{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "bb7fb228-e26f-466c-8bb7-8bb4b1111a35",
    "symbol": "M44",
    "name": "MARA Holdings, Inc.",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "The SM framework classifies the established weekly price path as the Core Trend. Faster and slower Trend views and Sharemaestro context describe that state but do not alter its direction.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "latest_close": 8.816,
    "direction": "negative",
    "state": "Negative, Trend views divided",
    "is_fresh": false,
    "is_near_boundary": false,
    "direction_boundary": 13.114,
    "boundary_margin": -0.327741,
    "trend_agreement": "Broadly aligned",
    "persistence": "Established",
    "direction_turnover": "Low",
    "annualized_volatility": 0.852296,
    "volatility_stability": 0.9726,
    "risk_context": 0.1173,
    "current_regime": {
      "move": 0.133745,
      "interruption": 0.857589,
      "interruption_label": "Largest rebound inside regime"
    },
    "research_priority": 70.767,
    "interpretation": {
      "label": "Negative, Trend views divided",
      "headline": "Negative, Trend views divided",
      "body": "The Core Trend remains intact, but faster and slower Trend views disagree. The regime is less settled than a fully aligned trend.",
      "age_context": "The current Core Trend is established.",
      "boundary_context": "The latest close is 32.8% below the decision boundary.",
      "stability_context": "Recent Core Trend turnover is low."
    },
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2026-02-27",
        "close": 7.776,
        "direction_boundary": 13.344,
        "core_momentum": -0.417266,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.801651
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "close": 7.03,
        "direction_boundary": 13.9,
        "core_momentum": -0.494245,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.808767
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "close": 8.687,
        "direction_boundary": 12.1,
        "core_momentum": -0.282066,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.861645
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "close": 7.604,
        "direction_boundary": 11.35,
        "core_momentum": -0.330044,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.843128
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "close": 6.786,
        "direction_boundary": 11.612,
        "core_momentum": -0.415605,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.836096
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 6.727,
        "direction_boundary": 9.502,
        "core_momentum": -0.292044,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.781713
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 8.229,
        "direction_boundary": 10.678,
        "core_momentum": -0.22935,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.844626
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 10.082,
        "direction_boundary": 10.832,
        "core_momentum": -0.069239,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.903133
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 9.728,
        "direction_boundary": 12.592,
        "core_momentum": -0.227446,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.899986
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 10.358,
        "direction_boundary": 12.866,
        "core_momentum": -0.194932,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.902157
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 10.602,
        "direction_boundary": 13.38,
        "core_momentum": -0.207623,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.872271
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 10.616,
        "direction_boundary": 14.872,
        "core_momentum": -0.286175,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.83328
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 12.052,
        "direction_boundary": 13.132,
        "core_momentum": -0.082242,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.791432
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 12.104,
        "direction_boundary": 12.838,
        "core_momentum": -0.057174,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.768808
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 10.666,
        "direction_boundary": 13.99,
        "core_momentum": -0.237598,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.790717
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 12.306,
        "direction_boundary": 13.16,
        "core_momentum": -0.064894,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.810956
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 12.33,
        "direction_boundary": 12.516,
        "core_momentum": -0.014861,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.792607
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 12.496,
        "direction_boundary": 12.89,
        "core_momentum": -0.030566,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.787948
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 11.11,
        "direction_boundary": 15.09,
        "core_momentum": -0.263751,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.809357
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 11.268,
        "direction_boundary": 16.708,
        "core_momentum": -0.325593,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.806294
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 9.274,
        "direction_boundary": 17.052,
        "core_momentum": -0.456134,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.845705
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 11.058,
        "direction_boundary": 14.478,
        "core_momentum": -0.23622,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.870462
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 9.955,
        "direction_boundary": 13.536,
        "core_momentum": -0.264554,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.873306
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 8.816,
        "direction_boundary": 13.114,
        "core_momentum": -0.327741,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.852296
      }
    ],
    "price_history": [
      {
        "date": "2025-02-28",
        "close": 13.344,
        "volume": 58222
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-07",
        "close": 13.9,
        "volume": 39586
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-14",
        "close": 12.1,
        "volume": 45091
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-21",
        "close": 11.35,
        "volume": 54541
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-28",
        "close": 11.612,
        "volume": 31515
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-04",
        "close": 9.502,
        "volume": 52436
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-11",
        "close": 10.678,
        "volume": 42901
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-18",
        "close": 10.832,
        "volume": 17251
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-25",
        "close": 12.592,
        "volume": 28179
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-02",
        "close": 12.866,
        "volume": 18491
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-09",
        "close": 13.38,
        "volume": 40266
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-16",
        "close": 14.872,
        "volume": 46546
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-23",
        "close": 13.132,
        "volume": 44620
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-30",
        "close": 12.838,
        "volume": 44270
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-06",
        "close": 13.99,
        "volume": 25304
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-13",
        "close": 13.16,
        "volume": 37023
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-20",
        "close": 12.516,
        "volume": 22287
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-27",
        "close": 12.89,
        "volume": 15553
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-04",
        "close": 15.09,
        "volume": 27026
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-11",
        "close": 16.708,
        "volume": 25819
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-18",
        "close": 17.052,
        "volume": 63414
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-25",
        "close": 14.478,
        "volume": 32221
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-01",
        "close": 13.536,
        "volume": 62740
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-08",
        "close": 13.114,
        "volume": 29332
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-15",
        "close": 13.278,
        "volume": 25527
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-22",
        "close": 14.11,
        "volume": 86363
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-29",
        "close": 13.272,
        "volume": 42077
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-05",
        "close": 12.688,
        "volume": 23734
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-12",
        "close": 13.712,
        "volume": 57847
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-19",
        "close": 15.84,
        "volume": 34907
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-26",
        "close": 13.728,
        "volume": 43155
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-03",
        "close": 16.438,
        "volume": 31663
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-10",
        "close": 16.816,
        "volume": 53784
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-17",
        "close": 16.368,
        "volume": 65762
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-24",
        "close": 16.959999,
        "volume": 75913
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-31",
        "close": 15.552,
        "volume": 32730
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-07",
        "close": 13.012,
        "volume": 62082
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-14",
        "close": 10.796,
        "volume": 54877
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-21",
        "close": 8.711,
        "volume": 46418
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-28",
        "close": 10.048,
        "volume": 55620
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-05",
        "close": 10.176,
        "volume": 43364
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-12",
        "close": 9.712,
        "volume": 53701
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-19",
        "close": 8.697,
        "volume": 24606
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-26",
        "close": 8.305,
        "volume": 24070
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-02",
        "close": 8.374,
        "volume": 46532
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-09",
        "close": 8.891,
        "volume": 52897
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-16",
        "close": 9.693,
        "volume": 53216
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-23",
        "close": 8.868,
        "volume": 60876
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-30",
        "close": 8.076,
        "volume": 41581
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-06",
        "close": 6.756,
        "volume": 99723
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-13",
        "close": 6.272,
        "volume": 71564
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-20",
        "close": 6.741,
        "volume": 38241
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-27",
        "close": 7.776,
        "volume": 32557
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "close": 7.03,
        "volume": 61083
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "close": 8.687,
        "volume": 52016
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "close": 7.604,
        "volume": 56651
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "close": 6.786,
        "volume": 64757
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 6.727,
        "volume": 31978
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 8.229,
        "volume": 39736
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 10.082,
        "volume": 145432
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 9.728,
        "volume": 101137
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 10.358,
        "volume": 64816
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 10.602,
        "volume": 87013
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 10.616,
        "volume": 61691
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 12.052,
        "volume": 130294
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 12.104,
        "volume": 104861
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 10.666,
        "volume": 35990
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 12.306,
        "volume": 19933
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 12.33,
        "volume": 2629
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 12.496,
        "volume": 7526
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 11.11,
        "volume": 9384
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 11.268,
        "volume": 71729
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 9.274,
        "volume": 41456
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 11.058,
        "volume": 50963
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 9.955,
        "volume": 38428
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 8.816,
        "volume": 27512
      }
    ],
    "sharemaestro_context": {
      "trend": 9.468867,
      "fair_value": 11.514237,
      "market_activity": 9.872367,
      "market_dynamics": -0.471059,
      "relative_strength": -24.321776
    },
    "historical_outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.10608,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "conditional_difference": 0.078353,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.080143,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "conditional_difference": -0.496742,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Longer term",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "regime_history": [
      {
        "direction": "negative",
        "start": "2026-02-27",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.133745
      }
    ]
  }
}