{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "bfba1247-b920-4a78-b111-b8ebf985eee8",
    "symbol": "IG33",
    "name": "iShares iBonds Dec 2033 Term \u20ac Corp UCITS ETF EUR (Acc)",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "The SM framework classifies the established weekly price path as the Core Trend. Faster and slower Trend views and Sharemaestro context describe that state but do not alter its direction.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "latest_close": 5.219,
    "direction": "positive",
    "state": "Positive, Trend views divided",
    "is_fresh": false,
    "is_near_boundary": false,
    "direction_boundary": 5.181,
    "boundary_margin": 0.007334,
    "trend_agreement": "Broadly aligned",
    "persistence": "Established",
    "direction_turnover": "Low",
    "annualized_volatility": 0.03853,
    "volatility_stability": 0.978,
    "risk_context": 1.5,
    "current_regime": {
      "move": -0.00704,
      "interruption": -0.024645,
      "interruption_label": "Deepest pullback inside regime"
    },
    "research_priority": 65.711,
    "interpretation": {
      "label": "Positive, Trend views divided",
      "headline": "Positive, Trend views divided",
      "body": "The Core Trend remains intact, but faster and slower Trend views disagree. The regime is less settled than a fully aligned trend.",
      "age_context": "The current Core Trend is established.",
      "boundary_context": "The latest close is 0.7% above the decision boundary.",
      "stability_context": "Recent Core Trend turnover is low."
    },
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2026-02-13",
        "close": 5.256,
        "direction_boundary": 5.121,
        "core_momentum": 0.026362,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.024197
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-20",
        "close": 5.262,
        "direction_boundary": 5.121,
        "core_momentum": 0.027534,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.023784
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-27",
        "close": 5.275,
        "direction_boundary": 5.127,
        "core_momentum": 0.028867,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.023701
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "close": 5.216,
        "direction_boundary": 4.9865,
        "core_momentum": 0.046024,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.028101
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "close": 5.147,
        "direction_boundary": 4.977,
        "core_momentum": 0.034157,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.033814
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "close": 5.145,
        "direction_boundary": 5.006,
        "core_momentum": 0.027767,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.033813
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "close": 5.147,
        "direction_boundary": 5.011,
        "core_momentum": 0.02714,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.033788
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 5.152,
        "direction_boundary": 5.037,
        "core_momentum": 0.022831,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.032931
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 5.202,
        "direction_boundary": 5.007,
        "core_momentum": 0.038945,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.035752
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 5.227,
        "direction_boundary": 5.007,
        "core_momentum": 0.043938,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.035468
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 5.198,
        "direction_boundary": 5.121,
        "core_momentum": 0.015036,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.036216
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 5.182,
        "direction_boundary": 5.091,
        "core_momentum": 0.017875,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.036396
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 5.168,
        "direction_boundary": 5.091,
        "core_momentum": 0.015125,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.035849
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 5.165,
        "direction_boundary": 5.068,
        "core_momentum": 0.01914,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.035658
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 5.203,
        "direction_boundary": 5.068,
        "core_momentum": 0.026638,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.036833
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 5.229,
        "direction_boundary": 5.099,
        "core_momentum": 0.025495,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.037297
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 5.209,
        "direction_boundary": 5.115,
        "core_momentum": 0.018377,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.037652
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 5.226,
        "direction_boundary": 5.146,
        "core_momentum": 0.015546,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.036731
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 5.225,
        "direction_boundary": 5.134,
        "core_momentum": 0.017725,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.036714
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 5.265,
        "direction_boundary": 5.13,
        "core_momentum": 0.026316,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.038042
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 5.256,
        "direction_boundary": 5.173,
        "core_momentum": 0.016045,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.038177
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 5.221,
        "direction_boundary": 5.145,
        "core_momentum": 0.014772,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.038469
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 5.195,
        "direction_boundary": 5.133,
        "core_momentum": 0.012079,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.039007
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 5.188,
        "direction_boundary": 5.152,
        "core_momentum": 0.006988,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.03898
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 5.203,
        "direction_boundary": 5.157,
        "core_momentum": 0.00892,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.038251
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 5.219,
        "direction_boundary": 5.181,
        "core_momentum": 0.007334,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.03853
      }
    ],
    "price_history": [
      {
        "date": "2025-02-14",
        "close": 5.121,
        "volume": 7100
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-02-21",
        "close": 5.121,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-02-28",
        "close": 5.127,
        "volume": 1818
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-07",
        "close": 4.9865,
        "volume": 28766
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-14",
        "close": 4.977,
        "volume": 62191
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-21",
        "close": 5.006,
        "volume": 2000
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-28",
        "close": 5.011,
        "volume": 7827
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-04",
        "close": 5.037,
        "volume": 26669
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-11",
        "close": 5.007,
        "volume": 9000
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-18",
        "close": 5.007,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-25",
        "close": 5.121,
        "volume": 978
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-02",
        "close": 5.091,
        "volume": 8070
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-09",
        "close": 5.091,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-16",
        "close": 5.068,
        "volume": 2357
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-23",
        "close": 5.068,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-30",
        "close": 5.099,
        "volume": 20656
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-06",
        "close": 5.115,
        "volume": 2842
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-13",
        "close": 5.146,
        "volume": 40972
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-20",
        "close": 5.134,
        "volume": 13297
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-27",
        "close": 5.13,
        "volume": 2896
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-04",
        "close": 5.173,
        "volume": 22031
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-11",
        "close": 5.145,
        "volume": 12610
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-18",
        "close": 5.133,
        "volume": 1460
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-25",
        "close": 5.152,
        "volume": 12128
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-01",
        "close": 5.157,
        "volume": 17439
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-08",
        "close": 5.181,
        "volume": 1926
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-15",
        "close": 5.175,
        "volume": 20480
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-22",
        "close": 5.162,
        "volume": 47119
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-29",
        "close": 5.155,
        "volume": 16051
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-05",
        "close": 5.184,
        "volume": 6274
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-12",
        "close": 5.182,
        "volume": 3765
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-19",
        "close": 5.182,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-26",
        "close": 5.175,
        "volume": 8463
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-03",
        "close": 5.202,
        "volume": 1686
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-10",
        "close": 5.202,
        "volume": 26222
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-17",
        "close": 5.232,
        "volume": 40911
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-24",
        "close": 5.239,
        "volume": 8351
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-31",
        "close": 5.232,
        "volume": 33489
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-07",
        "close": 5.204,
        "volume": 13205
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-14",
        "close": 5.216,
        "volume": 4114
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-21",
        "close": 5.196,
        "volume": 4889
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-28",
        "close": 5.21,
        "volume": 5886
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-05",
        "close": 5.203,
        "volume": 28825
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-12",
        "close": 5.17,
        "volume": 35452
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-19",
        "close": 5.167,
        "volume": 31283
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-26",
        "close": 5.173,
        "volume": 52500
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-02",
        "close": 5.173,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-09",
        "close": 5.207,
        "volume": 32830
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-16",
        "close": 5.217,
        "volume": 7920
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-23",
        "close": 5.208,
        "volume": 25300
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-30",
        "close": 5.239,
        "volume": 13719
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-06",
        "close": 5.238,
        "volume": 54374
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-13",
        "close": 5.256,
        "volume": 34959
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-20",
        "close": 5.262,
        "volume": 5850
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-27",
        "close": 5.275,
        "volume": 6046
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "close": 5.216,
        "volume": 41157
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "close": 5.147,
        "volume": 3315
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "close": 5.145,
        "volume": 27861
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "close": 5.147,
        "volume": 129110
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 5.152,
        "volume": 6337
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 5.202,
        "volume": 11579
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 5.227,
        "volume": 47251
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 5.198,
        "volume": 46499
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 5.182,
        "volume": 2950
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 5.168,
        "volume": 1448
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 5.165,
        "volume": 1905
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 5.203,
        "volume": 11610
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 5.229,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 5.209,
        "volume": 1103
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 5.226,
        "volume": 20153
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 5.225,
        "volume": 4333
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 5.265,
        "volume": 7587
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 5.256,
        "volume": 4790
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 5.221,
        "volume": 78576
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 5.195,
        "volume": 15996
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 5.188,
        "volume": 3326
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 5.203,
        "volume": 2096
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 5.219,
        "volume": 29877
      }
    ],
    "sharemaestro_context": {
      "trend": 5.209433,
      "fair_value": 5.16575,
      "market_activity": -12.512235,
      "market_dynamics": -0.050574,
      "relative_strength": -14.193303
    },
    "historical_outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.003817,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "conditional_difference": -0.004106,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.006122,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "conditional_difference": -0.009774,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Longer term",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "regime_history": [
      {
        "direction": "positive",
        "start": "2026-02-13",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.00704
      }
    ]
  }
}