{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "be46fdfc-eca1-4634-84be-7ab04c95ba9b",
    "symbol": "FRGR",
    "name": "Ferrari Group PLC",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "The SM framework classifies the established weekly price path as the Core Trend. Faster and slower Trend views and Sharemaestro context describe that state but do not alter its direction.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "latest_close": 8.02,
    "direction": "negative",
    "state": "Negative, shorter trend recovering",
    "is_fresh": false,
    "is_near_boundary": false,
    "direction_boundary": 9.42,
    "boundary_margin": -0.14862,
    "trend_agreement": "Broadly aligned",
    "persistence": "Early",
    "direction_turnover": "High",
    "annualized_volatility": 0.349916,
    "volatility_stability": 1.0381,
    "risk_context": 0.2858,
    "current_regime": {
      "move": -0.004665,
      "interruption": 0.128134,
      "interruption_label": "Largest rebound inside regime"
    },
    "research_priority": 54.473,
    "interpretation": {
      "label": "Negative, shorter trend recovering",
      "headline": "Negative, shorter trend recovering",
      "body": "The Core Trend remains in force, but the Fast Trend now points the other way. That is an early loss of persistence, not yet a regime change.",
      "age_context": "The current Core Trend remains in its early lifecycle.",
      "boundary_context": "The latest close is 14.9% below the decision boundary.",
      "stability_context": "Recent Core Trend turnover is high."
    },
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2026-02-20",
        "close": 10.56,
        "direction_boundary": 8.622706,
        "core_momentum": 0.224674,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.242001
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-27",
        "close": 10.36,
        "direction_boundary": 7.914654,
        "core_momentum": 0.308964,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.242441
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "close": 9.31,
        "direction_boundary": 7.759465,
        "core_momentum": 0.199825,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.282601
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "close": 8.7,
        "direction_boundary": 8.021348,
        "core_momentum": 0.084606,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.299529
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "close": 8.3,
        "direction_boundary": 7.914654,
        "core_momentum": 0.048688,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.306917
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "close": 7.84,
        "direction_boundary": 7.904955,
        "core_momentum": -0.008217,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.316681
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 8.22,
        "direction_boundary": 6.585846,
        "core_momentum": 0.248131,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.323889
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 7.38,
        "direction_boundary": 6.38216,
        "core_momentum": 0.156348,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.351517
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 7.67,
        "direction_boundary": 6.459754,
        "core_momentum": 0.187352,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.35022
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 7.570121,
        "direction_boundary": 6.789532,
        "core_momentum": 0.114969,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.348593
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 7.703936,
        "direction_boundary": 7.129009,
        "core_momentum": 0.080646,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.349538
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 7.780402,
        "direction_boundary": 7.410289,
        "core_momentum": 0.049946,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.346812
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 7.359839,
        "direction_boundary": 7.778864,
        "core_momentum": -0.053867,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.354376
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 7.856868,
        "direction_boundary": 7.769165,
        "core_momentum": 0.011289,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.363748
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 8.05759,
        "direction_boundary": 8.457817,
        "core_momentum": -0.04732,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.333678
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 7.570121,
        "direction_boundary": 8.554811,
        "core_momentum": -0.115104,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.34133
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 7.531888,
        "direction_boundary": 8.661504,
        "core_momentum": -0.130418,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.341039
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 7.493655,
        "direction_boundary": 8.545112,
        "core_momentum": -0.123048,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.334783
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 7.18,
        "direction_boundary": 8.92,
        "core_momentum": -0.195067,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.336969
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 7.89,
        "direction_boundary": 9.13,
        "core_momentum": -0.135816,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.365367
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 7.8,
        "direction_boundary": 9.49,
        "core_momentum": -0.178082,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.357736
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 8.02,
        "direction_boundary": 9.49,
        "core_momentum": -0.1549,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.357093
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 7.76,
        "direction_boundary": 9.22,
        "core_momentum": -0.158351,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.357621
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 8.1,
        "direction_boundary": 9.44,
        "core_momentum": -0.141949,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.362648
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 8.02,
        "direction_boundary": 9.42,
        "core_momentum": -0.14862,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.349916
      }
    ],
    "price_history": [
      {
        "date": "2025-02-21",
        "close": 8.622706,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-02-28",
        "close": 7.914654,
        "volume": 4352
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-07",
        "close": 7.759465,
        "volume": 3600
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-14",
        "close": 8.021348,
        "volume": 3600
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-21",
        "close": 7.914654,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-28",
        "close": 7.904955,
        "volume": 2400
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-04",
        "close": 6.585846,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-11",
        "close": 6.38216,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-18",
        "close": 6.459754,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-25",
        "close": 6.789532,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-02",
        "close": 7.129009,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-09",
        "close": 7.410289,
        "volume": 2547
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-16",
        "close": 7.778864,
        "volume": 2663
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-23",
        "close": 7.769165,
        "volume": 4908
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-30",
        "close": 8.457817,
        "volume": 2454
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-06",
        "close": 8.554811,
        "volume": 1126
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-13",
        "close": 8.661504,
        "volume": 3681
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-20",
        "close": 8.545112,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-27",
        "close": 8.92,
        "volume": 755
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-04",
        "close": 9.13,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-11",
        "close": 9.49,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-18",
        "close": 9.49,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-25",
        "close": 9.22,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-01",
        "close": 9.44,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-08",
        "close": 9.42,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-15",
        "close": 9.52,
        "volume": 2622
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-22",
        "close": 8.93,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-29",
        "close": 8.78,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-05",
        "close": 8.44,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-12",
        "close": 8.44,
        "volume": 1011
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-19",
        "close": 8.43,
        "volume": 1122
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-26",
        "close": 8.37,
        "volume": 2131
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-03",
        "close": 8.44,
        "volume": 556
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-10",
        "close": 8.07,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-17",
        "close": 8.43,
        "volume": 1169
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-24",
        "close": 8.61,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-31",
        "close": 8.47,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-07",
        "close": 8.17,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-14",
        "close": 8.05,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-21",
        "close": 8.32,
        "volume": 2169
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-28",
        "close": 9.22,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-05",
        "close": 9.37,
        "volume": 1169
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-12",
        "close": 9.39,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-19",
        "close": 8.9,
        "volume": 2217
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-26",
        "close": 9.03,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-02",
        "close": 9.13,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-09",
        "close": 9.56,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-16",
        "close": 9.86,
        "volume": 1411
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-23",
        "close": 9.97,
        "volume": 482
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-30",
        "close": 10.18,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-06",
        "close": 10.78,
        "volume": 227
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-13",
        "close": 10.7,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-20",
        "close": 10.56,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-27",
        "close": 10.36,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "close": 9.31,
        "volume": 3195
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "close": 8.7,
        "volume": 2123
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "close": 8.3,
        "volume": 2020
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "close": 7.84,
        "volume": 1107
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 8.22,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 7.38,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 7.67,
        "volume": 1834
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 7.570121,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 7.703936,
        "volume": 730
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 7.780402,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 7.359839,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 7.856868,
        "volume": 1234
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 8.05759,
        "volume": 634
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 7.570121,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 7.531888,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 7.493655,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 7.18,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 7.89,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 7.8,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 8.02,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 7.76,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 8.1,
        "volume": 600
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 8.02,
        "volume": 0
      }
    ],
    "sharemaestro_context": {
      "trend": 8.450814,
      "fair_value": 8.433326,
      "market_activity": -35.722813,
      "market_dynamics": 0.461556,
      "relative_strength": -24.264598
    },
    "historical_outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.028205,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "conditional_difference": 0.055232,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Longer term",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "regime_history": [
      {
        "direction": "positive",
        "start": "2026-02-20",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.214015
      },
      {
        "direction": "negative",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "Brief",
        "return": 0.0
      },
      {
        "direction": "positive",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-05-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.053479
      },
      {
        "direction": "negative",
        "start": "2026-05-15",
        "end": "2026-05-15",
        "tenure": "Brief",
        "return": 0.0
      },
      {
        "direction": "positive",
        "start": "2026-05-22",
        "end": "2026-05-22",
        "tenure": "Brief",
        "return": 0.0
      },
      {
        "direction": "negative",
        "start": "2026-05-29",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.004665
      }
    ]
  }
}