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UPM-Kymmene Oyj

UPM HEL
Market Report Console Signals Backtest Markov
Week Ending
Mon, 15 Sep 2025
Open
23.1800
Close
23.2100
High
23.5700
Low
23.1200
Trend
0.16985
Sharemaestro [Charts]
UPM weekly Smart Money chart, closing 2025-09-15.
UPM weekly Market Snapshot chart, closing 2025-09-15.
UPM weekly Market Cycle chart, closing 2025-09-15.
UPM weekly Market Demand chart, closing 2025-09-15.
UPM weekly Market Strength chart, closing 2025-09-15.
UPM weekly Activity chart, closing 2025-09-15.
UPM weekly Market Dynamics chart, closing 2025-09-15.
UPM weekly Market Threshold chart, closing 2025-09-15.

Weekly Report

UPM-Kymmene Oyj (UPM) Week Ending: Mon, 15 Sep 2025 ★★☆☆☆
Weekly Report
Price
Weekly Close

UPM-Kymmene Oyj closed at 23.2100 (0.13% WoW) . Data window ends Mon, 15 Sep 2025.

Price Window3.16% over 8w
Return Volatility4.81%
Volume TrendFalling
Vs 8w High-5.34%
MA StackConstructive
Price vs MAsBelow
What stands out

How to read this — Price slope is upward, indicating persistent buying over the window. Elevated weekly volatility increases whipsaw risk. Volume trend diverges from price — watch for fatigue or rotation. Constructive MA stack supports the up-drift; pullbacks may find support at the 8–13 week region. Price sits below key averages, keeping pressure on the tape.

What to watch

Up-slope supports buying interest; pullbacks may be contained if activity stays firm. Because liquidity isn’t confirming, prefer evidence of fresh demand before chasing moves.

Trend
Sharemaestro Trend Line

Gauge maps the trend signal to a 0–100 scale.

Gauge Reading17.0/100
DirectionRising
Accelerationaccelerating
Gauge VolatilityLow
Trend StateBottoming Attempt
Low-Regime Accumulation 5/7 (71.0%) • Accumulating
What stands out

How to read this — Bearish backdrop but short-term momentum is improving; confirmation still needed.

What to watch

Early improvement — look for a reclaim of 0.50→0.60 to validate.

Valuation Model Snapshot Fri, 05 Sep 2025
Target Positive
Current23.79
RatingExtremely Undervalued
Interpretation

The flag is positive: favourable upside skew with supportive conditions.

Conclusion

Negative ★★☆☆☆

Negative setup. ★★☆☆☆ confidence. Price window: 3. Trend: Bottoming Attempt; gauge 17. In combination, liquidity diverges from price.

Strengths
  • Early improvement from bearish zone (bottoming attempt)
  • Constructive moving-average stack
  • Buyers step in at depressed levels (accumulation)
Watch-outs
  • Price is not above key averages
  • Liquidity diverges from price
  • High return volatility raises whipsaw risk

Why: Price window 3.16% over 8w. Close is -5.34% below the prior-window high. Return volatility 4.81%. Volume trend falling. Liquidity divergence with price. Trend state bottoming attempt. Low-regime (≤0.25) upticks 5/7 (71.0%) • Accumulating. MA stack constructive. Momentum neutral and rising. Valuation stance positive.

Price Window Endpoint return over the last N weeks using weekly closes: (Closelast − Closefirst)/Closefirst × 100.
Return Volatility Std-dev of weekly returns (%). Higher = choppier.
Volume Trend Slope of weekly volume across the window (rising / falling / flat).
Vs N-week High % distance of latest close from the highest close in the window.
Accumulation Weeks Weeks price rose on higher volume than the prior week.
Distribution Weeks Weeks price fell on higher volume than the prior week.
MA Stack Relative order of short/intermediate/long MAs. Short > long is constructive.
4–8 Crossover Latest cross of 4-week vs 8-week MA (bullish / bearish / none).
Price vs MAs Whether the close is above/below key averages (8w & 26w).
Baseline Deviation % distance from the market-cycle baseline (fair-value track).
Gauge Reading Smoothed trend signal mapped to 0–100.
Direction Slope sign of the gauge across the window (rising / falling).
Acceleration Change in the slope of the gauge (accelerating / decelerating).
Gauge Volatility Variability of the gauge (low / normal / high).
Zone Label Classification by level (Bullish / Neutral / Bearish).
Target Price (Flag) If flagged: Positive/Negative stance. Otherwise: numeric fair value.
Composite Score Overall model score (0–10).
Hybrid Efficiency Efficiency of growth × quality (0–10).
Rating Model’s verdict for the snapshot.
Weekly Close Sparkline of the last 52 weekly closing prices.
Trend Line Sparkline of the smoothed trend signal over the last 52 weeks.

Tip: Most metrics include a hover tooltip where they appear in the report.

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Week Ending: September 15, 2025