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Lynas Rare Earths Limited

LYC ASX
Market Report Console Signals Backtest Markov
Week Ending
Mon, 22 Sep 2025
Open
14.9500
Close
15.2900
High
15.3900
Low
14.9500
Trend
0.84231
Rating
★★☆☆☆
Sharemaestro [Charts]
LYC weekly Smart Money chart, closing 2025-09-22.
LYC weekly Market Snapshot chart, closing 2025-09-22.
LYC weekly Market Cycle chart, closing 2025-09-22.
LYC weekly Market Demand chart, closing 2025-09-22.
LYC weekly Market Strength chart, closing 2025-09-22.
LYC weekly Activity chart, closing 2025-09-22.
LYC weekly Market Dynamics chart, closing 2025-09-22.
LYC weekly Market Threshold chart, closing 2025-09-22.

Weekly Report

Lynas Rare Earths Limited (LYC) Week Ending: Mon, 22 Sep 2025 ★★☆☆☆
Weekly Report
Price
Weekly Close

Lynas Rare Earths Limited closed at 15.2900 (2.27% WoW) . Data window ends Mon, 22 Sep 2025.

Price Window29.14% over 8w
Volume TrendFalling
Vs 8w High1.33%
MA StackConstructive
Price vs MAsAbove
Baseline Deviation1.02% (widening)
What stands out

How to read this — Price slope is upward, indicating persistent buying over the window. Volume trend diverges from price — watch for fatigue or rotation. Constructive MA stack supports the up-drift; pullbacks may find support at the 8–13 week region. Price holds above key averages, indicating constructive participation.

What to watch

Up-slope supports buying interest; pullbacks may be contained if activity stays firm. Because liquidity isn’t confirming, prefer evidence of fresh demand before chasing moves.

Trend
Sharemaestro Trend Line

Gauge maps the trend signal to a 0–100 scale.

Gauge Reading84.2/100
DirectionFalling
Accelerationaccelerating
Gauge VolatilityLow
Trend StateRange / Neutral
High-Regime Distribution 4/7 (57.0%) • Distributing
What stands out

How to read this — Range-bound conditions; conviction is limited until a break or acceleration emerges.

What to watch

Wait for a directional break or improving acceleration.

Valuation Model Snapshot Sun, 21 Sep 2025
Target 9.17
Current14.63
RatingSignificantly Overvalued
Interpretation

Price is above fair value; upside may be capped without catalysts.

Conclusion

Negative ★★☆☆☆

Negative setup. ★★☆☆☆ confidence. Price window: 29. Trend: Range / Neutral; gauge 84. In combination, liquidity diverges from price.

Strengths
  • Price holds above 8w & 26w averages
  • Constructive moving-average stack
  • Solid multi-week performance
Watch-outs
  • Momentum is weak/falling
  • Liquidity diverges from price
  • Sellers active at elevated levels (distribution)

Why: Price window 29.14% over 8w. Close is 1.33% above the prior-window high. Volume trend falling. Liquidity divergence with price. Trend state range / neutral. High-regime (0.80–1.00) downticks 4/7 (57.0%) • Distributing. MA stack constructive. Baseline deviation 1.02% (widening). Momentum bullish and falling. Valuation limited upside without catalysts.

Price Window Endpoint return over the last N weeks using weekly closes: (Closelast − Closefirst)/Closefirst × 100.
Return Volatility Std-dev of weekly returns (%). Higher = choppier.
Volume Trend Slope of weekly volume across the window (rising / falling / flat).
Vs N-week High % distance of latest close from the highest close in the window.
Accumulation Weeks Weeks price rose on higher volume than the prior week.
Distribution Weeks Weeks price fell on higher volume than the prior week.
MA Stack Relative order of short/intermediate/long MAs. Short > long is constructive.
4–8 Crossover Latest cross of 4-week vs 8-week MA (bullish / bearish / none).
Price vs MAs Whether the close is above/below key averages (8w & 26w).
Baseline Deviation % distance from the market-cycle baseline (fair-value track).
Gauge Reading Smoothed trend signal mapped to 0–100.
Direction Slope sign of the gauge across the window (rising / falling).
Acceleration Change in the slope of the gauge (accelerating / decelerating).
Gauge Volatility Variability of the gauge (low / normal / high).
Zone Label Classification by level (Bullish / Neutral / Bearish).
Target Price (Flag) If flagged: Positive/Negative stance. Otherwise: numeric fair value.
Composite Score Overall model score (0–10).
Hybrid Efficiency Efficiency of growth × quality (0–10).
Rating Model’s verdict for the snapshot.
Weekly Close Sparkline of the last 52 weekly closing prices.
Trend Line Sparkline of the smoothed trend signal over the last 52 weeks.

Tip: Most metrics include a hover tooltip where they appear in the report.

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Week Ending: September 22, 2025