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Alliance Aviation Services Limited

AQZ ASX
Market Report Console Signals Backtest Markov
Week Ending
Mon, 15 Sep 2025
Open
2.3300
Close
2.2800
High
2.3500
Low
2.2800
Trend
0.30780
Sharemaestro [Charts]
AQZ weekly Smart Money chart, closing 2025-09-15.
AQZ weekly Market Snapshot chart, closing 2025-09-15.
AQZ weekly Market Cycle chart, closing 2025-09-15.
AQZ weekly Market Demand chart, closing 2025-09-15.
AQZ weekly Market Strength chart, closing 2025-09-15.
AQZ weekly Activity chart, closing 2025-09-15.
AQZ weekly Market Dynamics chart, closing 2025-09-15.
AQZ weekly Market Threshold chart, closing 2025-09-15.

Weekly Report

Alliance Aviation Services Limited (AQZ) Week Ending: Mon, 15 Sep 2025 ★★☆☆☆
Weekly Report
Price
Weekly Close

Alliance Aviation Services Limited closed at 2.2800 (-2.15% WoW) . Data window ends Mon, 15 Sep 2025.

Price Window-11.97% over 8w
Return Volatility4.38%
Volume TrendFalling
Vs 8w High-14.93%
Price vs MAsBelow
What stands out

How to read this — Price slope is downward, indicating persistent supply pressure. Elevated weekly volatility increases whipsaw risk. Volume and price are moving in the same direction — a constructive confirmation. Returns are negatively correlated with volume — strength may come on lighter activity. Price sits below key averages, keeping pressure on the tape.

What to watch

Down-slope argues for patience; rallies can fade sooner unless participation improves.

Trend
Sharemaestro Trend Line

Gauge maps the trend signal to a 0–100 scale.

Gauge Reading30.8/100
DirectionRising
Accelerationdecelerating
Gauge VolatilityHigh
Trend StateRange / Neutral
Momentum Drawdown15.1 pts from 8w peak
EventBear control (sub-0.40)
Low-Regime Accumulation 3/3 (100.0%) • Accumulating
What stands out

How to read this — Range-bound conditions; conviction is limited until a break or acceleration emerges. Sub-0.40 print confirms downside control.

What to watch

Wait for a directional break or improving acceleration.

Valuation Model Snapshot Sun, 21 Sep 2025
Target Positive
Current2.25
RatingExtremely Undervalued
Interpretation

The flag is positive: favourable upside skew with supportive conditions.

Conclusion

Negative ★★☆☆☆

Negative setup. ★★☆☆☆ confidence. Price window: -11. Trend: Range / Neutral; gauge 30. In combination, liquidity confirms the move.

Strengths
  • Liquidity confirms the price trend
  • Buyers step in at depressed levels (accumulation)
Watch-outs
  • Momentum is weak/falling
  • Price is not above key averages
  • High return volatility raises whipsaw risk
  • Negative multi-week performance

Why: Price window -11.97% over 8w. Close is -14.93% below the prior-window high. Return volatility 4.38%. Volume trend falling. Liquidity convergence with price. Trend state range / neutral. Low-regime (≤0.25) upticks 3/3 (100.0%) • Accumulating. Momentum bearish and rising. Valuation stance positive.

Price Window Endpoint return over the last N weeks using weekly closes: (Closelast − Closefirst)/Closefirst × 100.
Return Volatility Std-dev of weekly returns (%). Higher = choppier.
Volume Trend Slope of weekly volume across the window (rising / falling / flat).
Vs N-week High % distance of latest close from the highest close in the window.
Accumulation Weeks Weeks price rose on higher volume than the prior week.
Distribution Weeks Weeks price fell on higher volume than the prior week.
MA Stack Relative order of short/intermediate/long MAs. Short > long is constructive.
4–8 Crossover Latest cross of 4-week vs 8-week MA (bullish / bearish / none).
Price vs MAs Whether the close is above/below key averages (8w & 26w).
Baseline Deviation % distance from the market-cycle baseline (fair-value track).
Gauge Reading Smoothed trend signal mapped to 0–100.
Direction Slope sign of the gauge across the window (rising / falling).
Acceleration Change in the slope of the gauge (accelerating / decelerating).
Gauge Volatility Variability of the gauge (low / normal / high).
Zone Label Classification by level (Bullish / Neutral / Bearish).
Target Price (Flag) If flagged: Positive/Negative stance. Otherwise: numeric fair value.
Composite Score Overall model score (0–10).
Hybrid Efficiency Efficiency of growth × quality (0–10).
Rating Model’s verdict for the snapshot.
Weekly Close Sparkline of the last 52 weekly closing prices.
Trend Line Sparkline of the smoothed trend signal over the last 52 weeks.

Tip: Most metrics include a hover tooltip where they appear in the report.

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Week Ending: September 15, 2025