{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "dfd75a87-6516-4869-801d-8debb0b8c203",
    "symbol": "6969",
    "name": "TRANSCENE CO LTD",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "The SM framework classifies the established weekly price path as the Core Trend. Faster and slower Trend views and Sharemaestro context describe that state but do not alter its direction.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "latest_close": 31.4,
    "direction": "negative",
    "state": "Negative, shorter trend recovering",
    "is_fresh": false,
    "is_near_boundary": false,
    "direction_boundary": 49.5,
    "boundary_margin": -0.365657,
    "trend_agreement": "Broadly aligned",
    "persistence": "Established",
    "direction_turnover": "High",
    "annualized_volatility": 0.790908,
    "volatility_stability": 1.6553,
    "risk_context": 0.1264,
    "current_regime": {
      "move": 0.084629,
      "interruption": 0.60625,
      "interruption_label": "Largest rebound inside regime"
    },
    "research_priority": 62.139,
    "interpretation": {
      "label": "Negative, shorter trend recovering",
      "headline": "Negative, shorter trend recovering",
      "body": "The Core Trend remains in force, but the Fast Trend now points the other way. That is an early loss of persistence, not yet a regime change.",
      "age_context": "The current Core Trend is established.",
      "boundary_context": "The latest close is 36.6% below the decision boundary.",
      "stability_context": "Recent Core Trend turnover is high."
    },
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2025-09-19",
        "close": 40.099998,
        "direction_boundary": 33.5,
        "core_momentum": 0.197015,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.643882
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-26",
        "close": 38.650002,
        "direction_boundary": 46.549999,
        "core_momentum": -0.16971,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.623109
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-03",
        "close": 39.0,
        "direction_boundary": 62.900002,
        "core_momentum": -0.379968,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.622928
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-10",
        "close": 38.5,
        "direction_boundary": 63.799999,
        "core_momentum": -0.396552,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.550706
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-17",
        "close": 37.849998,
        "direction_boundary": 61.299999,
        "core_momentum": -0.382545,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.546718
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-24",
        "close": 35.5,
        "direction_boundary": 63.0,
        "core_momentum": -0.436508,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.557031
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-31",
        "close": 36.299999,
        "direction_boundary": 56.200001,
        "core_momentum": -0.354093,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.534676
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-07",
        "close": 35.349998,
        "direction_boundary": 52.900002,
        "core_momentum": -0.331758,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.528566
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-14",
        "close": 34.650002,
        "direction_boundary": 48.0,
        "core_momentum": -0.278125,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.527248
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-21",
        "close": 31.35,
        "direction_boundary": 50.599998,
        "core_momentum": -0.380435,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.547193
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-28",
        "close": 33.299999,
        "direction_boundary": 49.450001,
        "core_momentum": -0.326593,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.553072
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-05",
        "close": 31.5,
        "direction_boundary": 48.0,
        "core_momentum": -0.34375,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.557981
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-12",
        "close": 31.1,
        "direction_boundary": 48.099998,
        "core_momentum": -0.35343,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.558232
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-19",
        "close": 30.1,
        "direction_boundary": 44.299999,
        "core_momentum": -0.320542,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.50532
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-26",
        "close": 29.35,
        "direction_boundary": 42.0,
        "core_momentum": -0.30119,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.50573
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-02",
        "close": 30.65,
        "direction_boundary": 43.5,
        "core_momentum": -0.295402,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.456594
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-09",
        "close": 29.75,
        "direction_boundary": 43.450001,
        "core_momentum": -0.315305,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.453345
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-16",
        "close": 35.099998,
        "direction_boundary": 42.25,
        "core_momentum": -0.169231,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.514418
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-23",
        "close": 33.25,
        "direction_boundary": 41.599998,
        "core_momentum": -0.200721,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.481834
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-30",
        "close": 31.1,
        "direction_boundary": 41.599998,
        "core_momentum": -0.252404,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.483634
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-06",
        "close": 31.6,
        "direction_boundary": 42.0,
        "core_momentum": -0.247619,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.485856
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-13",
        "close": 31.85,
        "direction_boundary": 38.299999,
        "core_momentum": -0.168407,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.448765
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-27",
        "close": 31.200001,
        "direction_boundary": 37.099998,
        "core_momentum": -0.15903,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.433283
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "close": 30.9,
        "direction_boundary": 36.650002,
        "core_momentum": -0.15689,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.381992
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "close": 28.0,
        "direction_boundary": 35.549999,
        "core_momentum": -0.212377,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.373596
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "close": 28.1,
        "direction_boundary": 34.650002,
        "core_momentum": -0.189033,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.373789
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "close": 28.1,
        "direction_boundary": 38.150002,
        "core_momentum": -0.263434,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.372634
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 28.15,
        "direction_boundary": 33.900002,
        "core_momentum": -0.169617,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.371681
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 28.799999,
        "direction_boundary": 33.700001,
        "core_momentum": -0.145401,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.373746
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 29.799999,
        "direction_boundary": 27.65,
        "core_momentum": 0.077758,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.379087
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 29.5,
        "direction_boundary": 26.5,
        "core_momentum": 0.113208,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.378946
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 28.5,
        "direction_boundary": 27.1,
        "core_momentum": 0.051661,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.372598
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 28.950001,
        "direction_boundary": 30.549999,
        "core_momentum": -0.052373,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.371618
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 28.200001,
        "direction_boundary": 28.799999,
        "core_momentum": -0.020833,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.371593
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 28.0,
        "direction_boundary": 30.1,
        "core_momentum": -0.069767,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.371238
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 28.0,
        "direction_boundary": 30.1,
        "core_momentum": -0.069767,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.346835
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 27.549999,
        "direction_boundary": 30.5,
        "core_momentum": -0.096721,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.334298
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 27.0,
        "direction_boundary": 29.799999,
        "core_momentum": -0.09396,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.327611
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 26.4,
        "direction_boundary": 30.1,
        "core_momentum": -0.122924,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.328291
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 24.5,
        "direction_boundary": 35.599998,
        "core_momentum": -0.311798,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.340002
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 25.85,
        "direction_boundary": 34.950001,
        "core_momentum": -0.260372,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.34943
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 26.0,
        "direction_boundary": 40.75,
        "core_momentum": -0.361963,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.342884
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 24.0,
        "direction_boundary": 42.0,
        "core_momentum": -0.428571,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.356568
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 38.549999,
        "direction_boundary": 43.150002,
        "core_momentum": -0.106605,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.724213
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 32.150002,
        "direction_boundary": 48.799999,
        "core_momentum": -0.341188,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.764935
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 35.5,
        "direction_boundary": 50.0,
        "core_momentum": -0.29,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.771089
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 31.4,
        "direction_boundary": 49.5,
        "core_momentum": -0.365657,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.790908
      }
    ],
    "price_history": [
      {
        "date": "2024-09-13",
        "close": 33.5,
        "volume": 1851976
      },
      {
        "date": "2024-09-20",
        "close": 46.549999,
        "volume": 2604160
      },
      {
        "date": "2024-09-27",
        "close": 62.900002,
        "volume": 3670014
      },
      {
        "date": "2024-10-04",
        "close": 63.799999,
        "volume": 721150
      },
      {
        "date": "2024-10-11",
        "close": 61.299999,
        "volume": 633020
      },
      {
        "date": "2024-10-18",
        "close": 63.0,
        "volume": 1020149
      },
      {
        "date": "2024-10-25",
        "close": 56.200001,
        "volume": 501010
      },
      {
        "date": "2024-11-01",
        "close": 52.900002,
        "volume": 966021
      },
      {
        "date": "2024-11-08",
        "close": 48.0,
        "volume": 785065
      },
      {
        "date": "2024-11-15",
        "close": 50.599998,
        "volume": 270029
      },
      {
        "date": "2024-11-22",
        "close": 49.450001,
        "volume": 113081
      },
      {
        "date": "2024-11-29",
        "close": 48.0,
        "volume": 301050
      },
      {
        "date": "2024-12-06",
        "close": 48.099998,
        "volume": 96037
      },
      {
        "date": "2024-12-13",
        "close": 44.299999,
        "volume": 315065
      },
      {
        "date": "2024-12-20",
        "close": 42.0,
        "volume": 191043
      },
      {
        "date": "2024-12-27",
        "close": 43.5,
        "volume": 96000
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-01-03",
        "close": 43.450001,
        "volume": 94065
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-01-10",
        "close": 42.25,
        "volume": 336000
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-01-17",
        "close": 41.599998,
        "volume": 245000
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-01-24",
        "close": 41.599998,
        "volume": 210000
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-02-07",
        "close": 42.0,
        "volume": 154089
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-02-14",
        "close": 38.299999,
        "volume": 312059
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-02-21",
        "close": 37.099998,
        "volume": 251000
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-02-28",
        "close": 36.650002,
        "volume": 166000
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-07",
        "close": 35.549999,
        "volume": 101000
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-14",
        "close": 34.650002,
        "volume": 338000
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-21",
        "close": 38.150002,
        "volume": 368000
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-28",
        "close": 33.900002,
        "volume": 143000
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-04",
        "close": 33.700001,
        "volume": 42000
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-11",
        "close": 27.65,
        "volume": 543000
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-18",
        "close": 26.5,
        "volume": 208150
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-25",
        "close": 27.1,
        "volume": 198000
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-02",
        "close": 30.549999,
        "volume": 219000
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-09",
        "close": 28.799999,
        "volume": 314000
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-16",
        "close": 30.1,
        "volume": 150050
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-23",
        "close": 30.1,
        "volume": 132000
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-30",
        "close": 30.5,
        "volume": 168000
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-06",
        "close": 29.799999,
        "volume": 129001
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-13",
        "close": 30.1,
        "volume": 182000
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-20",
        "close": 35.599998,
        "volume": 326000
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-27",
        "close": 34.950001,
        "volume": 238000
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-04",
        "close": 40.75,
        "volume": 355000
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-11",
        "close": 42.0,
        "volume": 314000
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-18",
        "close": 43.150002,
        "volume": 710100
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-25",
        "close": 48.799999,
        "volume": 427310
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-01",
        "close": 50.0,
        "volume": 503140
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-08",
        "close": 49.5,
        "volume": 164110
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-15",
        "close": 42.700001,
        "volume": 322015
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-22",
        "close": 38.900002,
        "volume": 194001
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-29",
        "close": 44.450001,
        "volume": 619000
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-05",
        "close": 39.599998,
        "volume": 138100
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-12",
        "close": 39.650002,
        "volume": 96000
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-19",
        "close": 40.099998,
        "volume": 198000
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-26",
        "close": 38.650002,
        "volume": 102000
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-03",
        "close": 39.0,
        "volume": 116003
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-10",
        "close": 38.5,
        "volume": 95000
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-17",
        "close": 37.849998,
        "volume": 161000
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-24",
        "close": 35.5,
        "volume": 167017
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-31",
        "close": 36.299999,
        "volume": 118000
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-07",
        "close": 35.349998,
        "volume": 138000
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-14",
        "close": 34.650002,
        "volume": 142000
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-21",
        "close": 31.35,
        "volume": 197019
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-28",
        "close": 33.299999,
        "volume": 375004
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-05",
        "close": 31.5,
        "volume": 99000
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-12",
        "close": 31.1,
        "volume": 108000
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-19",
        "close": 30.1,
        "volume": 179000
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-26",
        "close": 29.35,
        "volume": 123000
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-02",
        "close": 30.65,
        "volume": 31000
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-09",
        "close": 29.75,
        "volume": 181000
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-16",
        "close": 35.099998,
        "volume": 1190001
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-23",
        "close": 33.25,
        "volume": 340032
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-30",
        "close": 31.1,
        "volume": 193010
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-06",
        "close": 31.6,
        "volume": 85393
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-13",
        "close": 31.85,
        "volume": 176000
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-27",
        "close": 31.200001,
        "volume": 307001
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "close": 30.9,
        "volume": 249000
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "close": 28.0,
        "volume": 806162
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "close": 28.1,
        "volume": 486608
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "close": 28.1,
        "volume": 589178
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 28.15,
        "volume": 235000
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 28.799999,
        "volume": 409000
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 29.799999,
        "volume": 454845
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 29.5,
        "volume": 655331
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 28.5,
        "volume": 309000
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 28.950001,
        "volume": 420546
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 28.200001,
        "volume": 338299
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 28.0,
        "volume": 218137
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 28.0,
        "volume": 379000
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 27.549999,
        "volume": 371000
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 27.0,
        "volume": 355038
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 26.4,
        "volume": 342000
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 24.5,
        "volume": 289030
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 25.85,
        "volume": 597669
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 26.0,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 24.0,
        "volume": 336000
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 38.549999,
        "volume": 5291078
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 32.150002,
        "volume": 2502000
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 35.5,
        "volume": 928122
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 31.4,
        "volume": 879110
      }
    ],
    "sharemaestro_context": {
      "trend": 29.533333,
      "fair_value": 36.598485,
      "market_activity": 51.957133,
      "market_dynamics": 1.132567,
      "relative_strength": -32.492753
    },
    "historical_outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.082645,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "conditional_difference": -0.031797,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.106211,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "conditional_difference": -0.017127,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Longer term",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.261538,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "conditional_difference": -0.075492,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "regime_history": [
      {
        "direction": "positive",
        "start": "2025-09-19",
        "end": "2025-09-19",
        "tenure": "Brief",
        "return": 0.0
      },
      {
        "direction": "negative",
        "start": "2025-09-26",
        "end": "2026-04-10",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.254851
      },
      {
        "direction": "positive",
        "start": "2026-04-17",
        "end": "2026-05-01",
        "tenure": "Brief",
        "return": -0.043624
      },
      {
        "direction": "negative",
        "start": "2026-05-08",
        "end": "2026-08-14",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.084629
      }
    ]
  }
}