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Weekly Market Report - Franklin U.S. Equity Index ETF (USPX)

ETF-USSignal Insights

Entity & Brand

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CompanyFranklin U.S. Equity Index ETF
TickerUSPX
ExchangeETF-US
Weeks Used8
Brand Domainsharemaestro.com

Signals Snapshot

8-week window ?
Threshold Breach (Sell) Fri, 5 Sep 2025
Signal close ?:
56.844
At the signal (week of Fri, 5 Sep 2025)
  • Week change: -0.80%
  • Close sits at/above the short-term trend.
  • Above the intermediate trend backdrop.
  • Participation easing (volume trend falling).
  • This signal coincided with a larger-than-usual weekly move.
  • Since signal: +2.34% over 2w; MFE +2.34% (2w), MAE +0.00% (0w).
Since the signal (to present)
MFE ? MAE ?
Elapsed
2w
Current return
2.34%
MFE
2.34% (2w)
MAE
0.00% (0w)
ST: Above MT: Above
Summary
At the threshold breach (sell) week (Fri, 5 Sep 2025) you saw the bullet points above. Since then, price is 2.34% over 2 weeks. Peak move [MFE] reached 2.34% after 2w; worst dip [MAE] was 0.00% after 0w.
Current situation since SELL
Elapsed: 2w
Close then → now: 56.84458.1717
Δ: 1.33 (2.34%)
Now vs trend: ST Above, MT Above
Weekly snapshots
Date Close % from Signal ST MT Wk %
Fri, 5 Sep 2025 56.844 0.00% Near Above -0.80%
Fri, 12 Sep 2025 57.8 1.68% Above Above -0.06%
Fri, 19 Sep 2025 58.1717 2.34% Above Above 0.36%
How to read this section
Left column describes the week the signal was generated (historical context). Right column shows performance and posture since that signal to the present. MFE ? and MAE ? quantify upside capture vs downside risk after the signal.

Price Overview

Tiles ?
Metric Signal Value Notes
Price Window Positive 4.74% over 8w Endpoint return across the selected window.
Return Volatility Positive 0.82% Std dev of weekly returns — low is steadier, high is whipsaw-prone.
Volume Trend Negative Falling Slope of weekly volume across the window.
Vs 8w High Positive 0.64% Distance to the prior-window high (latest week excluded).
MA Stack Positive Constructive Short > Intermediate > Long is constructive; the reverse is weak.
Price vs MAs Positive Above

Trend Overview

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Metric Signal Value Notes
Gauge Reading Neutral 71.7/100
Direction Negative Falling
Acceleration Negative decelerating
Trend State Neutral Uptrend at Risk
Momentum Drawdown Negative 12.1 pts from 8w peak
Trend State: Uptrend at Risk — gauge 71.7/100 — 8w slope -0.38; ST slope -3.57 pts/wk — drawdown 12.1 pts from peak ?
Distribution at highs 1/2 (50.0%) High-regime breakdown (from ≥0.80)

Weekly Price Action

8 weeks ?
Week ending Open High Low Close Change % Volume (MA) Trend
Fri, 19 Sep 2025 57.96 58.21 57.86 58.17 0.36%
Fri, 12 Sep 2025 57.84 57.92 57.74 57.80 -0.06%
Fri, 5 Sep 2025 57.30 57.30 56.59 56.84 -0.80%
Fri, 29 Aug 2025 56.97 56.97 56.60 56.63 -0.60%
Fri, 22 Aug 2025 56.14 57.08 56.13 57.06 1.64%
Fri, 15 Aug 2025 56.79 56.79 56.43 56.55 -0.43%
Fri, 8 Aug 2025 55.80 56.03 55.78 55.97 0.31%
Fri, 1 Aug 2025 54.84 55.96 54.61 55.54 1.28%

Price Narrative

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Stands OutNo highlights available.
What to WatchNo watch items available.

Trend Narrative

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Stands Out Trend focus for week ending Fri, 19 Sep 2025. Gauge: 71.7/100; slope -0.38 pts/wk; short-term -3.57 pts/wk; decelerating. Gauge volatility: normal. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 12.1 pts. Recent breakdown from ≥80. High-regime (0.80–1.00) downticks 1/2 (50.0%), bias: Accumulating.
What to Watch How to read this — Gauge is elevated but momentum is rolling over; topping risk is rising. Notable breakdown from ≥0.80 weakens trend quality.

All Price Analysis

Complete dump of monthly_analysis.series & monthly_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Close Price Change Pct: 4.738386748289525, Slope: 0.33370595238095263
Change Percent Vol: 0.8201333732997335, Slope: -0.13857142857142857
Volume Slope: -16773.845238095237, Z Last: -0.7399254198375009
Deviation From Baseline Last: 0.33755, Z Last: -0.3075910260503768, Slope: -0.009419285714285712
Diagnostics
Volume Trend falling
Close Vs Recent High Pct 0.6430795847750936
Conv Div divergence
Momentum Trend weakening
Last Trend Label Bullish
Close Vs Recent Low Pct 4.738386748289525
Ma Stack bull
Cross 4 8 none
Price Vs Ma above
Baseline Deviation 0.33755
Baseline Dir narrowing
Rich Paragraphs
  1. 8-week price move: 4.74%. Weekly return volatility: 0.82%. Close is 0.64% above the prior-window 8-week high. and 4.74% above the prior-window 8-week low. Volume trend: falling. Latest week’s volume is -0.74σ from its 8-week average. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume): 0.12. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume change): 0.34. 26-week move: 24.07%. 52-week move: 18.02%. Price sits 0.34% above its medium-term baseline, and the distance is narrowing. Moving-average stack is constructive (short above intermediate above long).
  2. How to read this — Price slope is upward, indicating persistent buying over the window. Low weekly volatility favours steadier follow-through. Volume trend diverges from price — watch for fatigue or rotation. Distance to baseline is narrowing — reverting closer to its fair-value track. Constructive MA stack supports the up-drift; pullbacks may find support at the 8–13 week region. Price holds above key averages, indicating constructive participation.
  3. Up-slope supports buying interest; pullbacks may be contained if activity stays firm. Because liquidity isn’t confirming, prefer evidence of fresh demand before chasing moves.

All Trend Analysis

Complete dump of trend_analysis.series & trend_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Trend Pos Avg: 75.355125, Med: 74.054, Rng: (68.11500000000001, 83.829), Vol: 5.215653133537062, Slope: -0.37963095238095185, Last: 71.738
Diagnostics
Last Pos 71.738
Vol Band normal
Acceleration Label Decelerating
Last Label Neutral
State Label Uptrend at Risk
Slope 8W -0.37963095238095185
Slope Short -3.5681999999999987
Accel Value -0.485750000000002
Drawdown From Peak Pts 12.090999999999994
Time In Bull 8
Time In Bear 0
Time In Mid 0
High Breakdown Recent True
Midline Failure Recent False
Bear Control Recent False
Recovery Mid Recent False
Recovery Bull Recent False
Acc Upticks 0
Acc Opportunities 0
Acc Rate None
Acc Longest Streak 0
Dist Downticks 1
Dist Opportunities 2
Dist Rate 0.5
Dist Longest Streak 0
Low Regime Bias Mixed/None
High Regime Bias Accumulating
Rich Paragraphs
  1. Trend focus for week ending Fri, 19 Sep 2025. Gauge: 71.7/100; slope -0.38 pts/wk; short-term -3.57 pts/wk; decelerating. Gauge volatility: normal. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 12.1 pts. Recent breakdown from ≥80. High-regime (0.80–1.00) downticks 1/2 (50.0%), bias: Accumulating.
  2. How to read this — Gauge is elevated but momentum is rolling over; topping risk is rising. Notable breakdown from ≥0.80 weakens trend quality.
  3. Stay alert: protect gains or seek confirmation before adding risk.

Final Conclusion

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VerdictNegative
Stars ★★☆☆☆
SummaryPrice window: 4. Trend: Uptrend at Risk; gauge 71. In combination, liquidity diverges from price.
Strengths
  • Price holds above 8w & 26w averages
  • Constructive moving-average stack
  • Low return volatility supports durability
Watch-outs
  • High-level but rolling over (topping risk)
  • Momentum is weak/falling
  • Liquidity diverges from price
  • Sellers active at elevated levels (distribution)
Disclaimer. This report is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Markets involve risk, including possible loss of principal. Always perform your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.
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