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HMC Capital Limited

HMC ASX
Market Report Console Signals Backtest Markov
Week Ending
Mon, 15 Sep 2025
Open
3.8300
Close
3.6500
High
3.8350
Low
3.6500
Trend
0.11300
Sharemaestro [Charts]
HMC weekly Smart Money chart, closing 2025-09-15.
HMC weekly Market Snapshot chart, closing 2025-09-15.
HMC weekly Market Cycle chart, closing 2025-09-15.
HMC weekly Market Demand chart, closing 2025-09-15.
HMC weekly Market Strength chart, closing 2025-09-15.
HMC weekly Activity chart, closing 2025-09-15.
HMC weekly Market Dynamics chart, closing 2025-09-15.
HMC weekly Market Threshold chart, closing 2025-09-15.

Weekly Report

HMC Capital Limited (HMC) Week Ending: Mon, 15 Sep 2025 ★★☆☆☆
Weekly Report
Price
Weekly Close

HMC Capital Limited closed at 3.6500 (-4.70% WoW) . Data window ends Mon, 15 Sep 2025.

Price Window3.40% over 8w
Volume TrendFalling
Vs 8w High-5.19%
What stands out

How to read this — Price slope is upward, indicating persistent buying over the window. Volume trend diverges from price — watch for fatigue or rotation. Returns are negatively correlated with volume — strength may come on lighter activity.

What to watch

Up-slope supports buying interest; pullbacks may be contained if activity stays firm. Because liquidity isn’t confirming, prefer evidence of fresh demand before chasing moves.

Trend
Sharemaestro Trend Line

Gauge maps the trend signal to a 0–100 scale.

Gauge Reading11.3/100
DirectionFalling
Accelerationaccelerating
Gauge VolatilityLow
Trend StateRange / Neutral
Low-Regime Accumulation 2/7 (29.0%) • Distributing
What stands out

How to read this — Range-bound conditions; conviction is limited until a break or acceleration emerges.

What to watch

Wait for a directional break or improving acceleration.

Valuation Model Snapshot Sun, 21 Sep 2025
Target 3.71
Current3.43
RatingModerately Undervalued
Interpretation

Price is below fair value; potential upside if momentum constructive.

Conclusion

Negative ★★☆☆☆

Negative setup. ★★☆☆☆ confidence. Price window: 3. Trend: Range / Neutral; gauge 11. In combination, liquidity diverges from price.

Watch-outs
  • Momentum is weak/falling
  • Price is not above key averages
  • Liquidity diverges from price

Why: Price window 3.40% over 8w. Close is -5.19% below the prior-window high. Volume trend falling. Liquidity divergence with price. Trend state range / neutral. Low-regime (≤0.25) upticks 2/7 (29.0%) • Distributing. Momentum neutral and falling. Valuation supportive skew.

Price Window Endpoint return over the last N weeks using weekly closes: (Closelast − Closefirst)/Closefirst × 100.
Return Volatility Std-dev of weekly returns (%). Higher = choppier.
Volume Trend Slope of weekly volume across the window (rising / falling / flat).
Vs N-week High % distance of latest close from the highest close in the window.
Accumulation Weeks Weeks price rose on higher volume than the prior week.
Distribution Weeks Weeks price fell on higher volume than the prior week.
MA Stack Relative order of short/intermediate/long MAs. Short > long is constructive.
4–8 Crossover Latest cross of 4-week vs 8-week MA (bullish / bearish / none).
Price vs MAs Whether the close is above/below key averages (8w & 26w).
Baseline Deviation % distance from the market-cycle baseline (fair-value track).
Gauge Reading Smoothed trend signal mapped to 0–100.
Direction Slope sign of the gauge across the window (rising / falling).
Acceleration Change in the slope of the gauge (accelerating / decelerating).
Gauge Volatility Variability of the gauge (low / normal / high).
Zone Label Classification by level (Bullish / Neutral / Bearish).
Target Price (Flag) If flagged: Positive/Negative stance. Otherwise: numeric fair value.
Composite Score Overall model score (0–10).
Hybrid Efficiency Efficiency of growth × quality (0–10).
Rating Model’s verdict for the snapshot.
Weekly Close Sparkline of the last 52 weekly closing prices.
Trend Line Sparkline of the smoothed trend signal over the last 52 weeks.

Tip: Most metrics include a hover tooltip where they appear in the report.

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Week Ending: September 15, 2025