{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c6633647-c8a1-4ac0-9f12-519481dc6ae4",
    "symbol": "MRAL",
    "name": "GRANITESHARES 2X LONG MARA DAILY ETF",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "The SM framework classifies the established weekly price path as the Core Trend. Faster and slower Trend views and Sharemaestro context describe that state but do not alter its direction.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "latest_close": 33.17,
    "direction": "negative",
    "state": "Negative, Trend views divided",
    "is_fresh": false,
    "is_near_boundary": false,
    "direction_boundary": 177.4,
    "boundary_margin": -0.813021,
    "trend_agreement": "Broadly aligned",
    "persistence": "Established",
    "direction_turnover": "Low",
    "annualized_volatility": 1.481789,
    "volatility_stability": 0.9777,
    "risk_context": 0.0675,
    "current_regime": {
      "move": 0.139863,
      "interruption": 1.889714,
      "interruption_label": "Largest rebound inside regime"
    },
    "research_priority": 75.306,
    "interpretation": {
      "label": "Negative, Trend views divided",
      "headline": "Negative, Trend views divided",
      "body": "The Core Trend remains intact, but faster and slower Trend views disagree. The regime is less settled than a fully aligned trend.",
      "age_context": "The current Core Trend is established.",
      "boundary_context": "The latest close is 81.3% below the decision boundary.",
      "stability_context": "Recent Core Trend turnover is low."
    },
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "close": 29.1,
        "direction_boundary": 282.485,
        "core_momentum": -0.896986,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.590526
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "close": 38.8,
        "direction_boundary": 179.401,
        "core_momentum": -0.783725,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.641441
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "close": 31.8,
        "direction_boundary": 156.423,
        "core_momentum": -0.796705,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.60179
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "close": 28.0,
        "direction_boundary": 153.4,
        "core_momentum": -0.817471,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.580926
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 32.3,
        "direction_boundary": 122.7,
        "core_momentum": -0.736756,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.527189
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 38.5,
        "direction_boundary": 144.003,
        "core_momentum": -0.732644,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.566536
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 56.0,
        "direction_boundary": 146.485,
        "core_momentum": -0.617708,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.675121
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 56.2,
        "direction_boundary": 182.2,
        "core_momentum": -0.691548,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.676247
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 53.4,
        "direction_boundary": 187.095,
        "core_momentum": -0.714584,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 1.671885
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 67.3681,
        "direction_boundary": 216.6,
        "core_momentum": -0.688975,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 1.678316
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 61.64,
        "direction_boundary": 226.9,
        "core_momentum": -0.728338,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 1.477111
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 74.49,
        "direction_boundary": 185.9,
        "core_momentum": -0.599301,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 1.40955
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 80.912,
        "direction_boundary": 166.2,
        "core_momentum": -0.513165,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 1.350074
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 57.99,
        "direction_boundary": 203.5,
        "core_momentum": -0.715037,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 1.426672
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 73.997,
        "direction_boundary": 184.7,
        "core_momentum": -0.599367,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 1.469224
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 75.1,
        "direction_boundary": 166.1,
        "core_momentum": -0.547863,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 1.417972
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 77.4967,
        "direction_boundary": 182.0,
        "core_momentum": -0.574194,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 1.405808
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 55.4206,
        "direction_boundary": 246.7,
        "core_momentum": -0.775352,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 1.485886
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 56.39,
        "direction_boundary": 286.1,
        "core_momentum": -0.802901,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 1.483779
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 40.17,
        "direction_boundary": 297.015,
        "core_momentum": -0.864754,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.526991
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 50.715,
        "direction_boundary": 225.7,
        "core_momentum": -0.775299,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.551201
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 41.9877,
        "direction_boundary": 181.0,
        "core_momentum": -0.768024,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.545621
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 33.17,
        "direction_boundary": 177.4,
        "core_momentum": -0.813021,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 1.481789
      }
    ],
    "price_history": [
      {
        "date": "2025-03-07",
        "close": 282.485,
        "volume": 25155
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-14",
        "close": 179.401,
        "volume": 97534
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-21",
        "close": 156.423,
        "volume": 146889
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-28",
        "close": 153.4,
        "volume": 254235
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-04",
        "close": 122.7,
        "volume": 368621
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-11",
        "close": 144.003,
        "volume": 366236
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-18",
        "close": 146.485,
        "volume": 333830
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-25",
        "close": 182.2,
        "volume": 574836
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-02",
        "close": 187.095,
        "volume": 475287
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-09",
        "close": 216.6,
        "volume": 1141510
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-16",
        "close": 226.9,
        "volume": 1052111
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-23",
        "close": 185.9,
        "volume": 2213763
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-30",
        "close": 166.2,
        "volume": 1183249
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-06",
        "close": 203.5,
        "volume": 1780903
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-13",
        "close": 184.7,
        "volume": 1463830
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-20",
        "close": 166.1,
        "volume": 794848
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-27",
        "close": 182.0,
        "volume": 1197077
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-04",
        "close": 246.7,
        "volume": 1726251
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-11",
        "close": 286.1,
        "volume": 2600201
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-18",
        "close": 297.015,
        "volume": 2814575
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-25",
        "close": 225.7,
        "volume": 3537593
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-01",
        "close": 181.0,
        "volume": 2884544
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-08",
        "close": 177.4,
        "volume": 1554446
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-15",
        "close": 182.9,
        "volume": 1872388
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-22",
        "close": 195.5,
        "volume": 1483054
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-29",
        "close": 187.1,
        "volume": 1620339
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-05",
        "close": 167.746,
        "volume": 1458936
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-12",
        "close": 192.927,
        "volume": 1812402
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-19",
        "close": 239.2,
        "volume": 3404915
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-26",
        "close": 183.6,
        "volume": 4045077
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-03",
        "close": 244.6,
        "volume": 4113973
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-10",
        "close": 235.6,
        "volume": 7128675
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-17",
        "close": 251.05,
        "volume": 7235234
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-24",
        "close": 247.4,
        "volume": 4876470
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-31",
        "close": 214.9,
        "volume": 4125093
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-07",
        "close": 159.4,
        "volume": 4764175
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-14",
        "close": 88.3,
        "volume": 5457050
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-21",
        "close": 61.0,
        "volume": 6993171
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-28",
        "close": 82.4,
        "volume": 4936330
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-05",
        "close": 80.8,
        "volume": 5670876
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-12",
        "close": 77.3,
        "volume": 4432862
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-19",
        "close": 59.1,
        "volume": 4942609
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-26",
        "close": 52.4,
        "volume": 2690445
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-02",
        "close": 55.1,
        "volume": 3288040
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-09",
        "close": 58.4,
        "volume": 4901679
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-16",
        "close": 70.9,
        "volume": 6151353
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-23",
        "close": 59.9,
        "volume": 5341631
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-30",
        "close": 48.5,
        "volume": 4381731
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-06",
        "close": 32.8,
        "volume": 10367762
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-13",
        "close": 29.9,
        "volume": 6150619
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-20",
        "close": 29.8,
        "volume": 3232307
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-27",
        "close": 37.1,
        "volume": 8932537
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "close": 29.1,
        "volume": 9966344
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "close": 38.8,
        "volume": 8422480
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "close": 31.8,
        "volume": 8105190
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "close": 28.0,
        "volume": 13898723
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 32.3,
        "volume": 6084992
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 38.5,
        "volume": 10186016
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 56.0,
        "volume": 10919160
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 56.2,
        "volume": 6711998
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 53.4,
        "volume": 5180657
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 67.3681,
        "volume": 606873
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 61.64,
        "volume": 774815
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 74.49,
        "volume": 675251
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 80.912,
        "volume": 537517
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 57.99,
        "volume": 580901
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 73.997,
        "volume": 646001
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 75.1,
        "volume": 316764
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 77.4967,
        "volume": 669587
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 55.4206,
        "volume": 395508
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 56.39,
        "volume": 691630
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 40.17,
        "volume": 405688
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 50.715,
        "volume": 434443
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 41.9877,
        "volume": 470343
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 33.17,
        "volume": 448735
      }
    ],
    "sharemaestro_context": {
      "trend": 50.66157,
      "fair_value": 124.487695,
      "market_activity": -11.844617,
      "market_dynamics": -0.360039,
      "relative_strength": -69.531486
    },
    "historical_outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.04221,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6667,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "conditional_difference": -0.050399,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.213713,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "conditional_difference": -0.803955,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Longer term",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "regime_history": [
      {
        "direction": "negative",
        "start": "2026-03-06",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.139863
      }
    ]
  }
}