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Grafton Group plc

GFTU LSE
Market Report Console Signals Backtest Markov
Week Ending
Fri, 19 Sep 2025
Open
900.0000
Close
882.9000
High
900.0000
Low
873.7000
Trend
0.35115
Sharemaestro [Charts]
GFTU weekly Smart Money chart, closing 2025-09-19.
GFTU weekly Market Snapshot chart, closing 2025-09-19.
GFTU weekly Market Cycle chart, closing 2025-09-19.
GFTU weekly Market Demand chart, closing 2025-09-19.
GFTU weekly Market Strength chart, closing 2025-09-19.
GFTU weekly Activity chart, closing 2025-09-19.
GFTU weekly Market Dynamics chart, closing 2025-09-19.
GFTU weekly Market Threshold chart, closing 2025-09-19.

Weekly Report

Grafton Group plc (GFTU) Week Ending: Fri, 19 Sep 2025 ★★☆☆☆
Weekly Report
Price
Weekly Close

Grafton Group plc closed at 882.9000 (-1.90% WoW) . Data window ends Fri, 19 Sep 2025.

Price Window-0.23% over 8w
Return Volatility1.48%
Volume TrendRising
Vs 8w High-0.83%
4–8 CrossoverBullish
What stands out

How to read this — Price slope is upward, indicating persistent buying over the window. Low weekly volatility favours steadier follow-through. Volume and price are moving in the same direction — a constructive confirmation. Returns are negatively correlated with volume — strength may come on lighter activity. Fresh short-term crossover improves near-term tone.

What to watch

Up-slope supports buying interest; pullbacks may be contained if activity stays firm.

Trend
Sharemaestro Trend Line

Gauge maps the trend signal to a 0–100 scale.

Gauge Reading35.1/100
DirectionFalling
Accelerationdecelerating
Gauge VolatilityHigh
Trend StateDowntrend Confirmed
Momentum Drawdown28.5 pts from 8w peak
EventMidline failure (~0.50) after strength
EventBear control (sub-0.40)
What stands out

How to read this — Bearish zone with falling momentum — sellers in control. Loss of the ~0.50 midline after strength suggests regime shift. Sub-0.40 print confirms downside control.

What to watch

Bias remains lower; rallies are suspect unless gauge reclaims 0.50/0.60.

Valuation Model Snapshot Fri, 19 Sep 2025
Target Positive
Current883
RatingExtremely Undervalued
Interpretation

The flag is positive: favourable upside skew with supportive conditions.

Conclusion

Negative ★★☆☆☆

Negative setup. ★★☆☆☆ confidence. Price window: -0. Trend: Downtrend Confirmed; gauge 35. In combination, liquidity confirms the move.

Strengths
  • Liquidity confirms the price trend
  • Low return volatility supports durability
Watch-outs
  • Bearish control with falling momentum
  • Momentum is weak/falling
  • Price is not above key averages
  • Negative multi-week performance

Why: Price window -0.23% over 8w. Close is -0.83% below the prior-window high. Return volatility 1.48%. Volume trend rising. Liquidity convergence with price. Trend state downtrend confirmed. 4–8w crossover bullish. Momentum bearish and falling. Valuation stance positive.

Price Window Endpoint return over the last N weeks using weekly closes: (Closelast − Closefirst)/Closefirst × 100.
Return Volatility Std-dev of weekly returns (%). Higher = choppier.
Volume Trend Slope of weekly volume across the window (rising / falling / flat).
Vs N-week High % distance of latest close from the highest close in the window.
Accumulation Weeks Weeks price rose on higher volume than the prior week.
Distribution Weeks Weeks price fell on higher volume than the prior week.
MA Stack Relative order of short/intermediate/long MAs. Short > long is constructive.
4–8 Crossover Latest cross of 4-week vs 8-week MA (bullish / bearish / none).
Price vs MAs Whether the close is above/below key averages (8w & 26w).
Baseline Deviation % distance from the market-cycle baseline (fair-value track).
Gauge Reading Smoothed trend signal mapped to 0–100.
Direction Slope sign of the gauge across the window (rising / falling).
Acceleration Change in the slope of the gauge (accelerating / decelerating).
Gauge Volatility Variability of the gauge (low / normal / high).
Zone Label Classification by level (Bullish / Neutral / Bearish).
Target Price (Flag) If flagged: Positive/Negative stance. Otherwise: numeric fair value.
Composite Score Overall model score (0–10).
Hybrid Efficiency Efficiency of growth × quality (0–10).
Rating Model’s verdict for the snapshot.
Weekly Close Sparkline of the last 52 weekly closing prices.
Trend Line Sparkline of the smoothed trend signal over the last 52 weeks.

Tip: Most metrics include a hover tooltip where they appear in the report.

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Week Ending: September 19, 2025