{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d8250666-62e8-473a-bbcb-a2aee079b230",
    "symbol": "OILD",
    "name": "SavvyShort Geared Crude Oil ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "The SM framework classifies the established weekly price path as the Core Trend. Faster and slower Trend views and Sharemaestro context describe that state but do not alter its direction.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "latest_close": 2.65,
    "direction": "negative",
    "state": "Negative, shorter trend recovering",
    "is_fresh": false,
    "is_near_boundary": false,
    "direction_boundary": 14.78,
    "boundary_margin": -0.820704,
    "trend_agreement": "Broadly aligned",
    "persistence": "Established",
    "direction_turnover": "Moderate",
    "annualized_volatility": 1.415398,
    "volatility_stability": 1.0709,
    "risk_context": 0.0707,
    "current_regime": {
      "move": -0.815073,
      "interruption": 0.869565,
      "interruption_label": "Largest rebound inside regime"
    },
    "research_priority": 72.395,
    "interpretation": {
      "label": "Negative, shorter trend recovering",
      "headline": "Negative, shorter trend recovering",
      "body": "The Core Trend remains in force, but the Fast Trend now points the other way. That is an early loss of persistence, not yet a regime change.",
      "age_context": "The current Core Trend is established.",
      "boundary_context": "The latest close is 82.1% below the decision boundary.",
      "stability_context": "Recent Core Trend turnover is moderate."
    },
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2026-01-09",
        "close": 16.059999,
        "direction_boundary": 19.01,
        "core_momentum": -0.155182,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.37704
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-16",
        "close": 15.79,
        "direction_boundary": 15.72,
        "core_momentum": 0.004453,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.378059
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-23",
        "close": 14.33,
        "direction_boundary": 16.309999,
        "core_momentum": -0.121398,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.402514
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-30",
        "close": 13.13,
        "direction_boundary": 17.84,
        "core_momentum": -0.264013,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.419893
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-06",
        "close": 12.91,
        "direction_boundary": 18.370001,
        "core_momentum": -0.297224,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.42018
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-13",
        "close": 13.12,
        "direction_boundary": 17.950001,
        "core_momentum": -0.269081,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.421174
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-20",
        "close": 11.62,
        "direction_boundary": 17.950001,
        "core_momentum": -0.352646,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.411852
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-27",
        "close": 11.24,
        "direction_boundary": 18.690001,
        "core_momentum": -0.398609,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.4122
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "close": 5.69,
        "direction_boundary": 20.23,
        "core_momentum": -0.718735,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.009949
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "close": 4.47,
        "direction_boundary": 20.23,
        "core_momentum": -0.779041,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.045049
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "close": 4.18,
        "direction_boundary": 20.23,
        "core_momentum": -0.793376,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.042693
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "close": 3.85,
        "direction_boundary": 20.23,
        "core_momentum": -0.809689,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.040543
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 2.96,
        "direction_boundary": 21.76,
        "core_momentum": -0.863971,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.075655
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 3.34,
        "direction_boundary": 21.76,
        "core_momentum": -0.846507,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.104769
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 3.66,
        "direction_boundary": 21.76,
        "core_momentum": -0.831801,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.122037
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 2.74,
        "direction_boundary": 21.76,
        "core_momentum": -0.874081,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.132927
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 2.28,
        "direction_boundary": 21.76,
        "core_momentum": -0.895221,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.137685
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 2.58,
        "direction_boundary": 21.76,
        "core_momentum": -0.881434,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.170856
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 2.07,
        "direction_boundary": 21.76,
        "core_momentum": -0.904871,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.186438
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 2.26,
        "direction_boundary": 21.76,
        "core_momentum": -0.89614,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.191197
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 2.67,
        "direction_boundary": 20.73,
        "core_momentum": -0.871201,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.237078
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 2.48,
        "direction_boundary": 20.73,
        "core_momentum": -0.880367,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.236496
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 2.77,
        "direction_boundary": 14.05,
        "core_momentum": -0.802847,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.250085
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 3.23,
        "direction_boundary": 13.33,
        "core_momentum": -0.757689,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.278614
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 3.86,
        "direction_boundary": 16.4,
        "core_momentum": -0.764634,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 1.321378
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 3.87,
        "direction_boundary": 16.4,
        "core_momentum": -0.764024,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 1.317364
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 3.58,
        "direction_boundary": 14.78,
        "core_momentum": -0.757781,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 1.317642
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 2.63,
        "direction_boundary": 14.78,
        "core_momentum": -0.822057,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.360872
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 2.15,
        "direction_boundary": 14.78,
        "core_momentum": -0.854533,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 1.372847
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2.29,
        "direction_boundary": 14.78,
        "core_momentum": -0.845061,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 1.385481
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.65,
        "direction_boundary": 14.78,
        "core_momentum": -0.820704,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 1.415398
      }
    ],
    "price_history": [
      {
        "date": "2025-01-10",
        "close": 19.01,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-01-17",
        "close": 15.72,
        "volume": 300
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-01-24",
        "close": 16.309999,
        "volume": 100
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-01-31",
        "close": 17.84,
        "volume": 300
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-02-07",
        "close": 18.370001,
        "volume": 100
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-02-14",
        "close": 17.950001,
        "volume": 200
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-02-21",
        "close": 17.950001,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-02-28",
        "close": 18.690001,
        "volume": 300
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-07",
        "close": 20.23,
        "volume": 200
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-14",
        "close": 20.23,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-21",
        "close": 20.23,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-28",
        "close": 20.23,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-04",
        "close": 21.76,
        "volume": 100
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-11",
        "close": 21.76,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-18",
        "close": 21.76,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-25",
        "close": 21.76,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-02",
        "close": 21.76,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-09",
        "close": 21.76,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-16",
        "close": 21.76,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-23",
        "close": 21.76,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-30",
        "close": 20.73,
        "volume": 300
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-06",
        "close": 20.73,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-13",
        "close": 14.05,
        "volume": 12500
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-20",
        "close": 13.33,
        "volume": 100
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-27",
        "close": 16.4,
        "volume": 802
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-04",
        "close": 16.4,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-11",
        "close": 14.78,
        "volume": 100
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-18",
        "close": 14.78,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-25",
        "close": 14.78,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-01",
        "close": 14.78,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-08",
        "close": 14.78,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-15",
        "close": 14.78,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-22",
        "close": 16.65,
        "volume": 100
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-29",
        "close": 16.65,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-05",
        "close": 16.65,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-12",
        "close": 16.65,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-19",
        "close": 16.65,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-26",
        "close": 16.65,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-03",
        "close": 16.610001,
        "volume": 100
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-10",
        "close": 16.35,
        "volume": 100
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-17",
        "close": 16.35,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-24",
        "close": 18.6,
        "volume": 200
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-31",
        "close": 18.6,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-07",
        "close": 16.559999,
        "volume": 400
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-14",
        "close": 16.17,
        "volume": 200
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-21",
        "close": 17.34,
        "volume": 800
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-28",
        "close": 16.93,
        "volume": 301
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-05",
        "close": 16.190001,
        "volume": 400
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-12",
        "close": 17.120001,
        "volume": 800
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-19",
        "close": 17.93,
        "volume": 1200
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-26",
        "close": 16.25,
        "volume": 500
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-02",
        "close": 16.870001,
        "volume": 510
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-09",
        "close": 16.059999,
        "volume": 2107
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-16",
        "close": 15.79,
        "volume": 500
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-23",
        "close": 14.33,
        "volume": 500
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-30",
        "close": 13.13,
        "volume": 235
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-06",
        "close": 12.91,
        "volume": 400
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-13",
        "close": 13.12,
        "volume": 946
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-20",
        "close": 11.62,
        "volume": 300
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-27",
        "close": 11.24,
        "volume": 1181
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "close": 5.69,
        "volume": 343405
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "close": 4.47,
        "volume": 910829
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "close": 4.18,
        "volume": 581021
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "close": 3.85,
        "volume": 887863
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 2.96,
        "volume": 2270301
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 3.34,
        "volume": 1476610
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 3.66,
        "volume": 1511199
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 2.74,
        "volume": 694812
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 2.28,
        "volume": 998989
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 2.58,
        "volume": 274038
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 2.07,
        "volume": 107902
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 2.26,
        "volume": 213099
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 2.67,
        "volume": 323613
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 2.48,
        "volume": 13024
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 2.77,
        "volume": 68869
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 3.23,
        "volume": 28957
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 3.86,
        "volume": 52755
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 3.87,
        "volume": 11072
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 3.58,
        "volume": 79168
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 2.63,
        "volume": 168816
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 2.15,
        "volume": 274754
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2.29,
        "volume": 328277
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.65,
        "volume": 336252
      }
    ],
    "sharemaestro_context": {
      "trend": 5.48,
      "fair_value": 13.317952,
      "market_activity": -98.272573,
      "market_dynamics": 0.51056,
      "relative_strength": -77.837141
    },
    "historical_outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.319572,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "conditional_difference": -0.123433,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.79203,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "conditional_difference": -0.319799,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Longer term",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.777086,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "conditional_difference": 0.048504,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "regime_history": [
      {
        "direction": "negative",
        "start": "2026-01-09",
        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "Brief",
        "return": 0.0
      },
      {
        "direction": "positive",
        "start": "2026-01-16",
        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "Brief",
        "return": 0.0
      },
      {
        "direction": "negative",
        "start": "2026-01-23",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.815073
      }
    ]
  }
}