{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "dbe8af02-eb27-46f8-9aa5-babd90afa224",
    "symbol": "IBCA",
    "name": "ISHARES IBONDS DEC 2035 TERM CORPORATE ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "The SM framework classifies the established weekly price path as the Core Trend. Faster and slower Trend views and Sharemaestro context describe that state but do not alter its direction.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "latest_close": 25.15,
    "direction": "positive",
    "state": "Positive, shorter trend weakening",
    "is_fresh": false,
    "is_near_boundary": false,
    "direction_boundary": 24.622861,
    "boundary_margin": 0.021409,
    "trend_agreement": "Narrow",
    "persistence": "Established",
    "direction_turnover": "Low",
    "annualized_volatility": 0.055515,
    "volatility_stability": 1.0817,
    "risk_context": 1.5,
    "current_regime": {
      "move": 0.005044,
      "interruption": -0.027061,
      "interruption_label": "Deepest pullback inside regime"
    },
    "research_priority": 49.261,
    "interpretation": {
      "label": "Positive, shorter trend weakening",
      "headline": "Positive, shorter trend weakening",
      "body": "The Core Trend remains in force, but the Fast Trend now points the other way. That is an early loss of persistence, not yet a regime change.",
      "age_context": "The current Core Trend is established.",
      "boundary_context": "The latest close is 2.1% above the decision boundary.",
      "stability_context": "Recent Core Trend turnover is low."
    },
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "close": 25.023769,
        "direction_boundary": 23.907834,
        "core_momentum": 0.046677,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.042463
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 25.430394,
        "direction_boundary": 24.039398,
        "core_momentum": 0.057863,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.047336
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 25.478007,
        "direction_boundary": 23.252858,
        "core_momentum": 0.095694,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.047355
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 25.661516,
        "direction_boundary": 23.679162,
        "core_momentum": 0.083717,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.047128
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 25.582161,
        "direction_boundary": 23.912485,
        "core_momentum": 0.069824,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.047141
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 25.362728,
        "direction_boundary": 23.819892,
        "core_momentum": 0.064771,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.046438
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 25.471837,
        "direction_boundary": 23.762838,
        "core_momentum": 0.071919,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.046775
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 25.144611,
        "direction_boundary": 23.801064,
        "core_momentum": 0.056449,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.050107
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 25.2438,
        "direction_boundary": 23.666132,
        "core_momentum": 0.066664,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.049561
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 25.460926,
        "direction_boundary": 23.93514,
        "core_momentum": 0.063747,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.049847
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 25.261414,
        "direction_boundary": 23.831965,
        "core_momentum": 0.05998,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.050747
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 25.4357,
        "direction_boundary": 24.050169,
        "core_momentum": 0.05761,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.051251
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 25.445659,
        "direction_boundary": 24.153971,
        "core_momentum": 0.053477,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.051045
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 25.585087,
        "direction_boundary": 24.332259,
        "core_momentum": 0.051488,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.051172
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 25.425194,
        "direction_boundary": 24.424925,
        "core_momentum": 0.040953,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.051684
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 25.206097,
        "direction_boundary": 24.253806,
        "core_momentum": 0.039264,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.052876
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 25.245933,
        "direction_boundary": 24.282661,
        "core_momentum": 0.039669,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.052898
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 24.967083,
        "direction_boundary": 24.397603,
        "core_momentum": 0.023342,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.054846
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 24.987,
        "direction_boundary": 24.685464,
        "core_momentum": 0.012215,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.05489
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 25.15,
        "direction_boundary": 24.622861,
        "core_momentum": 0.021409,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.055515
      }
    ],
    "price_history": [
      {
        "date": "2025-03-28",
        "close": 23.907834,
        "volume": 13701
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-04",
        "close": 24.039398,
        "volume": 29180
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-11",
        "close": 23.252858,
        "volume": 55493
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-18",
        "close": 23.679162,
        "volume": 104525
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-25",
        "close": 23.912485,
        "volume": 82064
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-02",
        "close": 23.819892,
        "volume": 965417
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-09",
        "close": 23.762838,
        "volume": 105558
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-16",
        "close": 23.801064,
        "volume": 157534
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-23",
        "close": 23.666132,
        "volume": 135429
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-30",
        "close": 23.93514,
        "volume": 81603
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-06",
        "close": 23.831965,
        "volume": 126167
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-13",
        "close": 24.050169,
        "volume": 126891
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-20",
        "close": 24.153971,
        "volume": 60932
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-27",
        "close": 24.332259,
        "volume": 112015
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-04",
        "close": 24.424925,
        "volume": 105044
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-11",
        "close": 24.253806,
        "volume": 320264
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-18",
        "close": 24.282661,
        "volume": 668275
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-25",
        "close": 24.397603,
        "volume": 487701
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-01",
        "close": 24.685464,
        "volume": 152964
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-08",
        "close": 24.622861,
        "volume": 251506
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-15",
        "close": 24.637382,
        "volume": 158817
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-22",
        "close": 24.752779,
        "volume": 303826
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-29",
        "close": 24.714314,
        "volume": 365584
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-05",
        "close": 25.051112,
        "volume": 162679
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-12",
        "close": 25.23453,
        "volume": 217061
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-19",
        "close": 25.176609,
        "volume": 446089
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-26",
        "close": 25.060765,
        "volume": 179531
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-03",
        "close": 25.216474,
        "volume": 385385
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-10",
        "close": 25.197092,
        "volume": 152407
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-17",
        "close": 25.3977,
        "volume": 205445
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-24",
        "close": 25.487828,
        "volume": 265764
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-31",
        "close": 25.226166,
        "volume": 154356
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-07",
        "close": 25.219583,
        "volume": 499155
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-14",
        "close": 25.141745,
        "volume": 276012
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-21",
        "close": 25.306178,
        "volume": 580005
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-28",
        "close": 25.501746,
        "volume": 219323
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-05",
        "close": 25.401394,
        "volume": 486901
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-12",
        "close": 25.284201,
        "volume": 442767
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-19",
        "close": 25.370877,
        "volume": 701687
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-26",
        "close": 25.493418,
        "volume": 2286201
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-02",
        "close": 25.400287,
        "volume": 389662
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-09",
        "close": 25.473811,
        "volume": 1465823
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-16",
        "close": 25.424795,
        "volume": 817705
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-23",
        "close": 25.478713,
        "volume": 550242
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-30",
        "close": 25.459106,
        "volume": 552782
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-06",
        "close": 25.546863,
        "volume": 733160
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-13",
        "close": 25.773203,
        "volume": 944325
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-20",
        "close": 25.783044,
        "volume": 393337
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-27",
        "close": 25.847009,
        "volume": 437633
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "close": 25.591817,
        "volume": 546971
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "close": 25.191713,
        "volume": 356088
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "close": 25.083043,
        "volume": 500925
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "close": 25.023769,
        "volume": 853621
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 25.430394,
        "volume": 404251
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 25.478007,
        "volume": 518005
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 25.661516,
        "volume": 279486
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 25.582161,
        "volume": 359316
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 25.362728,
        "volume": 353816
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 25.471837,
        "volume": 342224
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 25.144611,
        "volume": 386863
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 25.2438,
        "volume": 401538
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 25.460926,
        "volume": 295433
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 25.261414,
        "volume": 387577
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 25.4357,
        "volume": 352644
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 25.445659,
        "volume": 422902
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 25.585087,
        "volume": 290571
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 25.425194,
        "volume": 248931
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 25.206097,
        "volume": 584911
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 25.245933,
        "volume": 232839
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 24.967083,
        "volume": 437459
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 24.987,
        "volume": 564749
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 25.15,
        "volume": 683041
      }
    ],
    "sharemaestro_context": {
      "trend": 25.391607,
      "fair_value": 24.962593,
      "market_activity": -13.152689,
      "market_dynamics": -0.91971,
      "relative_strength": -11.587376
    },
    "historical_outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Longer term",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "regime_history": [
      {
        "direction": "positive",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.005044
      }
    ]
  }
}