Consumer Defensive
IL
·
Sector structure intelligence
·
3Y weekly
How to read this panel
Regime markers (vertical dotted lines)
These lines highlight timestamps where the group’s internals changed regime (participation, cohesion, pressure, flow).
They’re designed as an early warning lens - not a “trend line”.
- Green: constructive structure improving
- Amber: transition / mixed signals
- Red: rotation / distribution risk
Market cycle context
This helps you judge where the sector sits versus baseline context — early opportunity vs late-cycle crowding.
Context
Context line
An equal-weight composite normalised to a common baseline. Use it to see the group’s headline move. Then check the internal charts to understand whether the move is broad/healthy or narrow/fragile.
Regime markers (vertical dotted lines)
These lines highlight timestamps where the group’s internals changed regime (participation, cohesion, pressure, flow).
They’re designed as an early warning lens - not a “trend line”.
- Green: constructive structure improving
- Amber: transition / mixed signals
- Red: rotation / distribution risk
Context
Broad participation
Breadth answers: how many constituents are participating? Rising breadth supports durability. Divergence is the early warning: price can look fine while breadth fades (fragility), or price can stall while breadth improves (accumulation).
Regime markers (vertical dotted lines)
These lines highlight timestamps where the group’s internals changed regime (participation, cohesion, pressure, flow).
They’re designed as an early warning lens - not a “trend line”.
- Green: constructive structure improving
- Amber: transition / mixed signals
- Red: rotation / distribution risk
Context
Deceleration
This is the change in participation. It’s often earlier than trend. Persistent deceleration can precede breakdown. Persistent acceleration can confirm a new phase even before price expands.
Regime markers (vertical dotted lines)
These lines highlight timestamps where the group’s internals changed regime (participation, cohesion, pressure, flow).
They’re designed as an early warning lens - not a “trend line”.
- Green: constructive structure improving
- Amber: transition / mixed signals
- Red: rotation / distribution risk
Context
Cohesion improving
Dispersion measures whether the group is moving together. Rising dispersion is a classic early sign of rotation/distribution — the group fractures internally before price necessarily breaks.
Regime markers (vertical dotted lines)
These lines highlight timestamps where the group’s internals changed regime (participation, cohesion, pressure, flow).
They’re designed as an early warning lens - not a “trend line”.
- Green: constructive structure improving
- Amber: transition / mixed signals
- Red: rotation / distribution risk
Context
Pressure easing
Mean reversion pressure is a stability lens. Rising pressure means the group is getting statistically stretched and more vulnerable to volatility or reversal. It’s especially important when participation is not improving.
Regime markers (vertical dotted lines)
These lines highlight timestamps where the group’s internals changed regime (participation, cohesion, pressure, flow).
They’re designed as an early warning lens - not a “trend line”.
- Green: constructive structure improving
- Amber: transition / mixed signals
- Red: rotation / distribution risk
Context
Demand weakening
This is a demand/supply lens: the share of total activity happening on up weeks. Demand weakening while activity rises can be a clean distribution tell. Demand strengthening during sideways price can be early accumulation.
Regime markers (vertical dotted lines)
These lines highlight timestamps where the group’s internals changed regime (participation, cohesion, pressure, flow).
They’re designed as an early warning lens - not a “trend line”.
- Green: constructive structure improving
- Amber: transition / mixed signals
- Red: rotation / distribution risk
Context
Rotation lens
Tracks how quickly the leadership set rotates. Rising turnover often appears during transition (chop, distribution, regime change). Low turnover tends to show a coherent move with conviction.
Regime markers (vertical dotted lines)
These lines highlight timestamps where the group’s internals changed regime (participation, cohesion, pressure, flow).
They’re designed as an early warning lens - not a “trend line”.
- Green: constructive structure improving
- Amber: transition / mixed signals
- Red: rotation / distribution risk
Context
Concentration lens
Compares leaders vs the rest. If leaders rise while the rest lags, the move becomes narrow and fragile. When the rest catches up, breadth improves and structure often strengthens.
Regime markers (vertical dotted lines)
These lines highlight timestamps where the group’s internals changed regime (participation, cohesion, pressure, flow).
They’re designed as an early warning lens - not a “trend line”.
- Green: constructive structure improving
- Amber: transition / mixed signals
- Red: rotation / distribution risk
Context
Fragility detector
Measures how concentrated weekly group movement is. If a small set of names drives most of the move, the group can look strong while structure quietly weakens. Broad contribution is typically healthier than a ‘carried’ market.
Regime markers (vertical dotted lines)
These lines highlight timestamps where the group’s internals changed regime (participation, cohesion, pressure, flow).
They’re designed as an early warning lens - not a “trend line”.
- Green: constructive structure improving
- Amber: transition / mixed signals
- Red: rotation / distribution risk