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Victory Metals Limited

VTM ASX
Market Report Console Signals Backtest Markov
Week Ending
Mon, 22 Sep 2025
Open
1.4300
Close
1.3950
High
1.4450
Low
1.3700
Trend
0.78293
Rating
★★☆☆☆
Sharemaestro [Charts]
VTM weekly Smart Money chart, closing 2025-09-22.
VTM weekly Market Snapshot chart, closing 2025-09-22.
VTM weekly Market Cycle chart, closing 2025-09-22.
VTM weekly Market Demand chart, closing 2025-09-22.
VTM weekly Market Strength chart, closing 2025-09-22.
VTM weekly Activity chart, closing 2025-09-22.
VTM weekly Market Dynamics chart, closing 2025-09-22.
VTM weekly Market Threshold chart, closing 2025-09-22.

Weekly Summary

Victory Metals Limited (VTM) Week Ending: Mon, 22 Sep 2025 ★★☆☆☆
Weekly Report
Price
Weekly Close

Victory Metals Limited closed at 1.3950 (-2.45% WoW) . Data window ends Mon, 22 Sep 2025.

Price Window7.31% over 8w
Return Volatility5.89%
Volume TrendFalling
Vs 8w High-24.18%
Baseline Deviation2.52% (narrowing)
What stands out

How to read this — Price slope is downward, indicating persistent supply pressure. Elevated weekly volatility increases whipsaw risk. Volume and price are moving in the same direction — a constructive confirmation. Returns are negatively correlated with volume — strength may come on lighter activity. Distance to baseline is narrowing — reverting closer to its fair-value track.

What to watch

Down-slope argues for patience; rallies can fade sooner unless participation improves.

Trend
Sharemaestro Trend Line

Gauge maps the trend signal to a 0–100 scale.

Gauge Reading78.3/100
DirectionFalling
Accelerationdecelerating
Trend StateUptrend at Risk
High-Regime Distribution 1/2 (50.0%) • Accumulating
What stands out

How to read this — Gauge is elevated but momentum is rolling over; topping risk is rising.

What to watch

Stay alert: protect gains or seek confirmation before adding risk.

Market Strength Mansfield Relative Strength vs Index
Mansfield RS
VTM Mansfield Relative Strength vs ^AXJO — weekly
Mansfield Relative Strength (MRS) compares this share’s weekly price to its exchange benchmark (e.g., ^AXJO), then normalises to a 52-week baseline. Above 0% = outperforming; below 0% = underperforming. Sharemaestro overlays fast/slow MAs for clarity and a colour strip for momentum bias.
What’s happening?

Relative strength is Positive (> 0%, outperforming). Latest MRS: 53.89% (week ending Fri, 26 Sep 2025). Slope: Falling over 8w.
Notes:

  • Holding above the zero line indicates relative bid.
  • MRS slope falling over ~8 weeks.

Benchmark^AXJO
Latest MRS53.89%
Fast MA71.59%
Slow MA70.11%
BiasOutperforming

Conclusion

Negative ★★☆☆☆

Negative setup. ★★☆☆☆ confidence. Price window: 7. Trend: Uptrend at Risk; gauge 78. In combination, liquidity confirms the move.

Strengths
  • Liquidity confirms the price trend
Watch-outs
  • High-level but rolling over (topping risk)
  • Momentum is weak/falling
  • Price is not above key averages
  • High return volatility raises whipsaw risk

Why: Price window 7.31% over 8w. Close is -24.18% below the prior-window high. Return volatility 5.89%. Volume trend falling. Liquidity convergence with price. Trend state uptrend at risk. High-regime (0.80–1.00) downticks 1/2 (50.0%) • Accumulating. Baseline deviation 2.52% (narrowing). Momentum bullish and falling.

Price Window Endpoint return over the last N weeks using weekly closes: (Closelast − Closefirst)/Closefirst × 100.
Return Volatility Std-dev of weekly returns (%). Higher = choppier.
Volume Trend Slope of weekly volume across the window (rising / falling / flat).
Vs N-week High % distance of latest close from the highest close in the window.
Accumulation Weeks Weeks price rose on higher volume than the prior week.
Distribution Weeks Weeks price fell on higher volume than the prior week.
MA Stack Relative order of short/intermediate/long MAs. Short > long is constructive.
4–8 Crossover Latest cross of 4-week vs 8-week MA (bullish / bearish / none).
Price vs MAs Whether the close is above/below key averages (8w & 26w).
Baseline Deviation % distance from the market-cycle baseline (fair-value track).
Gauge Reading Smoothed trend signal mapped to 0–100.
Direction Slope sign of the gauge across the window (rising / falling).
Acceleration Change in the slope of the gauge (accelerating / decelerating).
Gauge Volatility Variability of the gauge (low / normal / high).
Zone Label Classification by level (Bullish / Neutral / Bearish).
Target Price (Flag) If flagged: Positive/Negative stance. Otherwise: numeric fair value.
Rating Model’s verdict for the snapshot.
Weekly Close Sparkline of the last 52 weekly closing prices.
Trend Line Sparkline of the smoothed trend signal over the last 52 weeks.

Tip: Most metrics include a hover tooltip where they appear in the report.

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Week Ending: September 22, 2025
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