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Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc

CMCL LSE
Market Report Console Signals Backtest Markov
Week Ending
Fri, 19 Sep 2025
Open
2270.0000
Close
2430.0000
High
2450.0000
Low
2260.0000
Trend
0.80534
Rating
★★☆☆☆
Sharemaestro [Charts]
CMCL weekly Smart Money chart, closing 2025-09-19.
CMCL weekly Market Snapshot chart, closing 2025-09-19.
CMCL weekly Market Cycle chart, closing 2025-09-19.
CMCL weekly Market Demand chart, closing 2025-09-19.
CMCL weekly Market Strength chart, closing 2025-09-19.
CMCL weekly Activity chart, closing 2025-09-19.
CMCL weekly Market Dynamics chart, closing 2025-09-19.
CMCL weekly Market Threshold chart, closing 2025-09-19.

Weekly Report

Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc (CMCL) Week Ending: Fri, 19 Sep 2025 ★★☆☆☆
Weekly Report
Price
Weekly Close

Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc closed at 2430.0000 (7.05% WoW) . Data window ends Fri, 19 Sep 2025.

Price Window45.07% over 8w
Return Volatility5.04%
Volume TrendFalling
MA StackConstructive
Price vs MAsAbove
Baseline Deviation1.36% (widening)
What stands out

How to read this — Price slope is upward, indicating persistent buying over the window. Elevated weekly volatility increases whipsaw risk. Volume trend diverges from price — watch for fatigue or rotation. Returns are positively correlated with volume — strength tends to arrive on higher activity. Price is stretched above its baseline; consolidation risk rises if activity fades. Constructive MA stack supports the up-drift; pullbacks may find support at the 8–13 week region. Price holds above key averages, indicating constructive participation.

What to watch

Up-slope supports buying interest; pullbacks may be contained if activity stays firm. Because liquidity isn’t confirming, prefer evidence of fresh demand before chasing moves.

Trend
Sharemaestro Trend Line

Gauge maps the trend signal to a 0–100 scale.

Gauge Reading80.5/100
DirectionRising
Accelerationdecelerating
Gauge VolatilityLow
Trend StateUptrend at Risk
EventHigh-regime breakdown (from ≥0.80)
High-Regime Distribution 2/2 (100.0%) • Distributing
What stands out

How to read this — Gauge is elevated but momentum is rolling over; topping risk is rising. Notable breakdown from ≥0.80 weakens trend quality.

What to watch

Stay alert: protect gains or seek confirmation before adding risk.

Valuation Model Snapshot Fri, 19 Sep 2025
Target 2741
Current2430
RatingModerately Undervalued
Interpretation

Price is below fair value; potential upside if momentum constructive.

Conclusion

Negative ★★☆☆☆

Negative setup. ★★☆☆☆ confidence. Price window: 45. Trend: Uptrend at Risk; gauge 80. In combination, liquidity diverges from price.

Strengths
  • Momentum is bullish and rising
  • Price holds above 8w & 26w averages
  • Constructive moving-average stack
  • Solid multi-week performance
Watch-outs
  • High-level but rolling over (topping risk)
  • Liquidity diverges from price
  • High return volatility raises whipsaw risk
  • Sellers active at elevated levels (distribution)

Why: Price window 45.07% over 8w. Return volatility 5.04%. Volume trend falling. Liquidity divergence with price. Trend state uptrend at risk. High-regime (0.80–1.00) downticks 2/2 (100.0%) • Distributing. MA stack constructive. Baseline deviation 1.36% (widening). Momentum bullish and rising. Valuation supportive skew.

Price Window Endpoint return over the last N weeks using weekly closes: (Closelast − Closefirst)/Closefirst × 100.
Return Volatility Std-dev of weekly returns (%). Higher = choppier.
Volume Trend Slope of weekly volume across the window (rising / falling / flat).
Vs N-week High % distance of latest close from the highest close in the window.
Accumulation Weeks Weeks price rose on higher volume than the prior week.
Distribution Weeks Weeks price fell on higher volume than the prior week.
MA Stack Relative order of short/intermediate/long MAs. Short > long is constructive.
4–8 Crossover Latest cross of 4-week vs 8-week MA (bullish / bearish / none).
Price vs MAs Whether the close is above/below key averages (8w & 26w).
Baseline Deviation % distance from the market-cycle baseline (fair-value track).
Gauge Reading Smoothed trend signal mapped to 0–100.
Direction Slope sign of the gauge across the window (rising / falling).
Acceleration Change in the slope of the gauge (accelerating / decelerating).
Gauge Volatility Variability of the gauge (low / normal / high).
Zone Label Classification by level (Bullish / Neutral / Bearish).
Target Price (Flag) If flagged: Positive/Negative stance. Otherwise: numeric fair value.
Composite Score Overall model score (0–10).
Hybrid Efficiency Efficiency of growth × quality (0–10).
Rating Model’s verdict for the snapshot.
Weekly Close Sparkline of the last 52 weekly closing prices.
Trend Line Sparkline of the smoothed trend signal over the last 52 weeks.

Tip: Most metrics include a hover tooltip where they appear in the report.

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Week Ending: September 19, 2025