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Megaport Limited

MP1 ASX
Market Report Console Signals Backtest Markov
Week Ending
Mon, 15 Sep 2025
Open
14.7600
Close
14.6600
High
14.8200
Low
14.3600
Trend
0.79604
Sharemaestro [Charts]
MP1 weekly Smart Money chart, closing 2025-09-15.
MP1 weekly Market Snapshot chart, closing 2025-09-15.
MP1 weekly Market Cycle chart, closing 2025-09-15.
MP1 weekly Market Demand chart, closing 2025-09-15.
MP1 weekly Market Strength chart, closing 2025-09-15.
MP1 weekly Activity chart, closing 2025-09-15.
MP1 weekly Market Dynamics chart, closing 2025-09-15.
MP1 weekly Market Threshold chart, closing 2025-09-15.

Weekly Report

Megaport Limited (MP1) Week Ending: Mon, 15 Sep 2025 ★★☆☆☆
Weekly Report
Price
Weekly Close

Megaport Limited closed at 14.6600 (-0.68% WoW) . Data window ends Mon, 15 Sep 2025.

Price Window-2.46% over 8w
Return Volatility4.59%
Volume TrendFalling
Vs 8w High-10.83%
MA StackConstructive
What stands out

How to read this — Price slope is downward, indicating persistent supply pressure. Elevated weekly volatility increases whipsaw risk. Volume and price are moving in the same direction — a constructive confirmation. Returns are positively correlated with volume — strength tends to arrive on higher activity. Constructive MA stack supports the up-drift; pullbacks may find support at the 8–13 week region.

What to watch

Down-slope argues for patience; rallies can fade sooner unless participation improves.

Trend
Sharemaestro Trend Line

Gauge maps the trend signal to a 0–100 scale.

Gauge Reading79.6/100
DirectionFalling
Accelerationdecelerating
Gauge VolatilityLow
Trend StateUptrend at Risk
EventHigh-regime breakdown (from ≥0.80)
High-Regime Distribution 5/7 (71.0%) • Distributing
What stands out

How to read this — Gauge is elevated but momentum is rolling over; topping risk is rising. Notable breakdown from ≥0.80 weakens trend quality.

What to watch

Stay alert: protect gains or seek confirmation before adding risk.

Valuation Model Snapshot Sun, 21 Sep 2025
Target 9.46
Current15.01
RatingSignificantly Overvalued
Interpretation

Price is above fair value; upside may be capped without catalysts.

Conclusion

Negative ★★☆☆☆

Negative setup. ★★☆☆☆ confidence. Price window: -2. Trend: Uptrend at Risk; gauge 79. In combination, liquidity confirms the move.

Strengths
  • Constructive moving-average stack
  • Liquidity confirms the price trend
Watch-outs
  • High-level but rolling over (topping risk)
  • Momentum is weak/falling
  • Price is not above key averages
  • High return volatility raises whipsaw risk

Why: Price window -2.46% over 8w. Close is -10.83% below the prior-window high. Return volatility 4.59%. Volume trend falling. Liquidity convergence with price. Trend state uptrend at risk. High-regime (0.80–1.00) downticks 5/7 (71.0%) • Distributing. MA stack constructive. Momentum neutral and falling. Valuation limited upside without catalysts.

Price Window Endpoint return over the last N weeks using weekly closes: (Closelast − Closefirst)/Closefirst × 100.
Return Volatility Std-dev of weekly returns (%). Higher = choppier.
Volume Trend Slope of weekly volume across the window (rising / falling / flat).
Vs N-week High % distance of latest close from the highest close in the window.
Accumulation Weeks Weeks price rose on higher volume than the prior week.
Distribution Weeks Weeks price fell on higher volume than the prior week.
MA Stack Relative order of short/intermediate/long MAs. Short > long is constructive.
4–8 Crossover Latest cross of 4-week vs 8-week MA (bullish / bearish / none).
Price vs MAs Whether the close is above/below key averages (8w & 26w).
Baseline Deviation % distance from the market-cycle baseline (fair-value track).
Gauge Reading Smoothed trend signal mapped to 0–100.
Direction Slope sign of the gauge across the window (rising / falling).
Acceleration Change in the slope of the gauge (accelerating / decelerating).
Gauge Volatility Variability of the gauge (low / normal / high).
Zone Label Classification by level (Bullish / Neutral / Bearish).
Target Price (Flag) If flagged: Positive/Negative stance. Otherwise: numeric fair value.
Composite Score Overall model score (0–10).
Hybrid Efficiency Efficiency of growth × quality (0–10).
Rating Model’s verdict for the snapshot.
Weekly Close Sparkline of the last 52 weekly closing prices.
Trend Line Sparkline of the smoothed trend signal over the last 52 weeks.

Tip: Most metrics include a hover tooltip where they appear in the report.

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Week Ending: September 15, 2025