{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "cba9d64e-eba8-4722-8bbf-6786a467b60c",
    "symbol": "BCAX",
    "name": "Bicara Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "The SM framework classifies the established weekly price path as the Core Trend. Faster and slower Trend views and Sharemaestro context describe that state but do not alter its direction.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "latest_close": 28.06,
    "direction": "positive",
    "state": "Positive across all Trend views",
    "is_fresh": false,
    "is_near_boundary": false,
    "direction_boundary": 10.2,
    "boundary_margin": 1.75098,
    "trend_agreement": "Fully aligned",
    "persistence": "Established",
    "direction_turnover": "High",
    "annualized_volatility": 0.514237,
    "volatility_stability": 0.7896,
    "risk_context": 0.1945,
    "current_regime": {
      "move": 0.563231,
      "interruption": -0.208357,
      "interruption_label": "Deepest pullback inside regime"
    },
    "research_priority": 92.5,
    "interpretation": {
      "label": "Positive across all Trend views",
      "headline": "All measured Trend views are positive",
      "body": "The faster, intermediate, established and Core Trend views point in the same direction, giving the current regime broad agreement.",
      "age_context": "The current Core Trend is established.",
      "boundary_context": "The latest close is 175.1% above the decision boundary.",
      "stability_context": "Recent Core Trend turnover is high."
    },
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2025-09-12",
        "close": 11.62,
        "direction_boundary": 23.41,
        "core_momentum": -0.503631,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.965943
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-19",
        "close": 10.44,
        "direction_boundary": 25.61,
        "core_momentum": -0.592347,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.971495
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-26",
        "close": 11.71,
        "direction_boundary": 25.44,
        "core_momentum": -0.539701,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.986314
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-03",
        "close": 17.04,
        "direction_boundary": 25.16,
        "core_momentum": -0.322734,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 1.060915
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-10",
        "close": 17.78,
        "direction_boundary": 19.41,
        "core_momentum": -0.083977,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 1.061444
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-17",
        "close": 18.25,
        "direction_boundary": 21.96,
        "core_momentum": -0.168944,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 1.051288
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-24",
        "close": 17.14,
        "direction_boundary": 22.5,
        "core_momentum": -0.238222,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 1.029454
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-31",
        "close": 16.25,
        "direction_boundary": 24.01,
        "core_momentum": -0.323199,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 1.032729
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-07",
        "close": 14.64,
        "direction_boundary": 23.82,
        "core_momentum": -0.38539,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 1.031166
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-14",
        "close": 14.78,
        "direction_boundary": 20.17,
        "core_momentum": -0.267229,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 1.02011
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-21",
        "close": 18.04,
        "direction_boundary": 18.09,
        "core_momentum": -0.002764,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.830325
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-28",
        "close": 18.56,
        "direction_boundary": 20.79,
        "core_momentum": -0.107263,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.829362
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-05",
        "close": 18.2,
        "direction_boundary": 21.1,
        "core_momentum": -0.137441,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.784152
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-12",
        "close": 18.48,
        "direction_boundary": 17.5,
        "core_momentum": 0.056,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.776335
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-19",
        "close": 17.6,
        "direction_boundary": 17.59,
        "core_momentum": 0.000569,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.743375
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-26",
        "close": 16.8,
        "direction_boundary": 18.27,
        "core_momentum": -0.08046,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.738692
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-02",
        "close": 16.38,
        "direction_boundary": 16.69,
        "core_momentum": -0.018574,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.741794
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-09",
        "close": 17.95,
        "direction_boundary": 14.38,
        "core_momentum": 0.248261,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.744789
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-16",
        "close": 16.75,
        "direction_boundary": 12.11,
        "core_momentum": 0.383154,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.74249
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-23",
        "close": 16.74,
        "direction_boundary": 11.605,
        "core_momentum": 0.442482,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.738381
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-30",
        "close": 16.8,
        "direction_boundary": 12.62,
        "core_momentum": 0.33122,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.716971
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-06",
        "close": 15.36,
        "direction_boundary": 12.13,
        "core_momentum": 0.266282,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.729367
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-13",
        "close": 14.21,
        "direction_boundary": 13.48,
        "core_momentum": 0.054154,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.720443
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-20",
        "close": 15.48,
        "direction_boundary": 13.0,
        "core_momentum": 0.190769,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.728456
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-27",
        "close": 16.78,
        "direction_boundary": 13.3,
        "core_momentum": 0.261654,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.734936
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "close": 18.47,
        "direction_boundary": 16.55,
        "core_momentum": 0.116012,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.743827
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "close": 19.19,
        "direction_boundary": 12.42,
        "core_momentum": 0.545089,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.74031
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "close": 18.41,
        "direction_boundary": 13.24,
        "core_momentum": 0.390483,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.723309
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "close": 18.37,
        "direction_boundary": 13.4,
        "core_momentum": 0.370896,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.711325
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 21.47,
        "direction_boundary": 10.57,
        "core_momentum": 1.03122,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.533549
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 21.12,
        "direction_boundary": 10.77,
        "core_momentum": 0.961003,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.53238
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 24.01,
        "direction_boundary": 12.16,
        "core_momentum": 0.974507,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.558082
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 22.65,
        "direction_boundary": 14.54,
        "core_momentum": 0.557772,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.556948
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 21.67,
        "direction_boundary": 14.5,
        "core_momentum": 0.494483,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.554997
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 22.58,
        "direction_boundary": 12.97,
        "core_momentum": 0.740941,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.530626
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 20.23,
        "direction_boundary": 14.47,
        "core_momentum": 0.398065,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.558929
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 21.68,
        "direction_boundary": 9.27,
        "core_momentum": 1.338727,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.497506
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 21.75,
        "direction_boundary": 9.25,
        "core_momentum": 1.351351,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.496569
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 20.0,
        "direction_boundary": 11.5,
        "core_momentum": 0.73913,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.511016
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 21.69,
        "direction_boundary": 10.84,
        "core_momentum": 1.000923,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.522056
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 23.23,
        "direction_boundary": 9.32,
        "core_momentum": 1.492489,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.522723
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 26.87,
        "direction_boundary": 8.71,
        "core_momentum": 2.08496,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.54795
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 29.0,
        "direction_boundary": 9.03,
        "core_momentum": 2.211517,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.549974
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 28.91,
        "direction_boundary": 9.71,
        "core_momentum": 1.977343,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.541631
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 27.76,
        "direction_boundary": 10.93,
        "core_momentum": 1.539799,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.533783
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 27.02,
        "direction_boundary": 11.75,
        "core_momentum": 1.299574,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.537013
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 27.1,
        "direction_boundary": 10.53,
        "core_momentum": 1.573599,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.537048
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 28.06,
        "direction_boundary": 10.2,
        "core_momentum": 1.75098,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.514237
      }
    ],
    "price_history": [
      {
        "date": "2024-09-13",
        "close": 23.41,
        "volume": 5074191
      },
      {
        "date": "2024-09-20",
        "close": 25.61,
        "volume": 3153176
      },
      {
        "date": "2024-09-27",
        "close": 25.44,
        "volume": 862726
      },
      {
        "date": "2024-10-04",
        "close": 25.16,
        "volume": 1748952
      },
      {
        "date": "2024-10-11",
        "close": 19.41,
        "volume": 2422219
      },
      {
        "date": "2024-10-18",
        "close": 21.96,
        "volume": 2412610
      },
      {
        "date": "2024-10-25",
        "close": 22.5,
        "volume": 1100049
      },
      {
        "date": "2024-11-01",
        "close": 24.01,
        "volume": 1486843
      },
      {
        "date": "2024-11-08",
        "close": 23.82,
        "volume": 1619526
      },
      {
        "date": "2024-11-15",
        "close": 20.17,
        "volume": 1279713
      },
      {
        "date": "2024-11-22",
        "close": 18.09,
        "volume": 2328446
      },
      {
        "date": "2024-11-29",
        "close": 20.79,
        "volume": 1002613
      },
      {
        "date": "2024-12-06",
        "close": 21.1,
        "volume": 1419966
      },
      {
        "date": "2024-12-13",
        "close": 17.5,
        "volume": 1893851
      },
      {
        "date": "2024-12-20",
        "close": 17.59,
        "volume": 7025476
      },
      {
        "date": "2024-12-27",
        "close": 18.27,
        "volume": 1155613
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-01-03",
        "close": 16.69,
        "volume": 1403039
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-01-10",
        "close": 14.38,
        "volume": 1502147
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-01-17",
        "close": 12.11,
        "volume": 1999755
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-01-24",
        "close": 11.605,
        "volume": 1247907
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-01-31",
        "close": 12.62,
        "volume": 2411973
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-02-07",
        "close": 12.13,
        "volume": 1091132
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-02-14",
        "close": 13.48,
        "volume": 1398229
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-02-21",
        "close": 13.0,
        "volume": 1326708
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-02-28",
        "close": 13.3,
        "volume": 2357487
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-07",
        "close": 16.55,
        "volume": 2248550
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-14",
        "close": 12.42,
        "volume": 5182112
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-21",
        "close": 13.24,
        "volume": 2307338
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-28",
        "close": 13.4,
        "volume": 2562140
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-04",
        "close": 10.57,
        "volume": 2766067
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-11",
        "close": 10.77,
        "volume": 2505343
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-18",
        "close": 12.16,
        "volume": 2020969
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-25",
        "close": 14.54,
        "volume": 2907626
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-02",
        "close": 14.5,
        "volume": 3173460
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-09",
        "close": 12.97,
        "volume": 3482689
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-16",
        "close": 14.47,
        "volume": 2628429
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-23",
        "close": 9.27,
        "volume": 10149191
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-30",
        "close": 9.25,
        "volume": 4515988
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-06",
        "close": 11.5,
        "volume": 9740694
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-13",
        "close": 10.84,
        "volume": 2760023
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-20",
        "close": 9.32,
        "volume": 2477075
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-27",
        "close": 8.71,
        "volume": 5780835
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-04",
        "close": 9.03,
        "volume": 2904741
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-11",
        "close": 9.71,
        "volume": 1604457
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-18",
        "close": 10.93,
        "volume": 2254256
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-25",
        "close": 11.75,
        "volume": 1198279
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-01",
        "close": 10.53,
        "volume": 1538366
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-08",
        "close": 10.2,
        "volume": 1477436
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-15",
        "close": 11.64,
        "volume": 1609581
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-22",
        "close": 11.84,
        "volume": 1561163
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-29",
        "close": 11.94,
        "volume": 1227675
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-05",
        "close": 12.06,
        "volume": 1227217
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-12",
        "close": 11.62,
        "volume": 1317926
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-19",
        "close": 10.44,
        "volume": 2419091
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-26",
        "close": 11.71,
        "volume": 2421081
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-03",
        "close": 17.04,
        "volume": 5048480
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-10",
        "close": 17.78,
        "volume": 2814584
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-17",
        "close": 18.25,
        "volume": 3736989
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-24",
        "close": 17.14,
        "volume": 5819264
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-31",
        "close": 16.25,
        "volume": 2851423
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-07",
        "close": 14.64,
        "volume": 3711413
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-14",
        "close": 14.78,
        "volume": 3120505
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-21",
        "close": 18.04,
        "volume": 3162408
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-28",
        "close": 18.56,
        "volume": 3685664
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-05",
        "close": 18.2,
        "volume": 2480694
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-12",
        "close": 18.48,
        "volume": 3848475
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-19",
        "close": 17.6,
        "volume": 5095107
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-26",
        "close": 16.8,
        "volume": 1506554
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-02",
        "close": 16.38,
        "volume": 1377870
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-09",
        "close": 17.95,
        "volume": 2778652
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-16",
        "close": 16.75,
        "volume": 2203545
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-23",
        "close": 16.74,
        "volume": 1934758
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-30",
        "close": 16.8,
        "volume": 1771525
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-06",
        "close": 15.36,
        "volume": 1883185
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-13",
        "close": 14.21,
        "volume": 1429237
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-20",
        "close": 15.48,
        "volume": 2392111
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-27",
        "close": 16.78,
        "volume": 3872282
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "close": 18.47,
        "volume": 3195671
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "close": 19.19,
        "volume": 3091705
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "close": 18.41,
        "volume": 3015371
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "close": 18.37,
        "volume": 2154882
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 21.47,
        "volume": 3574602
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 21.12,
        "volume": 2828435
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 24.01,
        "volume": 2844670
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 22.65,
        "volume": 2397356
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 21.67,
        "volume": 1680248
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 22.58,
        "volume": 1836110
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 20.23,
        "volume": 4222424
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 21.68,
        "volume": 2172043
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 21.75,
        "volume": 1912438
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 20.0,
        "volume": 2612262
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 21.69,
        "volume": 2750431
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 23.23,
        "volume": 3305917
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 26.87,
        "volume": 8218654
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 29.0,
        "volume": 4607178
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 28.91,
        "volume": 4263385
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 27.76,
        "volume": 2284735
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 27.02,
        "volume": 1801444
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 27.1,
        "volume": 3015503
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 28.06,
        "volume": 3306964
      }
    ],
    "sharemaestro_context": {
      "trend": 21.445333,
      "fair_value": 17.13275,
      "market_activity": 61.015599,
      "market_dynamics": 0.826451,
      "relative_strength": 31.607737
    },
    "historical_outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.007449,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "conditional_difference": -0.031626,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.084348,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "conditional_difference": -0.108588,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Longer term",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.173701,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "conditional_difference": -0.281844,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "regime_history": [
      {
        "direction": "negative",
        "start": "2025-09-12",
        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.566265
      },
      {
        "direction": "positive",
        "start": "2025-12-12",
        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "Brief",
        "return": -0.047619
      },
      {
        "direction": "negative",
        "start": "2025-12-26",
        "end": "2026-01-02",
        "tenure": "Brief",
        "return": -0.025
      },
      {
        "direction": "positive",
        "start": "2026-01-09",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.563231
      }
    ]
  }
}