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Kogan.com Ltd

KGN ASX
Market Report Console Signals Backtest Markov
Week Ending
Mon, 15 Sep 2025
Open
3.7600
Close
3.7300
High
3.7700
Low
3.7200
Trend
0.13471
Sharemaestro [Charts]
KGN weekly Smart Money chart, closing 2025-09-15.
KGN weekly Market Snapshot chart, closing 2025-09-15.
KGN weekly Market Cycle chart, closing 2025-09-15.
KGN weekly Market Demand chart, closing 2025-09-15.
KGN weekly Market Strength chart, closing 2025-09-15.
KGN weekly Activity chart, closing 2025-09-15.
KGN weekly Market Dynamics chart, closing 2025-09-15.
KGN weekly Market Threshold chart, closing 2025-09-15.

Weekly Report

Kogan.com Ltd (KGN) Week Ending: Mon, 15 Sep 2025 ★★☆☆☆
Weekly Report
Price
Weekly Close

Kogan.com Ltd closed at 3.7300 (-0.80% WoW) . Data window ends Mon, 15 Sep 2025.

Price Window-2.86% over 8w
Return Volatility1.61%
Volume TrendFalling
Vs 8w High-7.44%
MA StackWeak
4–8 CrossoverBearish
Price vs MAsBelow
What stands out

How to read this — Price slope is downward, indicating persistent supply pressure. Low weekly volatility favours steadier follow-through. Volume and price are moving in the same direction — a constructive confirmation. Weak MA stack argues for caution; rallies can fail near the 8–13 week region. Fresh short-term downside crossover weakens near-term tone. Price sits below key averages, keeping pressure on the tape.

What to watch

Down-slope argues for patience; rallies can fade sooner unless participation improves.

Trend
Sharemaestro Trend Line

Gauge maps the trend signal to a 0–100 scale.

Gauge Reading13.5/100
DirectionFalling
Accelerationaccelerating
Gauge VolatilityLow
Trend StateBottoming Attempt
Low-Regime Accumulation 4/7 (57.0%) • Accumulating
What stands out

How to read this — Bearish backdrop but short-term momentum is improving; confirmation still needed.

What to watch

Early improvement — look for a reclaim of 0.50→0.60 to validate.

Valuation Model Snapshot Sun, 21 Sep 2025
Target 2.62
Current3.65
RatingSignificantly Overvalued
Interpretation

Price is above fair value; upside may be capped without catalysts.

Conclusion

Negative ★★☆☆☆

Negative setup. ★★☆☆☆ confidence. Price window: -2. Trend: Bottoming Attempt; gauge 13. In combination, liquidity confirms the move.

Strengths
  • Early improvement from bearish zone (bottoming attempt)
  • Liquidity confirms the price trend
  • Low return volatility supports durability
Watch-outs
  • Momentum is weak/falling
  • Price is not above key averages
  • Weak moving-average stack
  • Negative multi-week performance

Why: Price window -2.86% over 8w. Close is -7.44% below the prior-window high. Return volatility 1.61%. Volume trend falling. Liquidity convergence with price. Trend state bottoming attempt. Low-regime (≤0.25) upticks 4/7 (57.0%) • Accumulating. MA stack weak. 4–8w crossover bearish. Momentum bearish and falling. Valuation limited upside without catalysts.

Price Window Endpoint return over the last N weeks using weekly closes: (Closelast − Closefirst)/Closefirst × 100.
Return Volatility Std-dev of weekly returns (%). Higher = choppier.
Volume Trend Slope of weekly volume across the window (rising / falling / flat).
Vs N-week High % distance of latest close from the highest close in the window.
Accumulation Weeks Weeks price rose on higher volume than the prior week.
Distribution Weeks Weeks price fell on higher volume than the prior week.
MA Stack Relative order of short/intermediate/long MAs. Short > long is constructive.
4–8 Crossover Latest cross of 4-week vs 8-week MA (bullish / bearish / none).
Price vs MAs Whether the close is above/below key averages (8w & 26w).
Baseline Deviation % distance from the market-cycle baseline (fair-value track).
Gauge Reading Smoothed trend signal mapped to 0–100.
Direction Slope sign of the gauge across the window (rising / falling).
Acceleration Change in the slope of the gauge (accelerating / decelerating).
Gauge Volatility Variability of the gauge (low / normal / high).
Zone Label Classification by level (Bullish / Neutral / Bearish).
Target Price (Flag) If flagged: Positive/Negative stance. Otherwise: numeric fair value.
Composite Score Overall model score (0–10).
Hybrid Efficiency Efficiency of growth × quality (0–10).
Rating Model’s verdict for the snapshot.
Weekly Close Sparkline of the last 52 weekly closing prices.
Trend Line Sparkline of the smoothed trend signal over the last 52 weeks.

Tip: Most metrics include a hover tooltip where they appear in the report.

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Week Ending: September 15, 2025