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Entity & Brand

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CompanyRUSAL
Ticker0486
ExchangeHKG
Weeks Used8

Signals Snapshot

8-week window ?
No signals in this window.
How to read this section
Left column describes the week the signal was generated (historical context). Right column shows performance and posture since that signal to the present. MFE ? and MAE ? quantify upside capture vs downside risk after the signal.

Price Overview

Tiles ?
Metric Signal Value Notes
Price Window Positive 3.53% over 8w Endpoint return across the selected window.
Return Volatility Negative 4.94% Std dev of weekly returns — low is steadier, high is whipsaw-prone.
Volume Trend Negative Falling Slope of weekly volume across the window.
Vs 8w High Negative -13.29% Distance to the prior-window high (latest week excluded).

Trend Overview

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Metric Signal Value Notes
Gauge Reading Neutral 36.7/100
Direction Negative Falling
Acceleration Positive accelerating
Trend State Negative Downtrend Confirmed
Momentum Drawdown Negative 10.8 pts from 8w peak
Trend State: Downtrend Confirmed — gauge 36.7/100 — 8w slope -1.45; ST slope -1.74 pts/wk — drawdown 10.8 pts from peak ?
Bear control (sub-0.40)

Weekly Price Action

8 weeks ?
Week ending Open High Low Close Change % Volume (MA) Trend
Mon, 15 Sep 2025 4.12 4.12 4.06 4.11 -0.24%
Mon, 8 Sep 2025 4.20 4.20 4.16 4.18 -0.48%
Mon, 1 Sep 2025 4.08 4.20 4.05 4.15 1.72%
Mon, 25 Aug 2025 4.36 4.40 4.05 4.10 -5.96%
Mon, 18 Aug 2025 4.66 4.83 4.62 4.63 -0.64%
Mon, 11 Aug 2025 4.51 4.98 4.51 4.74 5.10%
Mon, 4 Aug 2025 3.93 4.39 3.77 4.38 11.45%
Mon, 28 Jul 2025 4.08 4.22 3.93 3.97 -2.70% —

Price Narrative

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Stands OutNo highlights available.
What to WatchNo watch items available.

Trend Narrative

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Stands Out Trend focus for week ending Mon, 15 Sep 2025. Gauge: 36.7/100; slope -1.45 pts/wk; short-term -1.74 pts/wk; accelerating. Gauge volatility: normal. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 10.8 pts. Bear control regained (sub-40).
What to Watch How to read this — Bearish zone with falling momentum — sellers in control. Sub-0.40 print confirms downside control.

All Price Analysis

Complete dump of monthly_analysis.series & monthly_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Close Price Change Pct: 3.526448362720406, Slope: -0.027619047619047616
Change Percent Vol: 4.93801943470254, Slope: -0.6891666666666666
Volume Slope: -687445.8095238095, Z Last: -1.1229520149402608
Deviation From Baseline Last: 0.25797, Z Last: 0.7249011578900704, Slope: 0.037011666666666665
Diagnostics
Volume Trend falling
Close Vs Recent High Pct -13.291139240506325
Conv Div convergence
Momentum Trend weakening
Last Trend Label Bearish
Close Vs Recent Low Pct 3.526448362720406
Ma Stack mixed
Cross 4 8 none
Price Vs Ma mixed
Baseline Deviation 0.25797
Baseline Dir widening
What does it mean?
  1. 8-week price move: 3.53%. Weekly return volatility: 4.94%. Close is 13.29% below the prior-window 8-week high. and 3.53% above the prior-window 8-week low. Volume trend: falling. Latest week’s volume is -1.12σ from its 8-week average. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume): 0.34. Price/volume correlation (returns vs volume change): 0.19. 26-week move: -0.48%. 52-week move: 65.73%. Price sits 0.26% above its medium-term baseline, and the distance is widening.
  2. How to read this — Price slope is downward, indicating persistent supply pressure. Elevated weekly volatility increases whipsaw risk. Volume and price are moving in the same direction — a constructive confirmation. Returns are positively correlated with volume — strength tends to arrive on higher activity.
  3. Down-slope argues for patience; rallies can fade sooner unless participation improves.

All Trend Analysis

Complete dump of trend_analysis.series & trend_analysis.diagnostics
Series
Trend Pos Avg: 41.430875, Med: 41.222, Rng: (36.692, 47.5), Vol: 3.711671639487389, Slope: -1.4518928571428569, Last: 36.692
Diagnostics
Last Pos 36.692
Vol Band normal
Acceleration Label Accelerating
Last Label Bearish
State Label Downtrend Confirmed
Slope 8W -1.4518928571428569
Slope Short -1.7417000000000002
Accel Value 0.19003571428571447
Drawdown From Peak Pts 10.808
Time In Bull 0
Time In Bear 3
Time In Mid 5
High Breakdown Recent False
Midline Failure Recent False
Bear Control Recent True
Recovery Mid Recent False
Recovery Bull Recent False
Acc Upticks 0
Acc Opportunities 0
Acc Rate None
Acc Longest Streak 0
Dist Downticks 0
Dist Opportunities 0
Dist Rate None
Dist Longest Streak 0
Low Regime Bias Mixed/None
High Regime Bias Mixed/None
What does it mean?
  1. Trend focus for week ending Mon, 15 Sep 2025. Gauge: 36.7/100; slope -1.45 pts/wk; short-term -1.74 pts/wk; accelerating. Gauge volatility: normal. Momentum drawdown from 8w peak: 10.8 pts. Bear control regained (sub-40).
  2. How to read this — Bearish zone with falling momentum — sellers in control. Sub-0.40 print confirms downside control.
  3. Bias remains lower; rallies are suspect unless gauge reclaims 0.50/0.60.

Final Conclusion

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VerdictNegative
Stars ★★☆☆☆
SummaryPrice window: 3. Trend: Downtrend Confirmed; gauge 36. In combination, liquidity confirms the move.
Strengths
  • Liquidity confirms the price trend
Watch-outs
  • Bearish control with falling momentum
  • Momentum is weak/falling
  • Price is not above key averages
  • High return volatility raises whipsaw risk
Disclaimer. This report is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Markets involve risk, including possible loss of principal. Always perform your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.
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