{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e4e7b752-05fd-4b28-af4d-234d199bdcfa",
    "symbol": "IBIL",
    "name": "ISHARES IBONDS OCT 2035 TERM TIPS ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "The SM framework classifies the established weekly price path as the Core Trend. Faster and slower Trend views and Sharemaestro context describe that state but do not alter its direction.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "latest_close": 24.805,
    "direction": "negative",
    "state": "Negative, near its boundary",
    "is_fresh": false,
    "is_near_boundary": true,
    "direction_boundary": 24.870818,
    "boundary_margin": -0.002646,
    "trend_agreement": "Fully aligned",
    "persistence": "Early",
    "direction_turnover": "Moderate",
    "annualized_volatility": 0.054982,
    "volatility_stability": 0.8956,
    "risk_context": 1.5,
    "current_regime": {
      "move": 0.003483,
      "interruption": 0.003483,
      "interruption_label": "Largest rebound inside regime"
    },
    "research_priority": 59.713,
    "interpretation": {
      "label": "Negative, near its boundary",
      "headline": "Negative, near its boundary",
      "body": "Price is close enough to the Direction Boundary that a relatively small move could change the primary regime.",
      "age_context": "The current Core Trend remains in its early lifecycle.",
      "boundary_context": "The latest close is 0.3% below the decision boundary.",
      "stability_context": "Recent Core Trend turnover is moderate."
    },
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "close": 25.080647,
        "direction_boundary": 24.297623,
        "core_momentum": 0.032226,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.033637
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 25.436869,
        "direction_boundary": 24.480338,
        "core_momentum": 0.039073,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.038902
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 25.530437,
        "direction_boundary": 23.669902,
        "core_momentum": 0.078603,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.038861
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 25.6663,
        "direction_boundary": 24.032049,
        "core_momentum": 0.068003,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.039447
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 25.721164,
        "direction_boundary": 24.258994,
        "core_momentum": 0.060273,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.038689
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 25.136641,
        "direction_boundary": 24.210708,
        "core_momentum": 0.038245,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.049828
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 25.156108,
        "direction_boundary": 24.191393,
        "core_momentum": 0.039878,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.049829
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 24.907905,
        "direction_boundary": 24.143107,
        "core_momentum": 0.031678,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.051582
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 24.839771,
        "direction_boundary": 24.056192,
        "core_momentum": 0.032573,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.050957
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 25.063933,
        "direction_boundary": 24.210708,
        "core_momentum": 0.035242,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.052576
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 24.864105,
        "direction_boundary": 23.998249,
        "core_momentum": 0.03608,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.052941
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 24.932239,
        "direction_boundary": 24.172079,
        "core_momentum": 0.031448,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.053009
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 24.919099,
        "direction_boundary": 24.345909,
        "core_momentum": 0.023544,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.052759
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 25.050014,
        "direction_boundary": 24.558658,
        "core_momentum": 0.020007,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.053372
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 24.8957,
        "direction_boundary": 24.494291,
        "core_momentum": 0.016388,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.053958
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 24.855,
        "direction_boundary": 24.461945,
        "core_momentum": 0.016068,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.053736
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 24.925,
        "direction_boundary": 24.548039,
        "core_momentum": 0.015356,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.053902
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 24.71,
        "direction_boundary": 24.621331,
        "core_momentum": 0.003601,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.05497
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 24.7189,
        "direction_boundary": 24.802901,
        "core_momentum": -0.003387,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.054778
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 24.805,
        "direction_boundary": 24.870818,
        "core_momentum": -0.002646,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.054982
      }
    ],
    "price_history": [
      {
        "date": "2025-03-28",
        "close": 24.297623,
        "volume": 8590
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-04",
        "close": 24.480338,
        "volume": 62774
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-11",
        "close": 23.669902,
        "volume": 64507
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-18",
        "close": 24.032049,
        "volume": 24027
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-25",
        "close": 24.258994,
        "volume": 61064
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-02",
        "close": 24.210708,
        "volume": 18476
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-09",
        "close": 24.191393,
        "volume": 14460
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-16",
        "close": 24.143107,
        "volume": 22994
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-23",
        "close": 24.056192,
        "volume": 37393
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-30",
        "close": 24.210708,
        "volume": 21435
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-06",
        "close": 23.998249,
        "volume": 34661
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-13",
        "close": 24.172079,
        "volume": 20836
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-20",
        "close": 24.345909,
        "volume": 23508
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-27",
        "close": 24.558658,
        "volume": 6023
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-04",
        "close": 24.494291,
        "volume": 13360
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-11",
        "close": 24.461945,
        "volume": 18929
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-18",
        "close": 24.548039,
        "volume": 11047
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-25",
        "close": 24.621331,
        "volume": 12849
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-01",
        "close": 24.802901,
        "volume": 24722
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-08",
        "close": 24.870818,
        "volume": 15238
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-15",
        "close": 24.772802,
        "volume": 32595
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-22",
        "close": 25.01711,
        "volume": 8021
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-29",
        "close": 25.107797,
        "volume": 15975
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-05",
        "close": 25.357675,
        "volume": 266344
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-12",
        "close": 25.408002,
        "volume": 18437
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-19",
        "close": 25.329824,
        "volume": 13400
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-26",
        "close": 25.193011,
        "volume": 22996
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-03",
        "close": 25.258928,
        "volume": 19948
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-10",
        "close": 25.357525,
        "volume": 17510
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-17",
        "close": 25.337845,
        "volume": 33145
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-24",
        "close": 25.493512,
        "volume": 82313
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-31",
        "close": 25.341092,
        "volume": 242471
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-07",
        "close": 25.308325,
        "volume": 35037
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-14",
        "close": 25.264143,
        "volume": 35924
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-21",
        "close": 25.398852,
        "volume": 41049
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-28",
        "close": 25.46291,
        "volume": 11863
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-05",
        "close": 25.296517,
        "volume": 14676
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-12",
        "close": 25.214845,
        "volume": 26978
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-19",
        "close": 25.293919,
        "volume": 35361
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-26",
        "close": 25.289445,
        "volume": 48492
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-02",
        "close": 25.249077,
        "volume": 19895
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-09",
        "close": 25.324245,
        "volume": 34066
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-16",
        "close": 25.266079,
        "volume": 21187
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-23",
        "close": 25.304558,
        "volume": 45260
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-30",
        "close": 25.368987,
        "volume": 101390
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-06",
        "close": 25.418701,
        "volume": 10705
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-13",
        "close": 25.662299,
        "volume": 40737
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-20",
        "close": 25.622528,
        "volume": 12182
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-27",
        "close": 25.791555,
        "volume": 18039
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "close": 25.662299,
        "volume": 19765
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "close": 25.453501,
        "volume": 23792
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "close": 25.284374,
        "volume": 29034
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "close": 25.080647,
        "volume": 38505
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 25.436869,
        "volume": 113474
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 25.530437,
        "volume": 51727
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 25.6663,
        "volume": 62992
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 25.721164,
        "volume": 55383
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 25.136641,
        "volume": 52730
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 25.156108,
        "volume": 16475
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 24.907905,
        "volume": 32945
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 24.839771,
        "volume": 42237
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 25.063933,
        "volume": 29709
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 24.864105,
        "volume": 41707
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 24.932239,
        "volume": 47762
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 24.919099,
        "volume": 49736
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 25.050014,
        "volume": 54616
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 24.8957,
        "volume": 62106
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 24.855,
        "volume": 73797
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 24.925,
        "volume": 52825
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 24.71,
        "volume": 65574
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 24.7189,
        "volume": 78251
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 24.805,
        "volume": 142837
      }
    ],
    "sharemaestro_context": {
      "trend": 25.201657,
      "fair_value": 24.979894,
      "market_activity": -25.560968,
      "market_dynamics": -0.874122,
      "relative_strength": -12.547619
    },
    "historical_outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Longer term",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "regime_history": [
      {
        "direction": "positive",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.014778
      },
      {
        "direction": "negative",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Brief",
        "return": 0.003483
      }
    ]
  }
}