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Retail Food Group Limited

RFG ASX
Market Report Console Signals Backtest Markov
Week Ending
Mon, 15 Sep 2025
Open
1.4400
Close
1.4000
High
1.4450
Low
1.4000
Trend
0.21712
Rating
★★☆☆☆
Sharemaestro [Charts]
RFG weekly Smart Money chart, closing 2025-09-15.
RFG weekly Market Snapshot chart, closing 2025-09-15.
RFG weekly Market Cycle chart, closing 2025-09-15.
RFG weekly Market Demand chart, closing 2025-09-15.
RFG weekly Market Strength chart, closing 2025-09-15.
RFG weekly Activity chart, closing 2025-09-15.
RFG weekly Market Dynamics chart, closing 2025-09-15.
RFG weekly Market Threshold chart, closing 2025-09-15.

Weekly Report

Retail Food Group Limited (RFG) Week Ending: Mon, 15 Sep 2025 ★★☆☆☆
Weekly Report
Price
Weekly Close

Retail Food Group Limited closed at 1.4000 (-2.78% WoW) . Data window ends Mon, 15 Sep 2025.

Price Window-27.65% over 8w
Return Volatility4.14%
Volume TrendRising
Vs 8w High-32.69%
MA StackWeak
Price vs MAsBelow
What stands out

How to read this — Price slope is downward, indicating persistent supply pressure. Elevated weekly volatility increases whipsaw risk. Volume trend diverges from price — watch for fatigue or rotation. Returns are negatively correlated with volume — strength may come on lighter activity. Distance to baseline is narrowing — reverting closer to its fair-value track. Weak MA stack argues for caution; rallies can fail near the 8–13 week region. Price sits below key averages, keeping pressure on the tape.

What to watch

Down-slope argues for patience; rallies can fade sooner unless participation improves. Because liquidity isn’t confirming, prefer evidence of fresh demand before chasing moves.

Trend
Sharemaestro Trend Line

Gauge maps the trend signal to a 0–100 scale.

Gauge Reading21.7/100
DirectionRising
Accelerationdecelerating
Gauge VolatilityHigh
Trend StateRange / Neutral
Momentum Drawdown19.9 pts from 8w peak
EventBear control (sub-0.40)
Low-Regime Accumulation 3/3 (100.0%) • Accumulating
What stands out

How to read this — Range-bound conditions; conviction is limited until a break or acceleration emerges. Sub-0.40 print confirms downside control.

What to watch

Wait for a directional break or improving acceleration.

Valuation Model Snapshot Sun, 21 Sep 2025
Target 0.82
Current1.45
RatingSignificantly Overvalued
Interpretation

Price is above fair value; upside may be capped without catalysts.

Conclusion

Negative ★★☆☆☆

Negative setup. ★★☆☆☆ confidence. Price window: -27. Trend: Range / Neutral; gauge 21. In combination, liquidity diverges from price.

Strengths
  • Buyers step in at depressed levels (accumulation)
Watch-outs
  • Momentum is weak/falling
  • Price is not above key averages
  • Weak moving-average stack
  • Liquidity diverges from price

Why: Price window -27.65% over 8w. Close is -32.69% below the prior-window high. Return volatility 4.14%. Volume trend rising. Liquidity divergence with price. Trend state range / neutral. Low-regime (≤0.25) upticks 3/3 (100.0%) • Accumulating. MA stack weak. Momentum bearish and rising. Valuation limited upside without catalysts.

Price Window Endpoint return over the last N weeks using weekly closes: (Closelast − Closefirst)/Closefirst × 100.
Return Volatility Std-dev of weekly returns (%). Higher = choppier.
Volume Trend Slope of weekly volume across the window (rising / falling / flat).
Vs N-week High % distance of latest close from the highest close in the window.
Accumulation Weeks Weeks price rose on higher volume than the prior week.
Distribution Weeks Weeks price fell on higher volume than the prior week.
MA Stack Relative order of short/intermediate/long MAs. Short > long is constructive.
4–8 Crossover Latest cross of 4-week vs 8-week MA (bullish / bearish / none).
Price vs MAs Whether the close is above/below key averages (8w & 26w).
Baseline Deviation % distance from the market-cycle baseline (fair-value track).
Gauge Reading Smoothed trend signal mapped to 0–100.
Direction Slope sign of the gauge across the window (rising / falling).
Acceleration Change in the slope of the gauge (accelerating / decelerating).
Gauge Volatility Variability of the gauge (low / normal / high).
Zone Label Classification by level (Bullish / Neutral / Bearish).
Target Price (Flag) If flagged: Positive/Negative stance. Otherwise: numeric fair value.
Composite Score Overall model score (0–10).
Hybrid Efficiency Efficiency of growth × quality (0–10).
Rating Model’s verdict for the snapshot.
Weekly Close Sparkline of the last 52 weekly closing prices.
Trend Line Sparkline of the smoothed trend signal over the last 52 weeks.

Tip: Most metrics include a hover tooltip where they appear in the report.

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Week Ending: September 15, 2025