{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9b809379-01f3-4d93-82ed-51fea39332c4",
    "symbol": "FLD",
    "name": "Fold Holdings, Inc. Class A Common Stock",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "The SM framework classifies the established weekly price path as the Core Trend. Faster and slower Trend views and Sharemaestro context describe that state but do not alter its direction.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "latest_close": 0.4899,
    "direction": "negative",
    "state": "Negative across all Trend views",
    "is_fresh": false,
    "is_near_boundary": false,
    "direction_boundary": 4.01,
    "boundary_margin": -0.87783,
    "trend_agreement": "Fully aligned",
    "persistence": "Established",
    "direction_turnover": "Low",
    "annualized_volatility": 0.918866,
    "volatility_stability": 1.2423,
    "risk_context": 0.1088,
    "current_regime": {
      "move": -0.671208,
      "interruption": 0.344828,
      "interruption_label": "Largest rebound inside regime"
    },
    "research_priority": 98.276,
    "interpretation": {
      "label": "Negative across all Trend views",
      "headline": "All measured Trend views are negative",
      "body": "The faster, intermediate, established and Core Trend views point in the same direction, giving the current regime broad agreement.",
      "age_context": "The current Core Trend is established.",
      "boundary_context": "The latest close is 87.8% below the decision boundary.",
      "stability_context": "Recent Core Trend turnover is low."
    },
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2026-02-20",
        "close": 1.49,
        "direction_boundary": 6.96,
        "core_momentum": -0.78592,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.790749
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-27",
        "close": 1.49,
        "direction_boundary": 5.26,
        "core_momentum": -0.71673,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.792005
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "close": 1.35,
        "direction_boundary": 7.58,
        "core_momentum": -0.8219,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.792797
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "close": 1.19,
        "direction_boundary": 7.39,
        "core_momentum": -0.838972,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.800267
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "close": 1.16,
        "direction_boundary": 8.42,
        "core_momentum": -0.862233,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.611501
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "close": 1.3,
        "direction_boundary": 6.33,
        "core_momentum": -0.794629,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.610739
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 1.25,
        "direction_boundary": 4.71,
        "core_momentum": -0.734607,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.569586
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 1.25,
        "direction_boundary": 2.69,
        "core_momentum": -0.535316,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.572122
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 1.56,
        "direction_boundary": 3.84,
        "core_momentum": -0.59375,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.679348
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 1.52,
        "direction_boundary": 3.83,
        "core_momentum": -0.603133,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.66825
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 1.47,
        "direction_boundary": 4.69,
        "core_momentum": -0.686567,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.653653
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 1.37,
        "direction_boundary": 3.99,
        "core_momentum": -0.656642,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.642762
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 1.42,
        "direction_boundary": 3.96,
        "core_momentum": -0.641414,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.649477
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 1.11,
        "direction_boundary": 4.83,
        "core_momentum": -0.770186,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.712564
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 0.9659,
        "direction_boundary": 4.2,
        "core_momentum": -0.770024,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.708752
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 0.652,
        "direction_boundary": 4.39,
        "core_momentum": -0.851481,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.855851
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 0.582,
        "direction_boundary": 4.69,
        "core_momentum": -0.875906,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.845452
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 0.57,
        "direction_boundary": 4.5,
        "core_momentum": -0.873333,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.838162
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 0.494,
        "direction_boundary": 4.57,
        "core_momentum": -0.891904,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.845315
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 0.4815,
        "direction_boundary": 4.28,
        "core_momentum": -0.8875,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.828476
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 0.478,
        "direction_boundary": 4.44,
        "core_momentum": -0.892342,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.82949
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 0.38,
        "direction_boundary": 4.36,
        "core_momentum": -0.912844,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.860998
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.4501,
        "direction_boundary": 4.41,
        "core_momentum": -0.897937,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.90184
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.45,
        "direction_boundary": 4.27,
        "core_momentum": -0.894614,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.898748
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.4899,
        "direction_boundary": 4.01,
        "core_momentum": -0.87783,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.918866
      }
    ],
    "price_history": [
      {
        "date": "2025-02-21",
        "close": 6.96,
        "volume": 1576188
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-02-28",
        "close": 5.26,
        "volume": 1210247
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-07",
        "close": 7.58,
        "volume": 1464848
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-14",
        "close": 7.39,
        "volume": 390808
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-21",
        "close": 8.42,
        "volume": 490689
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-28",
        "close": 6.33,
        "volume": 410072
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-04",
        "close": 4.71,
        "volume": 813004
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-11",
        "close": 2.69,
        "volume": 2200269
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-18",
        "close": 3.84,
        "volume": 1950756
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-25",
        "close": 3.83,
        "volume": 1452355
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-02",
        "close": 4.69,
        "volume": 2122825
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-09",
        "close": 3.99,
        "volume": 1150141
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-16",
        "close": 3.96,
        "volume": 1014751
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-23",
        "close": 4.83,
        "volume": 2948317
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-30",
        "close": 4.2,
        "volume": 2071374
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-06",
        "close": 4.39,
        "volume": 1175401
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-13",
        "close": 4.69,
        "volume": 1128017
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-20",
        "close": 4.5,
        "volume": 4180737
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-27",
        "close": 4.57,
        "volume": 993688
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-04",
        "close": 4.28,
        "volume": 934059
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-11",
        "close": 4.44,
        "volume": 1023676
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-18",
        "close": 4.36,
        "volume": 1270340
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-25",
        "close": 4.41,
        "volume": 1201739
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-01",
        "close": 4.27,
        "volume": 641286
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-08",
        "close": 4.01,
        "volume": 422404
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-15",
        "close": 3.97,
        "volume": 877679
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-22",
        "close": 3.76,
        "volume": 1840612
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-29",
        "close": 3.58,
        "volume": 2178076
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-05",
        "close": 3.26,
        "volume": 1791819
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-12",
        "close": 3.29,
        "volume": 1532634
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-19",
        "close": 4.53,
        "volume": 6899153
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-26",
        "close": 3.68,
        "volume": 26462148
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-03",
        "close": 4.12,
        "volume": 3026131
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-10",
        "close": 3.85,
        "volume": 1814580
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-17",
        "close": 3.8,
        "volume": 810886
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-24",
        "close": 4.0,
        "volume": 475159
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-31",
        "close": 3.5,
        "volume": 541769
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-07",
        "close": 3.09,
        "volume": 578560
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-14",
        "close": 3.0,
        "volume": 831271
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-21",
        "close": 3.04,
        "volume": 590576
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-28",
        "close": 3.25,
        "volume": 349747
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-05",
        "close": 3.0,
        "volume": 446878
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-12",
        "close": 3.14,
        "volume": 599144
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-19",
        "close": 2.7,
        "volume": 1246670
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-26",
        "close": 2.6,
        "volume": 482406
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-02",
        "close": 2.76,
        "volume": 398558
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-09",
        "close": 2.46,
        "volume": 708721
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-16",
        "close": 2.31,
        "volume": 685682
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-23",
        "close": 1.9,
        "volume": 481390
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-30",
        "close": 1.94,
        "volume": 791619
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-06",
        "close": 1.79,
        "volume": 822276
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-13",
        "close": 1.5,
        "volume": 927930
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-20",
        "close": 1.49,
        "volume": 507937
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-27",
        "close": 1.49,
        "volume": 539807
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "close": 1.35,
        "volume": 686014
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "close": 1.19,
        "volume": 699256
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "close": 1.16,
        "volume": 1697769
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "close": 1.3,
        "volume": 775476
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 1.25,
        "volume": 255835
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 1.25,
        "volume": 268885
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 1.56,
        "volume": 854999
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 1.52,
        "volume": 522063
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 1.47,
        "volume": 453926
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 1.37,
        "volume": 688089
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 1.42,
        "volume": 715355
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 1.11,
        "volume": 674384
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 0.9659,
        "volume": 663587
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 0.652,
        "volume": 786789
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 0.582,
        "volume": 127253911
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 0.57,
        "volume": 4625595
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 0.494,
        "volume": 3083680
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 0.4815,
        "volume": 875650
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 0.478,
        "volume": 713325
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 0.38,
        "volume": 1010889
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.4501,
        "volume": 1788059
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.45,
        "volume": 416853
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.4899,
        "volume": 674461
      }
    ],
    "sharemaestro_context": {
      "trend": 1.145447,
      "fair_value": 3.00446,
      "market_activity": -99.176903,
      "market_dynamics": -0.735885,
      "relative_strength": -80.181849
    },
    "historical_outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.134219,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6667,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "conditional_difference": -0.006702,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.255034,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "conditional_difference": 0.361166,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Longer term",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "regime_history": [
      {
        "direction": "negative",
        "start": "2026-02-20",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.671208
      }
    ]
  }
}