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Assured Guaranty Ltd.

AGO NYSE
Market Report Console Signals Backtest Markov
Week Ending
Fri, 19 Sep 2025
Open
83.1200
Close
83.6300
High
83.9200
Low
82.9000
Trend
0.22345
Rating
★★☆☆☆
Sharemaestro [Charts]
AGO weekly Smart Money chart, closing 2025-09-19.
AGO weekly Market Snapshot chart, closing 2025-09-19.
AGO weekly Market Cycle chart, closing 2025-09-19.
AGO weekly Market Demand chart, closing 2025-09-19.
AGO weekly Market Strength chart, closing 2025-09-19.
AGO weekly Activity chart, closing 2025-09-19.
AGO weekly Market Dynamics chart, closing 2025-09-19.
AGO weekly Market Threshold chart, closing 2025-09-19.

Weekly Report

Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO) Week Ending: Fri, 19 Sep 2025 ★★☆☆☆
Weekly Report
Price
Weekly Close

Assured Guaranty Ltd. closed at 83.6300 (0.61% WoW) . Data window ends Fri, 19 Sep 2025.

Price Window-0.25% over 8w
Return Volatility0.97%
Volume TrendRising
4–8 CrossoverBullish
What stands out

How to read this — Price slope is upward, indicating persistent buying over the window. Low weekly volatility favours steadier follow-through. Volume and price are moving in the same direction — a constructive confirmation. Returns are positively correlated with volume — strength tends to arrive on higher activity. Distance to baseline is narrowing — reverting closer to its fair-value track. Fresh short-term crossover improves near-term tone.

What to watch

Up-slope supports buying interest; pullbacks may be contained if activity stays firm.

Trend
Sharemaestro Trend Line

Gauge maps the trend signal to a 0–100 scale.

Gauge Reading22.3/100
DirectionFalling
Accelerationdecelerating
Trend StateDowntrend Confirmed
Momentum Drawdown13.9 pts from 8w peak
Low-Regime Accumulation 3/5 (60.0%) • Accumulating
What stands out

How to read this — Bearish zone with falling momentum — sellers in control.

What to watch

Bias remains lower; rallies are suspect unless gauge reclaims 0.50/0.60.

Valuation Model Snapshot Fri, 19 Sep 2025
Target 58.45
Current83.63
RatingSignificantly Overvalued
Interpretation

Price is above fair value; upside may be capped without catalysts.

Conclusion

Negative ★★☆☆☆

Negative setup. ★★☆☆☆ confidence. Price window: -0. Trend: Downtrend Confirmed; gauge 22. In combination, liquidity confirms the move.

Strengths
  • Liquidity confirms the price trend
  • Low return volatility supports durability
  • Buyers step in at depressed levels (accumulation)
Watch-outs
  • Bearish control with falling momentum
  • Momentum is weak/falling
  • Price is not above key averages
  • Negative multi-week performance

Why: Price window -0.25% over 8w. Return volatility 0.97%. Volume trend rising. Liquidity convergence with price. Trend state downtrend confirmed. Low-regime (≤0.25) upticks 3/5 (60.0%) • Accumulating. 4–8w crossover bullish. Momentum bearish and falling. Valuation limited upside without catalysts.

Price Window Endpoint return over the last N weeks using weekly closes: (Closelast − Closefirst)/Closefirst × 100.
Return Volatility Std-dev of weekly returns (%). Higher = choppier.
Volume Trend Slope of weekly volume across the window (rising / falling / flat).
Vs N-week High % distance of latest close from the highest close in the window.
Accumulation Weeks Weeks price rose on higher volume than the prior week.
Distribution Weeks Weeks price fell on higher volume than the prior week.
MA Stack Relative order of short/intermediate/long MAs. Short > long is constructive.
4–8 Crossover Latest cross of 4-week vs 8-week MA (bullish / bearish / none).
Price vs MAs Whether the close is above/below key averages (8w & 26w).
Baseline Deviation % distance from the market-cycle baseline (fair-value track).
Gauge Reading Smoothed trend signal mapped to 0–100.
Direction Slope sign of the gauge across the window (rising / falling).
Acceleration Change in the slope of the gauge (accelerating / decelerating).
Gauge Volatility Variability of the gauge (low / normal / high).
Zone Label Classification by level (Bullish / Neutral / Bearish).
Target Price (Flag) If flagged: Positive/Negative stance. Otherwise: numeric fair value.
Composite Score Overall model score (0–10).
Hybrid Efficiency Efficiency of growth × quality (0–10).
Rating Model’s verdict for the snapshot.
Weekly Close Sparkline of the last 52 weekly closing prices.
Trend Line Sparkline of the smoothed trend signal over the last 52 weeks.

Tip: Most metrics include a hover tooltip where they appear in the report.

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Week Ending: September 19, 2025