{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a0ba4e79-eb56-4eb9-a572-22ff500c4980",
    "symbol": "IPCO",
    "name": "International Paper Company",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "The SM framework classifies the established weekly price path as the Core Trend. Faster and slower Trend views and Sharemaestro context describe that state but do not alter its direction.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "latest_close": 36.0,
    "direction": "negative",
    "state": "Negative, shorter trend recovering",
    "is_fresh": false,
    "is_near_boundary": false,
    "direction_boundary": 38.909229,
    "boundary_margin": -0.07477,
    "trend_agreement": "Divided",
    "persistence": "Mature",
    "direction_turnover": "Low",
    "annualized_volatility": 0.414299,
    "volatility_stability": 0.6311,
    "risk_context": 0.2414,
    "current_regime": {
      "move": -0.058064,
      "interruption": 0.387952,
      "interruption_label": "Largest rebound inside regime"
    },
    "research_priority": 55.414,
    "interpretation": {
      "label": "Negative, shorter trend recovering",
      "headline": "Negative, shorter trend recovering",
      "body": "The Core Trend remains in force, but the Fast Trend now points the other way. That is an early loss of persistence, not yet a regime change.",
      "age_context": "The current Core Trend has persisted into a mature lifecycle.",
      "boundary_context": "The latest close is 7.5% below the decision boundary.",
      "stability_context": "Recent Core Trend turnover is low."
    },
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2025-10-03",
        "close": 38.219166,
        "direction_boundary": 40.076153,
        "core_momentum": -0.046336,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.403102
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-10",
        "close": 38.611897,
        "direction_boundary": 40.195862,
        "core_momentum": -0.039406,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.38351
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-17",
        "close": 38.33411,
        "direction_boundary": 39.007938,
        "core_momentum": -0.017274,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.381429
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-24",
        "close": 40.288174,
        "direction_boundary": 41.512703,
        "core_momentum": -0.029498,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.386749
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-31",
        "close": 32.529392,
        "direction_boundary": 46.651142,
        "core_momentum": -0.30271,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.486019
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-07",
        "close": 31.015955,
        "direction_boundary": 49.634754,
        "core_momentum": -0.375116,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.489174
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-14",
        "close": 31.012819,
        "direction_boundary": 49.552628,
        "core_momentum": -0.374144,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.448207
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-21",
        "close": 31.498457,
        "direction_boundary": 53.212868,
        "core_momentum": -0.408067,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.446549
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-28",
        "close": 33.207901,
        "direction_boundary": 51.670742,
        "core_momentum": -0.357317,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.454699
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-05",
        "close": 32.974792,
        "direction_boundary": 49.701267,
        "core_momentum": -0.33654,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.454664
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-12",
        "close": 32.294903,
        "direction_boundary": 49.125294,
        "core_momentum": -0.342601,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.452934
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-19",
        "close": 31.780128,
        "direction_boundary": 48.344936,
        "core_momentum": -0.342638,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.453118
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-26",
        "close": 32.362892,
        "direction_boundary": 48.605049,
        "core_momentum": -0.334166,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.453577
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-02",
        "close": 33.159336,
        "direction_boundary": 48.103394,
        "core_momentum": -0.310665,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.449881
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-09",
        "close": 35.37384,
        "direction_boundary": 49.534054,
        "core_momentum": -0.285868,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.455211
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-16",
        "close": 36.160576,
        "direction_boundary": 51.131924,
        "core_momentum": -0.292798,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.45545
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-23",
        "close": 34.528831,
        "direction_boundary": 52.897011,
        "core_momentum": -0.347244,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.441352
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-30",
        "close": 32.916519,
        "direction_boundary": 50.630264,
        "core_momentum": -0.349865,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.380538
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-06",
        "close": 37.646629,
        "direction_boundary": 50.797485,
        "core_momentum": -0.258888,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.422991
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-13",
        "close": 40.511887,
        "direction_boundary": 49.608368,
        "core_momentum": -0.183366,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.434364
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-20",
        "close": 39.385212,
        "direction_boundary": 49.32967,
        "core_momentum": -0.201592,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.429794
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-27",
        "close": 35.880207,
        "direction_boundary": 49.819336,
        "core_momentum": -0.279794,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.44846
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "close": 33.885773,
        "direction_boundary": 44.121414,
        "core_momentum": -0.231988,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.453622
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "close": 32.195904,
        "direction_boundary": 44.074551,
        "core_momentum": -0.269513,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.454872
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "close": 28.875118,
        "direction_boundary": 44.130783,
        "core_momentum": -0.345692,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.476389
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "close": 30.84008,
        "direction_boundary": 46.689224,
        "core_momentum": -0.33946,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.487798
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 29.523556,
        "direction_boundary": 40.653927,
        "core_momentum": -0.273783,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.487321
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 30.849905,
        "direction_boundary": 37.195812,
        "core_momentum": -0.170608,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.492328
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 31.242897,
        "direction_boundary": 38.329777,
        "core_momentum": -0.184892,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.493213
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 27.50947,
        "direction_boundary": 39.098244,
        "core_momentum": -0.296401,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.51257
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 26.133997,
        "direction_boundary": 37.523819,
        "core_momentum": -0.303536,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.428932
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 27.705967,
        "direction_boundary": 36.783463,
        "core_momentum": -0.246782,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.43471
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 25.9375,
        "direction_boundary": 41.881603,
        "core_momentum": -0.380695,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.442941
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 27.0,
        "direction_boundary": 39.922684,
        "core_momentum": -0.323693,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.44673
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 28.6,
        "direction_boundary": 39.846912,
        "core_momentum": -0.282253,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.448018
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 29.4,
        "direction_boundary": 39.723778,
        "core_momentum": -0.259889,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.450385
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 30.6,
        "direction_boundary": 38.236744,
        "core_momentum": -0.199723,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.453838
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 32.200001,
        "direction_boundary": 38.056786,
        "core_momentum": -0.153896,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.459193
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 34.200001,
        "direction_boundary": 38.577721,
        "core_momentum": -0.113478,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.466089
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 34.200001,
        "direction_boundary": 40.329964,
        "core_momentum": -0.151995,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.464992
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 33.400002,
        "direction_boundary": 42.195862,
        "core_momentum": -0.208453,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.456945
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 33.0,
        "direction_boundary": 40.888783,
        "core_momentum": -0.192933,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.455776
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 34.0,
        "direction_boundary": 44.355381,
        "core_momentum": -0.233464,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.453735
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 36.0,
        "direction_boundary": 37.403248,
        "core_momentum": -0.037517,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.455233
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 36.0,
        "direction_boundary": 38.909229,
        "core_momentum": -0.07477,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.414299
      }
    ],
    "price_history": [
      {
        "date": "2024-10-04",
        "close": 40.076153,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2024-10-11",
        "close": 40.195862,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2024-10-18",
        "close": 39.007938,
        "volume": 870
      },
      {
        "date": "2024-10-25",
        "close": 41.512703,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2024-11-01",
        "close": 46.651142,
        "volume": 1918
      },
      {
        "date": "2024-11-08",
        "close": 49.634754,
        "volume": 1388
      },
      {
        "date": "2024-11-15",
        "close": 49.552628,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2024-11-22",
        "close": 53.212868,
        "volume": 518
      },
      {
        "date": "2024-11-29",
        "close": 51.670742,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2024-12-06",
        "close": 49.701267,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2024-12-13",
        "close": 49.125294,
        "volume": 73
      },
      {
        "date": "2024-12-20",
        "close": 48.344936,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2024-12-27",
        "close": 48.605049,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-01-03",
        "close": 48.103394,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-01-10",
        "close": 49.534054,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-01-17",
        "close": 51.131924,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-01-24",
        "close": 52.897011,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-01-31",
        "close": 50.630264,
        "volume": 935
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-02-07",
        "close": 50.797485,
        "volume": 1974
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-02-14",
        "close": 49.608368,
        "volume": 3743
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-02-21",
        "close": 49.32967,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-02-28",
        "close": 49.819336,
        "volume": 1005
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-07",
        "close": 44.121414,
        "volume": 1000
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-14",
        "close": 44.074551,
        "volume": 576
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-21",
        "close": 44.130783,
        "volume": 790
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-28",
        "close": 46.689224,
        "volume": 702
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-04",
        "close": 40.653927,
        "volume": 2760
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-11",
        "close": 37.195812,
        "volume": 1865
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-18",
        "close": 38.329777,
        "volume": 405
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-25",
        "close": 39.098244,
        "volume": 805
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-02",
        "close": 37.523819,
        "volume": 404
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-09",
        "close": 36.783463,
        "volume": 711
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-16",
        "close": 41.881603,
        "volume": 203
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-23",
        "close": 39.922684,
        "volume": 202
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-30",
        "close": 39.846912,
        "volume": 201
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-06",
        "close": 39.723778,
        "volume": 201
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-13",
        "close": 38.236744,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-20",
        "close": 38.056786,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-27",
        "close": 38.577721,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-04",
        "close": 40.329964,
        "volume": 472
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-11",
        "close": 42.195862,
        "volume": 496
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-18",
        "close": 40.888783,
        "volume": 247
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-25",
        "close": 44.355381,
        "volume": 775
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-01",
        "close": 37.403248,
        "volume": 1546
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-08",
        "close": 38.909229,
        "volume": 492
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-15",
        "close": 38.132957,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-22",
        "close": 40.240276,
        "volume": 976
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-29",
        "close": 40.249859,
        "volume": 247
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-05",
        "close": 39.263248,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-12",
        "close": 37.558231,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-19",
        "close": 37.692333,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-26",
        "close": 37.098454,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-03",
        "close": 38.219166,
        "volume": 660
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-10",
        "close": 38.611897,
        "volume": 1020
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-17",
        "close": 38.33411,
        "volume": 579
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-24",
        "close": 40.288174,
        "volume": 749
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-31",
        "close": 32.529392,
        "volume": 2734
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-07",
        "close": 31.015955,
        "volume": 2
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-14",
        "close": 31.012819,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-21",
        "close": 31.498457,
        "volume": 510
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-28",
        "close": 33.207901,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-05",
        "close": 32.974792,
        "volume": 252
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-12",
        "close": 32.294903,
        "volume": 508
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-19",
        "close": 31.780128,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-26",
        "close": 32.362892,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-02",
        "close": 33.159336,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-09",
        "close": 35.37384,
        "volume": 413
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-16",
        "close": 36.160576,
        "volume": 15
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-23",
        "close": 34.528831,
        "volume": 23
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-30",
        "close": 32.916519,
        "volume": 4354
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-06",
        "close": 37.646629,
        "volume": 3198
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-13",
        "close": 40.511887,
        "volume": 1114
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-20",
        "close": 39.385212,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-27",
        "close": 35.880207,
        "volume": 2717
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "close": 33.885773,
        "volume": 4825
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "close": 32.195904,
        "volume": 3139
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "close": 28.875118,
        "volume": 2056
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "close": 30.84008,
        "volume": 294
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 29.523556,
        "volume": 651
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 30.849905,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 31.242897,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 27.50947,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 26.133997,
        "volume": 753
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 27.705967,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 25.9375,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 27.0,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 28.6,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 29.4,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 30.6,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 32.200001,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 34.200001,
        "volume": 207
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 34.200001,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 33.400002,
        "volume": 908
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 33.0,
        "volume": 491
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 34.0,
        "volume": 2132
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 36.0,
        "volume": 5618
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 36.0,
        "volume": 5306
      }
    ],
    "sharemaestro_context": {
      "trend": 32.344334,
      "fair_value": 38.570121,
      "market_activity": 78.110128,
      "market_dynamics": 1.054693,
      "relative_strength": -13.82583
    },
    "historical_outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.037527,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "conditional_difference": -0.058385,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.264052,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "conditional_difference": -0.21574,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Longer term",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.043739,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "conditional_difference": 0.06298,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "regime_history": [
      {
        "direction": "negative",
        "start": "2025-10-03",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.058064
      }
    ]
  }
}