{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c3c73740-4354-4bc8-b9b4-6756cdd63d41",
    "symbol": "RVRB",
    "name": "River Global Plc",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "The SM framework classifies the established weekly price path as the Core Trend. Faster and slower Trend views and Sharemaestro context describe that state but do not alter its direction.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "latest_close": 0.415,
    "direction": "positive",
    "state": "Positive across all Trend views",
    "is_fresh": false,
    "is_near_boundary": false,
    "direction_boundary": 0.35,
    "boundary_margin": 0.185714,
    "trend_agreement": "Fully aligned",
    "persistence": "Established",
    "direction_turnover": "Moderate",
    "annualized_volatility": 0.223714,
    "volatility_stability": 0.7824,
    "risk_context": 0.447,
    "current_regime": {
      "move": 0.220588,
      "interruption": -0.04878,
      "interruption_label": "Deepest pullback inside regime"
    },
    "research_priority": 90.866,
    "interpretation": {
      "label": "Positive across all Trend views",
      "headline": "All measured Trend views are positive",
      "body": "The faster, intermediate, established and Core Trend views point in the same direction, giving the current regime broad agreement.",
      "age_context": "The current Core Trend is established.",
      "boundary_context": "The latest close is 18.6% above the decision boundary.",
      "stability_context": "Recent Core Trend turnover is moderate."
    },
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "close": 0.35,
        "direction_boundary": 0.36,
        "core_momentum": -0.027778,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.326122
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "close": 0.34,
        "direction_boundary": 0.337,
        "core_momentum": 0.008902,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.328399
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "close": 0.36,
        "direction_boundary": 0.32,
        "core_momentum": 0.125,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.255496
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "close": 0.36,
        "direction_boundary": 0.335,
        "core_momentum": 0.074627,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.242718
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 0.36,
        "direction_boundary": 0.325,
        "core_momentum": 0.107692,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.237385
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 0.36,
        "direction_boundary": 0.305,
        "core_momentum": 0.180328,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.236406
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 0.36,
        "direction_boundary": 0.292,
        "core_momentum": 0.232877,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.236406
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 0.36,
        "direction_boundary": 0.298,
        "core_momentum": 0.208054,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.232932
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 0.35,
        "direction_boundary": 0.293,
        "core_momentum": 0.194539,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.23512
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 0.36,
        "direction_boundary": 0.305,
        "core_momentum": 0.180328,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.237055
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 0.36,
        "direction_boundary": 0.302,
        "core_momentum": 0.192053,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.237055
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 0.36,
        "direction_boundary": 0.31,
        "core_momentum": 0.16129,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.217123
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 0.375,
        "direction_boundary": 0.32,
        "core_momentum": 0.171875,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.221112
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 0.39,
        "direction_boundary": 0.335,
        "core_momentum": 0.164179,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.227345
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 0.39,
        "direction_boundary": 0.34,
        "core_momentum": 0.147059,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.227345
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 0.41,
        "direction_boundary": 0.35,
        "core_momentum": 0.171429,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.219215
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 0.4,
        "direction_boundary": 0.35,
        "core_momentum": 0.142857,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.221653
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 0.4,
        "direction_boundary": 0.35,
        "core_momentum": 0.142857,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.221653
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 0.39,
        "direction_boundary": 0.35,
        "core_momentum": 0.114286,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.224526
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 0.39,
        "direction_boundary": 0.35,
        "core_momentum": 0.114286,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.224526
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.42,
        "direction_boundary": 0.35,
        "core_momentum": 0.2,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.242044
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.415,
        "direction_boundary": 0.35,
        "core_momentum": 0.185714,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.231555
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.415,
        "direction_boundary": 0.35,
        "core_momentum": 0.185714,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.223714
      }
    ],
    "price_history": [
      {
        "date": "2025-03-07",
        "close": 0.36,
        "volume": 279283
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-14",
        "close": 0.337,
        "volume": 2000011
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-21",
        "close": 0.32,
        "volume": 1658980
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-28",
        "close": 0.335,
        "volume": 847689
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-04",
        "close": 0.325,
        "volume": 401885
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-11",
        "close": 0.305,
        "volume": 612256
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-18",
        "close": 0.292,
        "volume": 195671
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-25",
        "close": 0.298,
        "volume": 220654
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-02",
        "close": 0.293,
        "volume": 284205
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-09",
        "close": 0.305,
        "volume": 311747
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-16",
        "close": 0.302,
        "volume": 586340
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-23",
        "close": 0.31,
        "volume": 654747
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-30",
        "close": 0.32,
        "volume": 611581
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-06",
        "close": 0.335,
        "volume": 474631
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-13",
        "close": 0.34,
        "volume": 813215
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-20",
        "close": 0.35,
        "volume": 467173
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-27",
        "close": 0.35,
        "volume": 232232
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-04",
        "close": 0.35,
        "volume": 611295
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-11",
        "close": 0.35,
        "volume": 706636
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-18",
        "close": 0.35,
        "volume": 192526
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-25",
        "close": 0.35,
        "volume": 158805
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-01",
        "close": 0.35,
        "volume": 233923
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-08",
        "close": 0.35,
        "volume": 114311
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-15",
        "close": 0.35,
        "volume": 177090
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-22",
        "close": 0.36,
        "volume": 369962
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-29",
        "close": 0.365,
        "volume": 104408
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-05",
        "close": 0.36,
        "volume": 80849
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-12",
        "close": 0.36,
        "volume": 184309
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-19",
        "close": 0.42,
        "volume": 383028
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-26",
        "close": 0.395,
        "volume": 295046
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-03",
        "close": 0.38,
        "volume": 267717
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-10",
        "close": 0.385,
        "volume": 874071
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-17",
        "close": 0.385,
        "volume": 334488
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-24",
        "close": 0.395,
        "volume": 234980
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-31",
        "close": 0.39,
        "volume": 178583
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-07",
        "close": 0.38,
        "volume": 259706
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-14",
        "close": 0.38,
        "volume": 85411
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-21",
        "close": 0.355,
        "volume": 290803
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-28",
        "close": 0.365,
        "volume": 684749
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-05",
        "close": 0.365,
        "volume": 768697
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-12",
        "close": 0.365,
        "volume": 359621
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-19",
        "close": 0.39,
        "volume": 87669
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-26",
        "close": 0.395,
        "volume": 65139
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-02",
        "close": 0.395,
        "volume": 119134
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-09",
        "close": 0.395,
        "volume": 92560
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-16",
        "close": 0.395,
        "volume": 250947
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-23",
        "close": 0.41,
        "volume": 425042
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-30",
        "close": 0.39,
        "volume": 272397
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-06",
        "close": 0.375,
        "volume": 678818
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-13",
        "close": 0.382,
        "volume": 290632
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-20",
        "close": 0.38,
        "volume": 178573
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-27",
        "close": 0.38,
        "volume": 154572
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "close": 0.35,
        "volume": 220509
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "close": 0.34,
        "volume": 1467737
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "close": 0.36,
        "volume": 2091950
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "close": 0.36,
        "volume": 156311
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 0.36,
        "volume": 135740
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 0.36,
        "volume": 268078
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 0.36,
        "volume": 85392
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 0.36,
        "volume": 71264
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 0.35,
        "volume": 352402
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 0.36,
        "volume": 247485
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 0.36,
        "volume": 81253
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 0.36,
        "volume": 26632
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 0.375,
        "volume": 106552
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 0.39,
        "volume": 1108496
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 0.39,
        "volume": 53637
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 0.41,
        "volume": 49530
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 0.4,
        "volume": 63872
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 0.4,
        "volume": 12635
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 0.39,
        "volume": 380251
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 0.39,
        "volume": 225962
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.42,
        "volume": 274022
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.415,
        "volume": 213079
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.415,
        "volume": 99172
      }
    ],
    "sharemaestro_context": {
      "trend": 0.379567,
      "fair_value": 0.36392,
      "market_activity": 47.157817,
      "market_dynamics": 0.920911,
      "relative_strength": 0.828816
    },
    "historical_outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.031571,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "conditional_difference": 0.002999,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Longer term",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "regime_history": [
      {
        "direction": "negative",
        "start": "2026-03-06",
        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "Brief",
        "return": 0.0
      },
      {
        "direction": "positive",
        "start": "2026-03-13",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.220588
      }
    ]
  }
}