{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e2137a02-07bd-4f30-9bb8-a6c62a70329d",
    "symbol": "T10A",
    "name": "UBS Core BBG US Treasury 10+ UC",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "The SM framework classifies the established weekly price path as the Core Trend. Faster and slower Trend views and Sharemaestro context describe that state but do not alter its direction.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "latest_close": 8.485,
    "direction": "negative",
    "state": "Negative, near its boundary",
    "is_fresh": false,
    "is_near_boundary": true,
    "direction_boundary": 8.492,
    "boundary_margin": -0.000824,
    "trend_agreement": "Broadly aligned",
    "persistence": "Early",
    "direction_turnover": "Low",
    "annualized_volatility": 0.091515,
    "volatility_stability": 0.3962,
    "risk_context": 1.0927,
    "current_regime": {
      "move": 0.009518,
      "interruption": 0.009518,
      "interruption_label": "Largest rebound inside regime"
    },
    "research_priority": 51.039,
    "interpretation": {
      "label": "Negative, near its boundary",
      "headline": "Negative, near its boundary",
      "body": "Price is close enough to the Direction Boundary that a relatively small move could change the primary regime.",
      "age_context": "The current Core Trend remains in its early lifecycle.",
      "boundary_context": "The latest close is 0.1% below the decision boundary.",
      "stability_context": "Recent Core Trend turnover is low."
    },
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 8.405,
        "direction_boundary": 9.8463,
        "core_momentum": -0.14638,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.092063
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 8.485,
        "direction_boundary": 8.492,
        "core_momentum": -0.000824,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.091515
      }
    ],
    "price_history": [
      {
        "date": "2025-08-01",
        "close": 9.8463,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-08",
        "close": 8.492,
        "volume": 2186
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-15",
        "close": 8.401,
        "volume": 17947
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-22",
        "close": 8.355,
        "volume": 11130
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-29",
        "close": 8.403,
        "volume": 10930
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-05",
        "close": 8.488,
        "volume": 27325
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-12",
        "close": 8.629,
        "volume": 10884
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-19",
        "close": 8.519,
        "volume": 4284
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-26",
        "close": 8.559,
        "volume": 4382
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-03",
        "close": 8.606,
        "volume": 167893
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      {
        "date": "2025-10-10",
        "close": 8.764,
        "volume": 20710
      },
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        "date": "2025-10-17",
        "close": 8.805,
        "volume": 78455
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-24",
        "close": 10.2919,
        "volume": 1225
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-31",
        "close": 8.827,
        "volume": 11980
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-07",
        "close": 8.813,
        "volume": 3284
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-14",
        "close": 8.696,
        "volume": 17230
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-21",
        "close": 8.824,
        "volume": 11614
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-28",
        "close": 8.85,
        "volume": 4475
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-05",
        "close": 8.628,
        "volume": 2286
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-12",
        "close": 8.579,
        "volume": 139
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-19",
        "close": 8.517,
        "volume": 278
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-26",
        "close": 8.507,
        "volume": 2433
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-02",
        "close": 8.508,
        "volume": 2
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-09",
        "close": 8.653,
        "volume": 3392
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-16",
        "close": 8.687,
        "volume": 4286
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-23",
        "close": 8.553,
        "volume": 124451
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        "date": "2026-01-30",
        "close": 8.411,
        "volume": 1174
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      {
        "date": "2026-02-06",
        "close": 8.511,
        "volume": 3201
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        "date": "2026-02-13",
        "close": 8.678,
        "volume": 2883
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        "date": "2026-02-20",
        "close": 8.712,
        "volume": 12747
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-27",
        "close": 8.778,
        "volume": 1172
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      {
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "close": 8.885,
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      {
        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "close": 8.734,
        "volume": 1245
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      {
        "date": "2026-03-20",
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      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "close": 8.602,
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        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 8.743,
        "volume": 2142
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 8.55,
        "volume": 2358
      },
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 8.553,
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 8.579,
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 8.408,
        "volume": 4284
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 8.463,
        "volume": 3771
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 8.571,
        "volume": 32765
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 8.613,
        "volume": 1071
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 8.642,
        "volume": 1071
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 8.784,
        "volume": 3213
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 8.93,
        "volume": 2142
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 8.752,
        "volume": 2142
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 8.688,
        "volume": 25150
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 8.718,
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 8.626,
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        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 8.405,
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      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 8.485,
        "volume": 1191
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    ],
    "sharemaestro_context": {
      "trend": 8.620667,
      "fair_value": 8.670022,
      "market_activity": -10.488169,
      "market_dynamics": 0.252819,
      "relative_strength": -16.146884
    },
    "historical_outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Longer term",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "regime_history": [
      {
        "direction": "negative",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Brief",
        "return": 0.009518
      }
    ]
  }
}