{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e6d5d596-e14f-4169-ada4-4ac504cbf253",
    "symbol": "2573",
    "name": "Newtrend Group Holding Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "HKG",
    "country": "HK",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "The SM framework classifies the established weekly price path as the Core Trend. Faster and slower Trend views and Sharemaestro context describe that state but do not alter its direction.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "latest_close": 4.48,
    "direction": "negative",
    "state": "Negative across all Trend views",
    "is_fresh": false,
    "is_near_boundary": false,
    "direction_boundary": 12.12,
    "boundary_margin": -0.630363,
    "trend_agreement": "Fully aligned",
    "persistence": "Early",
    "direction_turnover": "Low",
    "annualized_volatility": 0.658902,
    "volatility_stability": 0.3358,
    "risk_context": 0.1518,
    "current_regime": {
      "move": -0.076289,
      "interruption": 0.047727,
      "interruption_label": "Largest rebound inside regime"
    },
    "research_priority": 92.162,
    "interpretation": {
      "label": "Negative across all Trend views",
      "headline": "All measured Trend views are negative",
      "body": "The faster, intermediate, established and Core Trend views point in the same direction, giving the current regime broad agreement.",
      "age_context": "The current Core Trend remains in its early lifecycle.",
      "boundary_context": "The latest close is 63.0% below the decision boundary.",
      "stability_context": "Recent Core Trend turnover is low."
    },
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 4.85,
        "direction_boundary": 15.82,
        "core_momentum": -0.693426,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.669189
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 4.6,
        "direction_boundary": 15.82,
        "core_momentum": -0.709229,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.670466
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 4.4,
        "direction_boundary": 14.32,
        "core_momentum": -0.692737,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.67084
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 4.5,
        "direction_boundary": 14.24,
        "core_momentum": -0.683989,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.673807
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 4.61,
        "direction_boundary": 12.48,
        "core_momentum": -0.630609,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.676049
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 4.55,
        "direction_boundary": 12.74,
        "core_momentum": -0.642857,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.676036
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 4.58,
        "direction_boundary": 12.96,
        "core_momentum": -0.646605,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.67561
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 4.53,
        "direction_boundary": 12.34,
        "core_momentum": -0.632901,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.675764
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 4.48,
        "direction_boundary": 12.12,
        "core_momentum": -0.630363,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.658902
      }
    ],
    "price_history": [
      {
        "date": "2025-06-13",
        "close": 15.82,
        "volume": 9048200
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-20",
        "close": 15.82,
        "volume": 1336740
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-27",
        "close": 14.32,
        "volume": 742200
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-04",
        "close": 14.24,
        "volume": 749600
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-11",
        "close": 12.48,
        "volume": 1379998
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-18",
        "close": 12.74,
        "volume": 1594820
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-25",
        "close": 12.96,
        "volume": 232800
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-01",
        "close": 12.34,
        "volume": 223600
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-08",
        "close": 12.12,
        "volume": 83200
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-15",
        "close": 13.92,
        "volume": 921600
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-22",
        "close": 12.97,
        "volume": 637000
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-29",
        "close": 12.36,
        "volume": 233200
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-05",
        "close": 12.3,
        "volume": 92200
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-12",
        "close": 11.46,
        "volume": 356800
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-19",
        "close": 11.42,
        "volume": 105000
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-26",
        "close": 10.15,
        "volume": 308800
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-03",
        "close": 10.65,
        "volume": 413200
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-10",
        "close": 10.55,
        "volume": 333200
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-17",
        "close": 10.05,
        "volume": 99600
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-24",
        "close": 9.81,
        "volume": 98800
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-31",
        "close": 9.7,
        "volume": 61600
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-07",
        "close": 9.43,
        "volume": 61200
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-14",
        "close": 8.88,
        "volume": 248600
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-21",
        "close": 9.12,
        "volume": 113800
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-28",
        "close": 9.4,
        "volume": 65800
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-05",
        "close": 8.8,
        "volume": 103000
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-12",
        "close": 8.79,
        "volume": 32800
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-19",
        "close": 8.55,
        "volume": 55400
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-26",
        "close": 8.24,
        "volume": 21400
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-02",
        "close": 7.98,
        "volume": 16200
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-09",
        "close": 8.0,
        "volume": 44800
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-16",
        "close": 7.9,
        "volume": 97200
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-23",
        "close": 7.99,
        "volume": 39200
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-30",
        "close": 7.82,
        "volume": 9400
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-06",
        "close": 6.9,
        "volume": 241800
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-13",
        "close": 6.78,
        "volume": 83800
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-20",
        "close": 6.79,
        "volume": 1600
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-27",
        "close": 6.97,
        "volume": 141200
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "close": 6.5,
        "volume": 315000
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "close": 5.0,
        "volume": 864400
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "close": 3.99,
        "volume": 2591000
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "close": 4.2,
        "volume": 1196800
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 3.97,
        "volume": 494200
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 4.02,
        "volume": 114600
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 5.33,
        "volume": 642200
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 5.25,
        "volume": 345000
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 5.17,
        "volume": 128000
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 5.4,
        "volume": 233800
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 5.2,
        "volume": 145800
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 5.03,
        "volume": 55600
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 4.91,
        "volume": 49000
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 4.76,
        "volume": 8200
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 4.85,
        "volume": 19000
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 4.6,
        "volume": 43200
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 4.4,
        "volume": 8600
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 4.5,
        "volume": 2000
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 4.61,
        "volume": 45400
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 4.55,
        "volume": 129600
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 4.58,
        "volume": 97800
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 4.53,
        "volume": 16400
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 4.48,
        "volume": 122800
      }
    ],
    "sharemaestro_context": {
      "trend": 5.366,
      "fair_value": 8.30082,
      "market_activity": -64.272358,
      "market_dynamics": -0.088245,
      "relative_strength": -38.948857
    },
    "historical_outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.049485,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "conditional_difference": -0.038615,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Longer term",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "regime_history": [
      {
        "direction": "negative",
        "start": "2026-06-12",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.076289
      }
    ]
  }
}