{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ba241499-2698-4351-a29a-995c043af8bb",
    "symbol": "ARAW",
    "name": "ABRDN III ICAV ABRDN ARAW UCITS",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "The SM framework classifies the established weekly price path as the Core Trend. Faster and slower Trend views and Sharemaestro context describe that state but do not alter its direction.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "latest_close": 182.85,
    "direction": "positive",
    "state": "Positive, shorter trend weakening",
    "is_fresh": false,
    "is_near_boundary": false,
    "direction_boundary": 102.269997,
    "boundary_margin": 0.787914,
    "trend_agreement": "Broadly aligned",
    "persistence": "Early",
    "direction_turnover": "Low",
    "annualized_volatility": 0.395069,
    "volatility_stability": 0.7019,
    "risk_context": 0.2531,
    "current_regime": {
      "move": 0.120336,
      "interruption": 0.0,
      "interruption_label": "Deepest pullback inside regime"
    },
    "research_priority": 80.769,
    "interpretation": {
      "label": "Positive, shorter trend weakening",
      "headline": "Positive, shorter trend weakening",
      "body": "The Core Trend remains in force, but the Fast Trend now points the other way. That is an early loss of persistence, not yet a regime change.",
      "age_context": "The current Core Trend remains in its early lifecycle.",
      "boundary_context": "The latest close is 78.8% above the decision boundary.",
      "stability_context": "Recent Core Trend turnover is low."
    },
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 163.21,
        "direction_boundary": 94.580002,
        "core_momentum": 0.725629,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.360123
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 182.85,
        "direction_boundary": 102.269997,
        "core_momentum": 0.787914,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.395069
      }
    ],
    "price_history": [
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        "date": "2025-08-01",
        "close": 94.580002,
        "volume": 2559
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      {
        "date": "2025-08-08",
        "close": 102.269997,
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        "close": 105.599998,
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        "close": 104.839996,
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        "date": "2025-08-29",
        "close": 109.089996,
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        "date": "2025-09-05",
        "close": 109.519997,
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        "date": "2025-09-12",
        "close": 113.080002,
        "volume": 189026
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        "date": "2025-09-19",
        "close": 116.589996,
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        "date": "2025-09-26",
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        "date": "2025-10-24",
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        "date": "2025-10-31",
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        "date": "2025-11-07",
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        "date": "2025-11-14",
        "close": 137.429993,
        "volume": 215360
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        "date": "2025-11-21",
        "close": 132.600006,
        "volume": 340406
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      {
        "date": "2025-11-28",
        "close": 142.649994,
        "volume": 75575
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      {
        "date": "2025-12-05",
        "close": 147.460007,
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      {
        "date": "2025-12-12",
        "close": 148.149994,
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        "date": "2025-12-19",
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      {
        "date": "2025-12-26",
        "close": 156.470001,
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      {
        "date": "2026-01-02",
        "close": 159.210007,
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        "date": "2026-01-09",
        "close": 175.0,
        "volume": 676851
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        "date": "2026-01-16",
        "close": 180.860001,
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        "date": "2026-01-23",
        "close": 189.449997,
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        "date": "2026-01-30",
        "close": 183.220001,
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        "date": "2026-02-06",
        "close": 180.5,
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        "date": "2026-02-13",
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        "date": "2026-02-20",
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        "date": "2026-02-27",
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        "date": "2026-03-06",
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        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "close": 183.080002,
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        "date": "2026-03-20",
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        "date": "2026-03-27",
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        "date": "2026-04-03",
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 190.190002,
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 188.23,
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 182.85,
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    ],
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      "fair_value": 160.267592,
      "market_activity": -9.260494,
      "market_dynamics": -1.385837,
      "relative_strength": 4.328884
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    "historical_outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": false
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        "horizon": "Longer term",
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        "sufficient": false
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "sufficient": false
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    ],
    "regime_history": [
      {
        "direction": "positive",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Brief",
        "return": 0.120336
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    ]
  }
}