "date": "2025-05-30", "close": 71.770828, "direction_boundary": 62.982643, "core_momentum": 0.139533, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.256697 }, { "date": "2025-06-06", "close": 73.35746, "direction_boundary": 65.094223, "core_momentum": 0.126943, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.24575 }, { "date": "2025-06-13", "close": 69.126434, "direction_boundary": 62.848278, "core_momentum": 0.099894, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.255278 }, { "date": "2025-06-20", "close": 67.383087, "direction_boundary": 61.504536, "core_momentum": 0.095579, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.257997 }, { "date": "2025-06-27", "close": 68.264549, "direction_boundary": 60.199196, "core_momentum": 0.133978, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.257854 }, { "date": "2025-07-04", "close": 70.01461, "direction_boundary": 61.598164, "core_momentum": 0.136635, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.259643 }, { "date": "2025-07-11", "close": 71.462502, "direction_boundary": 60.898182, "core_momentum": 0.173475, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.259644 }, { "date": "2025-07-18", "close": 70.589806, "direction_boundary": 59.362118, "core_momentum": 0.189139, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.259553 }, { "date": "2025-07-25", "close": 71.065826, "direction_boundary": 58.506584, "core_momentum": 0.214664, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.259615 }, { "date": "2025-08-01", "close": 68.745224, "direction_boundary": 55.687225, "core_momentum": 0.234488, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.5, "volatility": 0.257395 }, { "date": "2025-08-08", "close": 70.351799, "direction_boundary": 55.298351, "core_momentum": 0.272222, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.259386 }, { "date": "2025-08-15", "close": 70.946823, "direction_boundary": 56.231655, "core_momentum": 0.261688, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.258445 }, { "date": "2025-08-22", "close": 71.660851, "direction_boundary": 57.88438, "core_momentum": 0.238, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.252543 }, { "date": "2025-08-29", "close": 71.700523, "direction_boundary": 59.401001, "core_momentum": 0.207059, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.246502 }, { "date": "2025-09-05", "close": 68.328712, "direction_boundary": 60.081539, "core_momentum": 0.137266, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.5, "volatility": 0.253399 }, { "date": "2025-09-12", "close": 67.535339, "direction_boundary": 61.403721, "core_momentum": 0.099857, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.5, "volatility": 0.235645 }, { "date": "2025-09-19", "close": 67.079155, "direction_boundary": 63.717541, "core_momentum": 0.052758, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.5, "volatility": 0.217243 }, { "date": "2025-09-26", "close": 65.254417, "direction_boundary": 65.000839, "core_momentum": 0.003901, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.25, "volatility": 0.21842 }, { "date": "2025-10-03", "close": 67.535339, "direction_boundary": 62.881458, "core_momentum": 0.07401, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.207275 }, { "date": "2025-10-10", "close": 67.019653, "direction_boundary": 64.048088, "core_momentum": 0.046396, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.5, "volatility": 0.201428 }, { "date": "2025-10-17", "close": 66.801476, "direction_boundary": 64.90361, "core_momentum": 0.029241, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.5, "volatility": 0.192969 }, { "date": "2025-10-24", "close": 67.416344, "direction_boundary": 65.389717, "core_momentum": 0.030993, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.5, "volatility": 0.189134 }, { "date": "2025-10-31", "close": 65.532089, "direction_boundary": 64.825836, "core_momentum": 0.010895, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.25, "volatility": 0.192916 }, { "date": "2025-11-07", "close": 66.365128, "direction_boundary": 66.186913, "core_momentum": 0.002693, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.25, "volatility": 0.188862 }, { "date": "2025-11-14", "close": 65.968437, "direction_boundary": 65.448044, "core_momentum": 0.007951, "direction": "positive", "trend_agreement": 0.25, "volatility": 0.169128 }, { "date": "2025-11-21", "close": 61.10907, "direction_boundary": 65.1175, "core_momentum": -0.061557, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.197395 }, { "date": "2025-11-28", "close": 62.497463, "direction_boundary": 64.164749, "core_momentum": -0.025984, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.195505 }, { "date": "2025-12-05", "close": 60.930561, "direction_boundary": 68.07296, "core_momentum": -0.104923, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.193333 }, { "date": "2025-12-12", "close": 62.160282, "direction_boundary": 65.700813, "core_momentum": -0.053889, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.181384 }, { "date": "2025-12-19", "close": 62.358624, "direction_boundary": 65.409157, "core_momentum": -0.046638, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.178945 }, { "date": "2025-12-26", "close": 62.239616, "direction_boundary": 66.361908, "core_momentum": -0.062118, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.177471 }, { "date": "2026-01-02", "close": 62.477631, "direction_boundary": 65.836922, "core_momentum": -0.051024, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.172924 }, { "date": "2026-01-09", "close": 64.818062, "direction_boundary": 67.197998, "core_momentum": -0.035417, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.178983 }, { "date": "2026-01-16", "close": 60.959999, "direction_boundary": 66.325333, "core_momentum": -0.080894, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.195812 }, { "date": "2026-01-23", "close": 58.279999, "direction_boundary": 66.403687, "core_momentum": -0.122338, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.202295 }, { "date": "2026-01-30", "close": 56.52, "direction_boundary": 69.322311, "core_momentum": -0.184678, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.201683 }, { "date": "2026-02-06", "close": 52.299999, "direction_boundary": 69.616127, "core_momentum": -0.248737, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.218719 }, { "date": "2026-02-13", "close": 49.540001, "direction_boundary": 70.869766, "core_momentum": -0.300971, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.224535 }, { "date": "2026-02-20", "close": 48.689999, "direction_boundary": 68.166611, "core_momentum": -0.285721, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.221918 }, { "date": "2026-02-27", "close": 53.16, "direction_boundary": 70.94812, "core_momentum": -0.25072, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.26321 }, { "date": "2026-03-06", "close": 53.98, "direction_boundary": 72.495575, "core_momentum": -0.255403, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.26023 }, { "date": "2026-03-13", "close": 52.32, "direction_boundary": 67.735672, "core_momentum": -0.227586, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.262029 }, { "date": "2026-03-20", "close": 48.810001, "direction_boundary": 72.16259, "core_momentum": -0.323611, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.27468 }, { "date": "2026-03-27", "close": 48.709999, "direction_boundary": 70.61512, "core_momentum": -0.310204, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.274107 }, { "date": "2026-04-03", "close": 48.529999, "direction_boundary": 66.403687, "core_momentum": -0.269167, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.266417 }, { "date": "2026-04-10", "close": 49.869999, "direction_boundary": 64.151054, "core_momentum": -0.222616, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.272075 }, { "date": "2026-04-17", "close": 54.040001, "direction_boundary": 66.893387, "core_momentum": -0.192147, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.300273 }, { "date": "2026-04-24", "close": 50.119999, "direction_boundary": 68.813026, "core_momentum": -0.27165, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.313104 }, { "date": "2026-05-01", "close": 48.023972, "direction_boundary": 68.891373, "core_momentum": -0.302903, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.315286 }, { "date": "2026-05-08", "close": 51.58239, "direction_boundary": 66.717094, "core_momentum": -0.226849, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.334444 }, { "date": "2026-05-15", "close": 50.209999, "direction_boundary": 70.713058, "core_momentum": -0.289947, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.335244 }, { "date": "2026-05-22", "close": 50.817772, "direction_boundary": 69.75325, "core_momentum": -0.271464, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.32262 }, { "date": "2026-05-29", "close": 54.189938, "direction_boundary": 71.770828, "core_momentum": -0.244959, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.335233 }, { "date": "2026-06-05", "close": 52.758728, "direction_boundary": 73.35746, "core_momentum": -0.280799, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.335402 }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 50.013943, "direction_boundary": 69.126434, "core_momentum": -0.276486, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.339653 }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 50.327633, "direction_boundary": 67.383087, "core_momentum": -0.253112, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.339888 }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 50.837379, "direction_boundary": 68.264549, "core_momentum": -0.255289, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.34074 }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 51.200001, "direction_boundary": 70.01461, "core_momentum": -0.268724, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.340995 }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 51.080002, "direction_boundary": 71.462502, "core_momentum": -0.28522, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.335064 }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 49.740002, "direction_boundary": 70.589806, "core_momentum": -0.295366, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.327614 }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 49.66, "direction_boundary": 71.065826, "core_momentum": -0.301211, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 1.0, "volatility": 0.323273 }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 53.900002, "direction_boundary": 68.745224, "core_momentum": -0.215946, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 0.75, "volatility": 0.343289 }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 57.139999, "direction_boundary": 70.351799, "core_momentum": -0.187796, "direction": "negative", "trend_agreement": 0.5, "volatility": 0.334948 } ], "price_history": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 58.680614, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2023-08-25", "close": 59.919811, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2023-09-01", "close": 60.568001, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2023-09-08", "close": 59.557579, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2023-09-15", "close": 59.157227, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2023-09-22", "close": 59.519455, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2023-09-29", "close": 55.363388, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2023-10-06", "close": 54.391094, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2023-10-13", "close": 54.238583, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2023-10-20", "close": 51.683933, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2023-10-27", "close": 51.93177, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2023-11-03", "close": 53.037514, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2023-11-10", "close": 57.307968, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2023-11-17", "close": 59.100033, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2023-11-24", "close": 59.957939, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2023-12-01", "close": 60.396423, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2023-12-08", "close": 61.464039, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2023-12-15", "close": 62.093166, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2023-12-22", "close": 61.654686, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2023-12-29", "close": 62.169422, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-01-05", "close": 60.663322, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-01-12", "close": 61.159004, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-01-19", "close": 61.965237, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-01-26", "close": 62.675503, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-02-02", "close": 61.907654, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-02-09", "close": 61.715698, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-02-16", "close": 60.602314, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-02-23", "close": 59.988037, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-03-01", "close": 54.785873, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-03-08", "close": 55.400154, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-03-15", "close": 55.515327, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-03-22", "close": 56.091209, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-03-29", "close": 57.204594, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-04-05", "close": 54.171593, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-04-12", "close": 55.764877, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-04-19", "close": 54.305973, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-04-26", "close": 57.242985, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-05-03", "close": 58.183598, "volume": 40 }, { "date": "2024-05-10", "close": 57.415749, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-05-17", "close": 62.963444, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-05-24", "close": 61.869263, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-05-31", "close": 62.982643, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-06-07", "close": 65.094223, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-06-14", "close": 62.848278, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-06-21", "close": 61.504536, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-06-28", "close": 60.199196, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-07-05", "close": 61.598164, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-07-12", "close": 60.898182, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-07-19", "close": 59.362118, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-07-26", "close": 58.506584, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-08-02", "close": 55.687225, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-08-09", "close": 55.298351, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-08-16", "close": 56.231655, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-08-23", "close": 57.88438, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-08-30", "close": 59.401001, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-09-06", "close": 60.081539, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-09-13", "close": 61.403721, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-09-20", "close": 63.717541, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-09-27", "close": 65.000839, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-10-04", "close": 62.881458, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-10-11", "close": 64.048088, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-10-18", "close": 64.90361, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-10-25", "close": 65.389717, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-11-01", "close": 64.825836, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-11-08", "close": 66.186913, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-11-15", "close": 65.448044, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-11-22", "close": 65.1175, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-11-29", "close": 64.164749, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-12-06", "close": 68.07296, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-12-13", "close": 65.700813, "volume": 22 }, { "date": "2024-12-20", "close": 65.409157, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2024-12-27", "close": 66.361908, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-01-03", "close": 65.836922, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-01-10", "close": 67.197998, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-01-17", "close": 66.325333, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-01-24", "close": 66.403687, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-01-31", "close": 69.322311, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-02-07", "close": 69.616127, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-02-14", "close": 70.869766, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-02-21", "close": 68.166611, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-02-28", "close": 70.94812, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-03-07", "close": 72.495575, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-03-14", "close": 67.735672, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-03-21", "close": 72.16259, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-03-28", "close": 70.61512, "volume": 10 }, { "date": "2025-04-04", "close": 66.403687, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-04-11", "close": 64.151054, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-04-18", "close": 66.893387, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-04-25", "close": 68.813026, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-05-02", "close": 68.891373, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-05-09", "close": 66.717094, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-05-16", "close": 70.713058, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-05-23", "close": 69.75325, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-05-30", "close": 71.770828, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-06-06", "close": 73.35746, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-06-13", "close": 69.126434, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-06-20", "close": 67.383087, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-06-27", "close": 68.264549, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-07-04", "close": 70.01461, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-07-11", "close": 71.462502, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-07-18", "close": 70.589806, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-07-25", "close": 71.065826, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-08-01", "close": 68.745224, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-08-08", "close": 70.351799, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-08-15", "close": 70.946823, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-08-22", "close": 71.660851, "volume": 288 }, { "date": "2025-08-29", "close": 71.700523, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-09-05", "close": 68.328712, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-09-12", "close": 67.535339, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-09-19", "close": 67.079155, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-09-26", "close": 65.254417, "volume": 144 }, { "date": "2025-10-03", "close": 67.535339, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-10-10", "close": 67.019653, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-10-17", "close": 66.801476, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-10-24", "close": 67.416344, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-10-31", "close": 65.532089, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-11-07", "close": 66.365128, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-11-14", "close": 65.968437, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-11-21", "close": 61.10907, "volume": 40 }, { "date": "2025-11-28", "close": 62.497463, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-12-05", "close": 60.930561, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-12-12", "close": 62.160282, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-12-19", "close": 62.358624, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2025-12-26", "close": 62.239616, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2026-01-02", "close": 62.477631, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2026-01-09", "close": 64.818062, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2026-01-16", "close": 60.959999, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2026-01-23", "close": 58.279999, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2026-01-30", "close": 56.52, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2026-02-06", "close": 52.299999, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2026-02-13", "close": 49.540001, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2026-02-20", "close": 48.689999, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2026-02-27", "close": 53.16, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2026-03-06", "close": 53.98, "volume": 639 }, { "date": "2026-03-13", "close": 52.32, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2026-03-20", "close": 48.810001, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2026-03-27", "close": 48.709999, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2026-04-03", "close": 48.529999, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2026-04-10", "close": 49.869999, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2026-04-17", "close": 54.040001, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2026-04-24", "close": 50.119999, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2026-05-01", "close": 48.023972, "volume": 30 }, { "date": "2026-05-08", "close": 51.58239, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2026-05-15", "close": 50.209999, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2026-05-22", "close": 50.817772, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2026-05-29", "close": 54.189938, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2026-06-05", "close": 52.758728, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 50.013943, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 50.327633, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 50.837379, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 51.200001, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 51.080002, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 49.740002, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 49.66, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 53.900002, "volume": 0 }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 57.139999, "volume": 0 } ], "sharemaestro_context": { "trend": 51.910392, "fair_value": 61.20004, "market_activity": 14.757863, "market_dynamics": 0.717218, "relative_strength": -20.726018 }, "historical_outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.007476, "directional_follow_through": 0.4286, "regime_survival": 0.7143, "conditional_difference": 0.005545, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.071099, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "regime_survival": 0.25, "conditional_difference": 0.06412, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Longer term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.023087, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "regime_survival": 0.25, "conditional_difference": 0.0266, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.095579, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "regime_survival": 0.0, "conditional_difference": 0.065168, "sufficient": false } ], "regime_history": [ { "direction": "positive", "start": "2022-04-22", "end": "2022-05-06", "tenure": "Brief", "return": -0.004656 }, { "direction": "negative", "start": "2022-05-13", "end": "2022-07-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.046583 }, { "direction": "positive", "start": "2022-07-29", "end": "2022-09-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.081224 }, { "direction": "negative", "start": "2022-09-16", "end": "2023-02-24", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.100554 }, { "direction": "positive", "start": "2023-03-03", "end": "2024-02-23", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.05157 }, { "direction": "negative", "start": "2024-03-01", "end": "2024-03-15", "tenure": "Brief", "return": 0.013315 }, { "direction": "positive", "start": "2024-03-22", "end": "2024-03-29", "tenure": "Brief", "return": 0.01985 }, { "direction": "negative", "start": "2024-04-05", "end": "2024-05-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.162651 }, { "direction": "positive", "start": "2024-06-07", "end": "2024-06-07", "tenure": "Brief", "return": 0.0 }, { "direction": "negative", "start": "2024-06-14", "end": "2024-08-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.054851 }, { "direction": "positive", "start": "2024-09-06", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.097982 }, { "direction": "negative", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.064951 } ] } }