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Churchill Downs Incorporated

CHDN NASDAQ
Market Report Console Signals Backtest Markov
Week Ending
Fri, 19 Sep 2025
Open
96.9500
Close
95.3000
High
97.9400
Low
94.8600
Trend
0.41793
Sharemaestro [Charts]
CHDN weekly Smart Money chart, closing 2025-09-19.
CHDN weekly Market Snapshot chart, closing 2025-09-19.
CHDN weekly Market Cycle chart, closing 2025-09-19.
CHDN weekly Market Demand chart, closing 2025-09-19.
CHDN weekly Market Strength chart, closing 2025-09-19.
CHDN weekly Activity chart, closing 2025-09-19.
CHDN weekly Market Dynamics chart, closing 2025-09-19.
CHDN weekly Market Threshold chart, closing 2025-09-19.

Weekly Report

Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN) Week Ending: Fri, 19 Sep 2025 ★★★☆☆
Weekly Report
Price
Weekly Close

Churchill Downs Incorporated closed at 95.3000 (-1.70% WoW) . Data window ends Fri, 19 Sep 2025.

Price Window-10.42% over 8w
Return Volatility1.16%
Volume TrendRising
Vs 8w High-10.42%
Price vs MAsBelow
What stands out

How to read this — Price slope is downward, indicating persistent supply pressure. Low weekly volatility favours steadier follow-through. Volume trend diverges from price — watch for fatigue or rotation. Price is extended below its baseline; rebounds can be sharp if demand improves. Distance to baseline is narrowing — reverting closer to its fair-value track. Price sits below key averages, keeping pressure on the tape.

What to watch

Down-slope argues for patience; rallies can fade sooner unless participation improves. Because liquidity isn’t confirming, prefer evidence of fresh demand before chasing moves.

Trend
Sharemaestro Trend Line

Gauge maps the trend signal to a 0–100 scale.

Gauge Reading41.8/100
DirectionRising
Accelerationaccelerating
Gauge VolatilityHigh
Trend StateRange / Neutral
Low-Regime Accumulation 2/4 (50.0%) • Distributing
What stands out

How to read this — Range-bound conditions; conviction is limited until a break or acceleration emerges.

What to watch

Wait for a directional break or improving acceleration.

Valuation Model Snapshot Fri, 19 Sep 2025
Target 117.03
Current95.30
RatingSignificantly Undervalued
Interpretation

Price is below fair value; potential upside if momentum constructive.

Conclusion

Neutral ★★★☆☆

Neutral setup. ★★★☆☆ confidence. Price window: -10. Trend: Range / Neutral; gauge 41. In combination, liquidity diverges from price.

Strengths
  • Low return volatility supports durability
Watch-outs
  • Price is not above key averages
  • Liquidity diverges from price
  • Negative multi-week performance

Why: Price window -10.42% over 8w. Close is -10.42% below the prior-window high. Return volatility 1.16%. Volume trend rising. Liquidity divergence with price. Trend state range / neutral. Low-regime (≤0.25) upticks 2/4 (50.0%) • Distributing. Momentum neutral and rising. Valuation supportive skew.

Price Window Endpoint return over the last N weeks using weekly closes: (Closelast − Closefirst)/Closefirst × 100.
Return Volatility Std-dev of weekly returns (%). Higher = choppier.
Volume Trend Slope of weekly volume across the window (rising / falling / flat).
Vs N-week High % distance of latest close from the highest close in the window.
Accumulation Weeks Weeks price rose on higher volume than the prior week.
Distribution Weeks Weeks price fell on higher volume than the prior week.
MA Stack Relative order of short/intermediate/long MAs. Short > long is constructive.
4–8 Crossover Latest cross of 4-week vs 8-week MA (bullish / bearish / none).
Price vs MAs Whether the close is above/below key averages (8w & 26w).
Baseline Deviation % distance from the market-cycle baseline (fair-value track).
Gauge Reading Smoothed trend signal mapped to 0–100.
Direction Slope sign of the gauge across the window (rising / falling).
Acceleration Change in the slope of the gauge (accelerating / decelerating).
Gauge Volatility Variability of the gauge (low / normal / high).
Zone Label Classification by level (Bullish / Neutral / Bearish).
Target Price (Flag) If flagged: Positive/Negative stance. Otherwise: numeric fair value.
Composite Score Overall model score (0–10).
Hybrid Efficiency Efficiency of growth × quality (0–10).
Rating Model’s verdict for the snapshot.
Weekly Close Sparkline of the last 52 weekly closing prices.
Trend Line Sparkline of the smoothed trend signal over the last 52 weeks.

Tip: Most metrics include a hover tooltip where they appear in the report.

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Week Ending: September 19, 2025