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Orica Limited

ORI ASX
Market Report Console Signals Backtest Markov
Week Ending
Mon, 15 Sep 2025
Open
20.9600
Close
21.2000
High
21.2700
Low
20.8900
Trend
0.79243
Rating
★★☆☆☆
Sharemaestro [Charts]
ORI weekly Smart Money chart, closing 2025-09-15.
ORI weekly Market Snapshot chart, closing 2025-09-15.
ORI weekly Market Cycle chart, closing 2025-09-15.
ORI weekly Market Demand chart, closing 2025-09-15.
ORI weekly Market Strength chart, closing 2025-09-15.
ORI weekly Activity chart, closing 2025-09-15.
ORI weekly Market Dynamics chart, closing 2025-09-15.
ORI weekly Market Threshold chart, closing 2025-09-15.

Weekly Report

Orica Limited (ORI) Week Ending: Mon, 15 Sep 2025 ★★☆☆☆
Weekly Report
Price
Weekly Close

Orica Limited closed at 21.2000 (1.15% WoW) . Data window ends Mon, 15 Sep 2025.

Price Window-0.47% over 8w
Return Volatility0.93%
Volume TrendRising
Vs 8w High-3.55%
MA StackConstructive
What stands out

How to read this — Price slope is downward, indicating persistent supply pressure. Low weekly volatility favours steadier follow-through. Volume trend diverges from price — watch for fatigue or rotation. Distance to baseline is narrowing — reverting closer to its fair-value track. Constructive MA stack supports the up-drift; pullbacks may find support at the 8–13 week region.

What to watch

Down-slope argues for patience; rallies can fade sooner unless participation improves. Because liquidity isn’t confirming, prefer evidence of fresh demand before chasing moves.

Trend
Sharemaestro Trend Line

Gauge maps the trend signal to a 0–100 scale.

Gauge Reading79.2/100
DirectionRising
Accelerationdecelerating
Trend StateUptrend at Risk
EventHigh-regime breakdown (from ≥0.80)
High-Regime Distribution 1/2 (50.0%) • Accumulating
What stands out

How to read this — Gauge is elevated but momentum is rolling over; topping risk is rising. Notable breakdown from ≥0.80 weakens trend quality.

What to watch

Stay alert: protect gains or seek confirmation before adding risk.

Valuation Model Snapshot Sun, 21 Sep 2025
Target 31.24
Current21.12
RatingDeeply Undervalued
Interpretation

Price is below fair value; potential upside if momentum constructive.

Conclusion

Negative ★★☆☆☆

Negative setup. ★★☆☆☆ confidence. Price window: -0. Trend: Uptrend at Risk; gauge 79. In combination, liquidity diverges from price.

Strengths
  • Momentum is bullish and rising
  • Constructive moving-average stack
  • Low return volatility supports durability
Watch-outs
  • High-level but rolling over (topping risk)
  • Price is not above key averages
  • Liquidity diverges from price
  • Negative multi-week performance

Why: Price window -0.47% over 8w. Close is -3.55% below the prior-window high. Return volatility 0.93%. Volume trend rising. Liquidity divergence with price. Trend state uptrend at risk. High-regime (0.80–1.00) downticks 1/2 (50.0%) • Accumulating. MA stack constructive. Momentum bullish and rising. Valuation supportive skew.

Price Window Endpoint return over the last N weeks using weekly closes: (Closelast − Closefirst)/Closefirst × 100.
Return Volatility Std-dev of weekly returns (%). Higher = choppier.
Volume Trend Slope of weekly volume across the window (rising / falling / flat).
Vs N-week High % distance of latest close from the highest close in the window.
Accumulation Weeks Weeks price rose on higher volume than the prior week.
Distribution Weeks Weeks price fell on higher volume than the prior week.
MA Stack Relative order of short/intermediate/long MAs. Short > long is constructive.
4–8 Crossover Latest cross of 4-week vs 8-week MA (bullish / bearish / none).
Price vs MAs Whether the close is above/below key averages (8w & 26w).
Baseline Deviation % distance from the market-cycle baseline (fair-value track).
Gauge Reading Smoothed trend signal mapped to 0–100.
Direction Slope sign of the gauge across the window (rising / falling).
Acceleration Change in the slope of the gauge (accelerating / decelerating).
Gauge Volatility Variability of the gauge (low / normal / high).
Zone Label Classification by level (Bullish / Neutral / Bearish).
Target Price (Flag) If flagged: Positive/Negative stance. Otherwise: numeric fair value.
Composite Score Overall model score (0–10).
Hybrid Efficiency Efficiency of growth × quality (0–10).
Rating Model’s verdict for the snapshot.
Weekly Close Sparkline of the last 52 weekly closing prices.
Trend Line Sparkline of the smoothed trend signal over the last 52 weeks.

Tip: Most metrics include a hover tooltip where they appear in the report.

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Week Ending: September 15, 2025