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Treasury Wine Estates Limited

TWE ASX
Market Report Console Signals Backtest Markov
Week Ending
Mon, 15 Sep 2025
Open
7.6000
Close
7.5500
High
7.6100
Low
7.4800
Trend
0.12998
Sharemaestro [Charts]
TWE weekly Smart Money chart, closing 2025-09-15.
TWE weekly Market Snapshot chart, closing 2025-09-15.
TWE weekly Market Cycle chart, closing 2025-09-15.
TWE weekly Market Demand chart, closing 2025-09-15.
TWE weekly Market Strength chart, closing 2025-09-15.
TWE weekly Activity chart, closing 2025-09-15.
TWE weekly Market Dynamics chart, closing 2025-09-15.
TWE weekly Market Threshold chart, closing 2025-09-15.

Weekly Report

Treasury Wine Estates Limited (TWE) Week Ending: Mon, 15 Sep 2025 ★★★☆☆
Weekly Report
Price
Weekly Close

Treasury Wine Estates Limited closed at 7.5500 (-0.66% WoW) . Data window ends Mon, 15 Sep 2025.

Price Window0.27% over 8w
Volume TrendFalling
Vs 8w High-4.79%
Price vs MAsBelow
What stands out

How to read this — Price slope is upward, indicating persistent buying over the window. Volume trend diverges from price — watch for fatigue or rotation. Returns are negatively correlated with volume — strength may come on lighter activity. Price sits below key averages, keeping pressure on the tape.

What to watch

Up-slope supports buying interest; pullbacks may be contained if activity stays firm. Because liquidity isn’t confirming, prefer evidence of fresh demand before chasing moves.

Trend
Sharemaestro Trend Line

Gauge maps the trend signal to a 0–100 scale.

Gauge Reading13.0/100
DirectionRising
Accelerationaccelerating
Gauge VolatilityLow
Trend StateBottoming Attempt
Low-Regime Accumulation 4/7 (57.0%) • Accumulating
What stands out

How to read this — Bearish backdrop but short-term momentum is improving; confirmation still needed.

What to watch

Early improvement — look for a reclaim of 0.50→0.60 to validate.

Valuation Model Snapshot Sun, 21 Sep 2025
Target Positive
Current7.38
RatingExtremely Undervalued
Interpretation

The flag is positive: favourable upside skew with supportive conditions.

Conclusion

Neutral ★★★☆☆

Neutral setup. ★★★☆☆ confidence. Price window: 0. Trend: Bottoming Attempt; gauge 13. In combination, liquidity diverges from price.

Strengths
  • Early improvement from bearish zone (bottoming attempt)
Watch-outs
  • Price is not above key averages
  • Liquidity diverges from price

Why: Price window 0.27% over 8w. Close is -4.79% below the prior-window high. Volume trend falling. Liquidity divergence with price. Trend state bottoming attempt. Low-regime (≤0.25) upticks 4/7 (57.0%) • Accumulating. Momentum neutral and rising. Valuation stance positive.

Price Window Endpoint return over the last N weeks using weekly closes: (Closelast − Closefirst)/Closefirst × 100.
Return Volatility Std-dev of weekly returns (%). Higher = choppier.
Volume Trend Slope of weekly volume across the window (rising / falling / flat).
Vs N-week High % distance of latest close from the highest close in the window.
Accumulation Weeks Weeks price rose on higher volume than the prior week.
Distribution Weeks Weeks price fell on higher volume than the prior week.
MA Stack Relative order of short/intermediate/long MAs. Short > long is constructive.
4–8 Crossover Latest cross of 4-week vs 8-week MA (bullish / bearish / none).
Price vs MAs Whether the close is above/below key averages (8w & 26w).
Baseline Deviation % distance from the market-cycle baseline (fair-value track).
Gauge Reading Smoothed trend signal mapped to 0–100.
Direction Slope sign of the gauge across the window (rising / falling).
Acceleration Change in the slope of the gauge (accelerating / decelerating).
Gauge Volatility Variability of the gauge (low / normal / high).
Zone Label Classification by level (Bullish / Neutral / Bearish).
Target Price (Flag) If flagged: Positive/Negative stance. Otherwise: numeric fair value.
Composite Score Overall model score (0–10).
Hybrid Efficiency Efficiency of growth × quality (0–10).
Rating Model’s verdict for the snapshot.
Weekly Close Sparkline of the last 52 weekly closing prices.
Trend Line Sparkline of the smoothed trend signal over the last 52 weeks.

Tip: Most metrics include a hover tooltip where they appear in the report.

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Week Ending: September 15, 2025