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Trajan Group Holdings Limited

TRJ ASX
Market Report Console Signals Backtest Markov
Week Ending
Mon, 15 Sep 2025
Open
0.7500
Close
0.7350
High
0.7500
Low
0.7350
Trend
0.36469
Sharemaestro [Charts]
TRJ weekly Smart Money chart, closing 2025-09-15.
TRJ weekly Market Snapshot chart, closing 2025-09-15.
TRJ weekly Market Cycle chart, closing 2025-09-15.
TRJ weekly Market Demand chart, closing 2025-09-15.
TRJ weekly Market Strength chart, closing 2025-09-15.
TRJ weekly Activity chart, closing 2025-09-15.
TRJ weekly Market Dynamics chart, closing 2025-09-15.
TRJ weekly Market Threshold chart, closing 2025-09-15.

Weekly Report

Trajan Group Holdings Limited (TRJ) Week Ending: Mon, 15 Sep 2025 ★★☆☆☆
Weekly Report
Price
Weekly Close

Trajan Group Holdings Limited closed at 0.7350 (-2.00% WoW) . Data window ends Mon, 15 Sep 2025.

Price Window-3.29% over 8w
Return Volatility6.50%
Volume TrendRising
Vs 8w High-21.81%
4–8 CrossoverBearish
Price vs MAsBelow
What stands out

How to read this — Price slope is downward, indicating persistent supply pressure. Elevated weekly volatility increases whipsaw risk. Volume trend diverges from price — watch for fatigue or rotation. Fresh short-term downside crossover weakens near-term tone. Price sits below key averages, keeping pressure on the tape.

What to watch

Down-slope argues for patience; rallies can fade sooner unless participation improves. Because liquidity isn’t confirming, prefer evidence of fresh demand before chasing moves.

Trend
Sharemaestro Trend Line

Gauge maps the trend signal to a 0–100 scale.

Gauge Reading36.5/100
DirectionRising
Accelerationaccelerating
Gauge VolatilityHigh
Trend StateBottoming Attempt
Low-Regime Accumulation 4/5 (80.0%) • Accumulating
What stands out

How to read this — Bearish backdrop but short-term momentum is improving; confirmation still needed.

What to watch

Early improvement — look for a reclaim of 0.50→0.60 to validate.

Valuation Model Snapshot Sun, 21 Sep 2025
Target 1.08
Current0.75
RatingDeeply Undervalued
Interpretation

Price is below fair value; potential upside if momentum constructive.

Conclusion

Negative ★★☆☆☆

Negative setup. ★★☆☆☆ confidence. Price window: -3. Trend: Bottoming Attempt; gauge 36. In combination, liquidity diverges from price.

Strengths
  • Early improvement from bearish zone (bottoming attempt)
  • Buyers step in at depressed levels (accumulation)
Watch-outs
  • Price is not above key averages
  • Liquidity diverges from price
  • High return volatility raises whipsaw risk
  • Negative multi-week performance

Why: Price window -3.29% over 8w. Close is -21.81% below the prior-window high. Return volatility 6.50%. Volume trend rising. Liquidity divergence with price. Trend state bottoming attempt. Low-regime (≤0.25) upticks 4/5 (80.0%) • Accumulating. 4–8w crossover bearish. Momentum neutral and rising. Valuation supportive skew.

Price Window Endpoint return over the last N weeks using weekly closes: (Closelast − Closefirst)/Closefirst × 100.
Return Volatility Std-dev of weekly returns (%). Higher = choppier.
Volume Trend Slope of weekly volume across the window (rising / falling / flat).
Vs N-week High % distance of latest close from the highest close in the window.
Accumulation Weeks Weeks price rose on higher volume than the prior week.
Distribution Weeks Weeks price fell on higher volume than the prior week.
MA Stack Relative order of short/intermediate/long MAs. Short > long is constructive.
4–8 Crossover Latest cross of 4-week vs 8-week MA (bullish / bearish / none).
Price vs MAs Whether the close is above/below key averages (8w & 26w).
Baseline Deviation % distance from the market-cycle baseline (fair-value track).
Gauge Reading Smoothed trend signal mapped to 0–100.
Direction Slope sign of the gauge across the window (rising / falling).
Acceleration Change in the slope of the gauge (accelerating / decelerating).
Gauge Volatility Variability of the gauge (low / normal / high).
Zone Label Classification by level (Bullish / Neutral / Bearish).
Target Price (Flag) If flagged: Positive/Negative stance. Otherwise: numeric fair value.
Composite Score Overall model score (0–10).
Hybrid Efficiency Efficiency of growth × quality (0–10).
Rating Model’s verdict for the snapshot.
Weekly Close Sparkline of the last 52 weekly closing prices.
Trend Line Sparkline of the smoothed trend signal over the last 52 weeks.

Tip: Most metrics include a hover tooltip where they appear in the report.

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Week Ending: September 15, 2025