{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "fda201e3-fd83-4197-8350-95d678531b00",
    "symbol": "CARRARO",
    "name": "CARRARO INDIA LIMITED",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "The SM framework classifies the established weekly price path as the Core Trend. Faster and slower Trend views and Sharemaestro context describe that state but do not alter its direction.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "latest_close": 502.049988,
    "direction": "positive",
    "state": "Positive, shorter trend weakening",
    "is_fresh": false,
    "is_near_boundary": false,
    "direction_boundary": 421.574036,
    "boundary_margin": 0.190894,
    "trend_agreement": "Narrow",
    "persistence": "Established",
    "direction_turnover": "Moderate",
    "annualized_volatility": 0.422126,
    "volatility_stability": 0.8081,
    "risk_context": 0.2369,
    "current_regime": {
      "move": -0.082427,
      "interruption": -0.223013,
      "interruption_label": "Deepest pullback inside regime"
    },
    "research_priority": 51.067,
    "interpretation": {
      "label": "Positive, shorter trend weakening",
      "headline": "Positive, shorter trend weakening",
      "body": "The Core Trend remains in force, but the Fast Trend now points the other way. That is an early loss of persistence, not yet a regime change.",
      "age_context": "The current Core Trend is established.",
      "boundary_context": "The latest close is 19.1% above the decision boundary.",
      "stability_context": "Recent Core Trend turnover is moderate."
    },
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2026-01-02",
        "close": 556.400024,
        "direction_boundary": 655.144165,
        "core_momentum": -0.150721,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.329157
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-09",
        "close": 537.200012,
        "direction_boundary": 607.598999,
        "core_momentum": -0.115864,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.333312
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-16",
        "close": 530.349976,
        "direction_boundary": 566.386597,
        "core_momentum": -0.063625,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.333684
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-23",
        "close": 482.799988,
        "direction_boundary": 526.707825,
        "core_momentum": -0.083363,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.353909
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-30",
        "close": 523.0,
        "direction_boundary": 569.552917,
        "core_momentum": -0.081736,
        "direction": "negative",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.370669
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-06",
        "close": 547.150024,
        "direction_boundary": 428.945801,
        "core_momentum": 0.275569,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.323889
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-13",
        "close": 568.799988,
        "direction_boundary": 349.934662,
        "core_momentum": 0.625446,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.314907
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-20",
        "close": 526.5,
        "direction_boundary": 348.005157,
        "core_momentum": 0.512909,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.334388
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-27",
        "close": 521.099976,
        "direction_boundary": 318.716125,
        "core_momentum": 0.634997,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.329052
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "close": 504.200012,
        "direction_boundary": 345.778809,
        "core_momentum": 0.458158,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.324856
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "close": 449.799988,
        "direction_boundary": 311.93808,
        "core_momentum": 0.441953,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.358363
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "close": 441.950012,
        "direction_boundary": 330.045807,
        "core_momentum": 0.339057,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.359151
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "close": 467.350006,
        "direction_boundary": 305.803223,
        "core_momentum": 0.52827,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.367454
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 461.049988,
        "direction_boundary": 304.962158,
        "core_momentum": 0.511827,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.5,
        "volatility": 0.3646
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 507.0,
        "direction_boundary": 273.694122,
        "core_momentum": 0.852433,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.386987
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 587.700012,
        "direction_boundary": 302.785278,
        "core_momentum": 0.940979,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.426819
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 543.75,
        "direction_boundary": 382.489014,
        "core_momentum": 0.421609,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.442378
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 560.049988,
        "direction_boundary": 376.947876,
        "core_momentum": 0.485749,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.441258
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 579.900024,
        "direction_boundary": 390.355499,
        "core_momentum": 0.485569,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.440019
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 570.049988,
        "direction_boundary": 429.440552,
        "core_momentum": 0.327425,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.431657
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 594.950012,
        "direction_boundary": 438.741791,
        "core_momentum": 0.356037,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.430153
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 543.549988,
        "direction_boundary": 452.198914,
        "core_momentum": 0.202015,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.439608
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 522.5,
        "direction_boundary": 426.917328,
        "core_momentum": 0.22389,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.442402
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 525.900024,
        "direction_boundary": 445.321899,
        "core_momentum": 0.180944,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.442508
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 560.549988,
        "direction_boundary": 401.487335,
        "core_momentum": 0.396183,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.449542
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 560.650024,
        "direction_boundary": 430.726868,
        "core_momentum": 0.301637,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.449525
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 553.099976,
        "direction_boundary": 452.001007,
        "core_momentum": 0.22367,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.445174
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 569.200012,
        "direction_boundary": 445.915619,
        "core_momentum": 0.276475,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 1.0,
        "volatility": 0.443965
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 567.549988,
        "direction_boundary": 455.958984,
        "core_momentum": 0.244739,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.443505
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 534.0,
        "direction_boundary": 480.498444,
        "core_momentum": 0.111346,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.431332
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 536.400024,
        "direction_boundary": 478.371033,
        "core_momentum": 0.121305,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.75,
        "volatility": 0.417164
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 502.049988,
        "direction_boundary": 421.574036,
        "core_momentum": 0.190894,
        "direction": "positive",
        "trend_agreement": 0.25,
        "volatility": 0.422126
      }
    ],
    "price_history": [
      {
        "date": "2025-01-03",
        "close": 655.144165,
        "volume": 5462866
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-01-10",
        "close": 607.598999,
        "volume": 1290690
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-01-17",
        "close": 566.386597,
        "volume": 1211621
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-01-24",
        "close": 526.707825,
        "volume": 616456
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-01-31",
        "close": 569.552917,
        "volume": 1143856
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-02-07",
        "close": 428.945801,
        "volume": 1024102
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-02-14",
        "close": 349.934662,
        "volume": 4979550
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-02-21",
        "close": 348.005157,
        "volume": 548117
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-02-28",
        "close": 318.716125,
        "volume": 263776
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-07",
        "close": 345.778809,
        "volume": 383590
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-14",
        "close": 311.93808,
        "volume": 240598
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-21",
        "close": 330.045807,
        "volume": 540806
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-03-28",
        "close": 305.803223,
        "volume": 1462860
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-04",
        "close": 304.962158,
        "volume": 604266
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-11",
        "close": 273.694122,
        "volume": 1876337
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-18",
        "close": 302.785278,
        "volume": 939369
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-25",
        "close": 382.489014,
        "volume": 2490601
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-02",
        "close": 376.947876,
        "volume": 1685487
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-09",
        "close": 390.355499,
        "volume": 1103788
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-16",
        "close": 429.440552,
        "volume": 585704
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-23",
        "close": 438.741791,
        "volume": 404163
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-05-30",
        "close": 452.198914,
        "volume": 539927
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-06",
        "close": 426.917328,
        "volume": 484504
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-13",
        "close": 445.321899,
        "volume": 654422
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-20",
        "close": 401.487335,
        "volume": 294369
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-06-27",
        "close": 430.726868,
        "volume": 290998
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-04",
        "close": 452.001007,
        "volume": 475670
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-11",
        "close": 445.915619,
        "volume": 191220
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-18",
        "close": 455.958984,
        "volume": 345660
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-07-25",
        "close": 480.498444,
        "volume": 923573
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-01",
        "close": 478.371033,
        "volume": 350825
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-08",
        "close": 421.574036,
        "volume": 646620
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-15",
        "close": 401.685242,
        "volume": 238527
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-22",
        "close": 421.92038,
        "volume": 515322
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-08-29",
        "close": 406.484253,
        "volume": 304757
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-05",
        "close": 432.799988,
        "volume": 555492
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-12",
        "close": 454.899994,
        "volume": 219634
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-19",
        "close": 454.899994,
        "volume": 2281119
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-09-26",
        "close": 460.100006,
        "volume": 765069
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-03",
        "close": 476.299988,
        "volume": 464463
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-10",
        "close": 466.950012,
        "volume": 279277
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-17",
        "close": 500.75,
        "volume": 2639458
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-24",
        "close": 504.149994,
        "volume": 511115
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-10-31",
        "close": 523.450012,
        "volume": 1192591
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-07",
        "close": 505.549988,
        "volume": 761352
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-14",
        "close": 540.849976,
        "volume": 634158
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-21",
        "close": 518.099976,
        "volume": 927113
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-11-28",
        "close": 555.150024,
        "volume": 1312516
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-05",
        "close": 546.099976,
        "volume": 541158
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-12",
        "close": 543.099976,
        "volume": 490867
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-19",
        "close": 527.650024,
        "volume": 260745
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-26",
        "close": 530.650024,
        "volume": 338963
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-02",
        "close": 556.400024,
        "volume": 372248
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-09",
        "close": 537.200012,
        "volume": 581631
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-16",
        "close": 530.349976,
        "volume": 171568
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-23",
        "close": 482.799988,
        "volume": 563042
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-01-30",
        "close": 523.0,
        "volume": 215436
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-06",
        "close": 547.150024,
        "volume": 379204
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-13",
        "close": 568.799988,
        "volume": 1222699
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-20",
        "close": 526.5,
        "volume": 342209
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-27",
        "close": 521.099976,
        "volume": 194835
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "close": 504.200012,
        "volume": 287893
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "close": 449.799988,
        "volume": 313046
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "close": 441.950012,
        "volume": 472422
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "close": 467.350006,
        "volume": 493417
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "close": 461.049988,
        "volume": 280816
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "close": 507.0,
        "volume": 416482
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 587.700012,
        "volume": 6657128
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 543.75,
        "volume": 681104
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 560.049988,
        "volume": 364828
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 579.900024,
        "volume": 520710
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 570.049988,
        "volume": 470434
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 594.950012,
        "volume": 410436
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 543.549988,
        "volume": 4029138
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 522.5,
        "volume": 63988
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 525.900024,
        "volume": 70015
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 560.549988,
        "volume": 263840
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 560.650024,
        "volume": 0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 553.099976,
        "volume": 235294
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 569.200012,
        "volume": 1740433
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 567.549988,
        "volume": 421717
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 534.0,
        "volume": 336669
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 536.400024,
        "volume": 438032
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 502.049988,
        "volume": 1288903
      }
    ],
    "sharemaestro_context": {
      "trend": 531.43,
      "fair_value": 479.321259,
      "market_activity": 6.224808,
      "market_dynamics": -0.465079,
      "relative_strength": -1.993899
    },
    "historical_outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Longer term",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "conditional_difference": null,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "regime_history": [
      {
        "direction": "negative",
        "start": "2026-01-02",
        "end": "2026-01-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.060029
      },
      {
        "direction": "positive",
        "start": "2026-02-06",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.082427
      }
    ]
  }
}